TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Clippers vs. 76ers: O/U 220.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$85,768
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$96,695

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $85,768 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 110 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x2c57…c94dbacked Over50c34,549$17,275 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17,274.65151%26 W · 25 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Under49c15,743$7,751 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,992.829,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7d5c…0182backed Under50c10,466$5,248 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,217.7747751.8%247 W · 230 L+1.6wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked Over51c8,000$4,080 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,0801,82052.1%948 W · 872 L+48.5wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xec13…862bbacked Under50c6,208$3,082 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,126.2428850.3%145 W · 143 L+4.7wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcb43…3c74backed Under49c4,269$2,092 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,177.2647748.8%233 W · 244 L+1.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5139…a8dbbacked Under50c4,237$2,119 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,118.569852%363 W · 335 L+10.3wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x617b…a499backed Over54c2,710$1,464 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,463.5987750.2%440 W · 437 L-19.7wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-5.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8f7a…db40backed Under51c2,401$1,217 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,183.9818047.8%86 W · 94 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-6.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x57a8…6933backed Under52c2,342$1,218 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,124.1692753.5%496 W · 431 L+20.1wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9cb3…0a77backed Over52c1,937$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00015756.7%89 W · 68 L+5.8wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+7.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5375…aeeabacked Over51c1,327$672 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$671.8385742.6%365 W · 492 L-15.6wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-13.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe648…b79abacked Under49c1,318$646 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$672.3725554.1%138 W · 117 L-8.3wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-8.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xba26…23c9backed Over50c1,000$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5002,79650.3%1,405 W · 1,391 L+27.9wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd6bd…270cbacked Under51c1,000$510 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49012452.4%65 W · 59 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7140…47e3backed Over49c1,000$490 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49012650%63 W · 63 L+2.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe20a…e469backed Under50c862.26$431 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$431.132,36148.1%1,136 W · 1,225 L-41.8wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-3.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc17f…50aabacked Under49c633.32$310 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$322.9924048.3%116 W · 124 L-13.4wins-0.06per pick54cpaid-9.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Under48c613$294 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$318.664,87848%2,341 W · 2,537 L+61.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x182d…73e9backed Over56c600$336 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33640243.8%176 W · 226 L-1.3wins0.00per pick44cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5bc4…f44fbacked Under49c600$294 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30645647.1%215 W · 241 L-2.6wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd04d…bfc2backed Under50c600$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3002,43549.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L+30.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6b1e…65c1backed Under47c478.74$225 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$253.7320856.7%118 W · 90 L+13.7wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+12.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x1fc1…ffeebacked Under53c471.7$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$221.736943.4%160 W · 209 L-6.5wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-7.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd58b…48e8backed Over51c400$204 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2046358.7%37 W · 26 L+5.6wins+0.09per pick50cpaid+9.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xf971…0a57backed Over51c391$199 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$199.4118438.6%71 W · 113 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-5.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x5137…1556backed Over48c363.81$176 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$175.652,26543.4%982 W · 1,283 L-26.7wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-4.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdb12…f057backed Under47c324.82$154 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$170.6323348.9%114 W · 119 L+5.2wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+4.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6236…6881backed Over50c300$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15023748.1%114 W · 123 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa5e3…4d7ebacked Under46c269.13$124 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$145.3325845%116 W · 142 L-10.0wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-5.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0fb5…cdb0backed Over51c244.25$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$125.015644.6%25 W · 31 L-4.2wins-0.08per pick52cpaid-14.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x8717…49a8backed Under51c241.75$123 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$118.4635651.1%182 W · 174 L+4.7wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+6.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over52c204$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106.088,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6b3a…2841backed Under50c200$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1001,19747.5%569 W · 628 L-32.0wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-5.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc42c…42a1backed Under50c200$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10043052.3%225 W · 205 L+8.4wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+4.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe78e…55f0backed Under49c200$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10234645.7%158 W · 188 L+12.9wins+0.04per pick42cpaid+6.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x88ce…d898backed Over48c200$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$961050%5 W · 5 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-13.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbf28…72aabacked Over28c200$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5613318.8%25 W · 108 L-9.4wins-0.07per pick26cpaid-29.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x8059…c043backed Over51c200$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10226150.2%131 W · 130 L+4.3wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+6.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xdce2…1150backed Under52c200$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-17.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x64db…325bbacked Under52c193.08$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.081,25948.7%613 W · 646 L+1.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Under49c193$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.481,02848.5%499 W · 529 L+27.1wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+7.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xaacf…5f84backed Over51c169$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.191,15153.7%618 W · 533 L-41.7wins-0.04per pick57cpaid-6.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xaa95…447cbacked Under49c160$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.62245.5%10 W · 12 L-1.0wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-13.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe6e4…22ccbacked Under49c150$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.537750.4%190 W · 187 L+12.6wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+8.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa42a…d91fbacked Over51c123.53$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6362347.5%296 W · 327 L-17.3wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-6.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x50bb…9aa6backed Under49c110$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.111951.3%61 W · 58 L+3.9wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+1.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Under46c102.02$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.035,05350.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L+110.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x646c…3210backed Under50c100$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$508942.7%38 W · 51 L-7.2wins-0.08per pick51cpaid-25.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Under49c100$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$513,59150.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L+21.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x45d1…7017backed Under45c99.99$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.9935447.7%169 W · 185 L+7.0wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf256…a93fbacked Over52c99$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.4813253%70 W · 62 L-2.4wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-6.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4a59…eb2ebacked Under50c96$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4834451.5%177 W · 167 L+8.5wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+6.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5179…2b29backed Under50c80$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.3262349.6%309 W · 314 L+6.5wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4215…f03abacked Under50c80$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.328142%34 W · 47 L-2.1wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-8.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0dcb…7089backed Over51c77.77$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$404639.1%18 W · 28 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe8f1…025dbacked Over48c77$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.969351.6%48 W · 45 L-2.9wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa53f…b4c8backed Over55c72.73$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$403762.2%23 W · 14 L+2.7wins+0.07per pick55cpaid+17%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5961…56dbbacked Over49c70$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.637848.9%185 W · 193 L+4.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6d58…8accbacked Over49c65.88$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.2835851.7%185 W · 173 L-6.8wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-2.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2c4a…8e5dbacked Under50c64$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.3271747.6%341 W · 376 L+18.7wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4e0a…e4e6backed Under49c52$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.5187647.5%416 W · 460 L+3.7wins0.00per pick47cpaid+2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x41b7…f6babacked Over50c50$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2580146.4%372 W · 429 L-1.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3e47…a7abbacked Over52c48.08$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2549852.4%261 W · 237 L-0.3wins0.00per pick52cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcc0e…0fbdbacked Under50c48$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2431250.3%157 W · 155 L+2.7wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc599…2cecbacked Under50c48$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.2473445.5%334 W · 400 L+8.9wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2692…2698backed Under49c47$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.927150.2%136 W · 135 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe9fa…c365backed Under47c42.55$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.551526.7%4 W · 11 L-3.6wins-0.24per pick51cpaid-51.6%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x3873…dec8backed Over51c41.18$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2144243.7%193 W · 249 L+11.9wins+0.03per pick41cpaid-2.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa709…8d1dbacked Over49c40.82$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$208955.1%49 W · 40 L+4.3wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+9.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1225…33bfbacked Over49c40.82$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2010063%63 W · 37 L+4.8wins+0.05per pick58cpaid+9.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xdd35…c85ebacked Over53c40$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.27347.9%35 W · 38 L-4.7wins-0.06per pick54cpaid-16.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe50b…c2a8backed Under49c40$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.465855.6%366 W · 292 L+27.0wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+11.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x41ed…1da9backed Under50c40$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2033147.4%157 W · 174 L-6.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-2.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe83c…5e8fbacked Under44c37.37$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.931,45149.7%721 W · 730 L+18.0wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd079…8db3backed Under50c36$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.1431754.6%173 W · 144 L+16.9wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+12.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x4d58…2073backed Under50c36$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.1834254.1%185 W · 157 L+16.5wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+10.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc9ce…77eabacked Over56c35.71$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$206448.4%31 W · 33 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3f1f…f56bbacked Under50c32$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.1627350.9%139 W · 134 L+3.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1941…c47fbacked Under50c32$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.1613155%72 W · 59 L+2.3wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+1.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x0c2d…2570backed Under50c32$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.1611741.9%49 W · 68 L-9.4wins-0.08per pick50cpaid-18.9%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xb3e4…d6b2backed Under50c32$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1647948%230 W · 249 L+5.6wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+4.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe6dd…0accbacked Over55c30$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.54233.3%14 W · 28 L-5.2wins-0.12per pick46cpaid-38.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x2325…3256backed Over55c29.09$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$162055%11 W · 9 L+0.6wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+6.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd2a2…004abacked Under50c29$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.626648.5%129 W · 137 L-6.0wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa60b…c728backed Under50c27$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.6434053.8%183 W · 157 L+16.7wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+10.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x0ee5…96c2backed Under50c25$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.6327353.8%147 W · 126 L+11.4wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+9.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x84fc…9db4backed Under50c24$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1214648.6%71 W · 75 L-4.7wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-4.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf79e…9a84backed Under49c24$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.1622048.6%107 W · 113 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x864c…735fbacked Under49c24$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.1632649.7%162 W · 164 L-1.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7cae…bf8abacked Under50c24$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1215352.3%80 W · 73 L+2.8wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+4.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa48d…b023backed Under50c24$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.1227251.1%139 W · 133 L+3.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa800…cc71backed Under50c24$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.1225250.8%128 W · 124 L+3.5wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7dd9…00b1backed Under51c24$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.7211651.7%60 W · 56 L-3.9wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-2.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa620…ca56backed Under49c24$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.1631852.2%166 W · 152 L+7.2wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+5.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd2dc…b3c5backed Under50c24$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1215051.3%77 W · 73 L+0.1wins0.00per pick51cpaid+1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6b82…2d2abacked Under50c24$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1215953.5%85 W · 74 L+4.1wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+5.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9bf1…e774backed Over50c20$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10650%3 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-7.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb0ed…5c56backed Over50c20$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10425%1 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.29per pick54cpaid-59.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0565…8372backed Over50c20$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+14.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.