NBA · resolved market
Spread: 76ers (-4.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0589b7e7e73396c4d76ec5f606bf615bac410e73097c484928c20b055d1904d8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Clippersof 76ers, Clippers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $50,024
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $62,078
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $50,024 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 52 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6e11…82a9backed Clippers | 48c | 12,275$5,938 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,337.09 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -30%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked 76ers | 52c | 11,521$6,020 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,020.29 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed 76ers | 51c | 4,620$2,356 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,356.35 | 382 | 48.7%186 W · 196 L | +13.9wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a32…0086backed Clippers | 47c | 3,000$1,410 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,590 | 1,332 | 51.2%682 W · 650 L | +7.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Clippers | 46c | 2,663$1,224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,438.82 | 2,298 | 51.7%1,188 W · 1,110 L | +65.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Clippers | 51c | 2,609$1,336 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,272.73 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8331…965abacked 76ers | 55c | 2,300$1,265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,265 | 47 | 55.3%26 W · 21 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed 76ers | 47c | 2,000$940 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$940 | 1,752 | 40.6%712 W · 1,040 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Clippers | 45c | 1,007$454 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$552.11 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0da5…5adfbacked Clippers | 48c | 859.85$413 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$447.12 | 125 | 50.4%63 W · 62 L | -7.6wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed 76ers | 54c | 569$310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$309.71 | 2,091 | 47.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L | -56.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb230…4193backed 76ers | 52c | 548$285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$284.96 | 193 | 51.3%99 W · 94 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb820…cbe7backed Clippers | 45c | 520.79$234 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$286.44 | 589 | 51.3%302 W · 287 L | +6.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x182d…73e9backed 76ers | 54c | 400$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216 | 402 | 43.8%176 W · 226 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d58…8accbacked 76ers | 53c | 221.99$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.66 | 358 | 51.7%185 W · 173 L | -6.8wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1393…8392backed Clippers | 46c | 172$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.88 | 90 | 48.9%44 W · 46 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d30…2645backed Clippers | 47c | 138$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.14 | 74 | 48.6%36 W · 38 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd9d1…ff0cbacked 76ers | 55c | 136.55$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.13per pick | 53cpaid | +27.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed 76ers | 52c | 127.59$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.34 | 2,265 | 43.4%982 W · 1,283 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4130…a35bbacked Clippers | 47c | 112$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.36 | 81 | 51.9%42 W · 39 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2630…e941backed 76ers | 55c | 104.2$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.31 | 428 | 45.1%193 W · 235 L | -15.7wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d20…f812backed Clippers | 47c | 100.64$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.34 | 603 | 46.4%280 W · 323 L | -12.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea41…2312backed Clippers | 76c | 100$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed 76ers | 24c | 97.1$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.3 | 3,342 | 43.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L | +81.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x62e6…f251backed 76ers | 53c | 96$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.88 | 39 | 53.8%21 W · 18 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x591a…aec2backed 76ers | 53c | 95$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.35 | 94 | 52.1%49 W · 45 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x661e…81d6backed 76ers | 56c | 89.29$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 157 | 59.9%94 W · 63 L | +9.5wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Clippers | 45c | 87.6$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.18 | 3,120 | 44.7%1,394 W · 1,726 L | -7.6wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x063c…d642backed 76ers | 53c | 85$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.05 | 32 | 37.5%12 W · 20 L | -4.4wins | -0.14per pick | 51cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8cbb…acb2backed Clippers | 48c | 85$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44 | 890 | 50.4%449 W · 441 L | +4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x95c4…a93bbacked 76ers | 54c | 76$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.04 | 46 | 60.9%28 W · 18 L | +4.5wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +24%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd6…ab3dbacked Clippers | 45c | 75$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.25 | 807 | 44.1%356 W · 451 L | +6.2wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd3b…51dabacked 76ers | 54c | 64.81$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 46 | 56.5%26 W · 20 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc5d…be79backed 76ers | 54c | 61$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.94 | 44 | 59.1%26 W · 18 L | +3.3wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0974…003dbacked Clippers | 48c | 57.9$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.11 | 180 | 53.3%96 W · 84 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd22f…d0eebacked 76ers | 55c | 54.55$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 408 | 53.7%219 W · 189 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfacf…e97abacked 76ers | 53c | 53$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.09 | 37 | 51.4%19 W · 18 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x06e6…87e6backed Clippers | 45c | 52$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.6 | 446 | 48%214 W · 232 L | -12.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5b…f102backed 76ers | 55c | 50.91$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 905 | 60.8%550 W · 355 L | -2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf1a3…0c69backed 76ers | 52c | 50$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 158 | 38.6%61 W · 97 L | -11.1wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2011…f296backed 76ers | 52c | 50$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed 76ers | 68c | 40$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.2 | 353 | 52.4%185 W · 168 L | +11.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Clippers | 46c | 37.04$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 2,796 | 50.3%1,405 W · 1,391 L | +27.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94a2…0c1abacked 76ers | 55c | 36.36$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 104 | 47.1%49 W · 55 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3fa2…6f8cbacked Clippers | 45c | 34$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.7 | 69 | 53.6%37 W · 32 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x01fa…c2edbacked 76ers | 54c | 27.78$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 174 | 47.7%83 W · 91 L | -5.2wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcda8…e2ffbacked 76ers | 55c | 27.31$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -2.0wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb520…60bcbacked 76ers | 54c | 26$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.04 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked 76ers | 52c | 25$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 3,591 | 50.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L | +21.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7dda…5cbbbacked 76ers | 55c | 22$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.08 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f5f…99d3backed 76ers | 55c | 21$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.55 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | -3.9wins | -0.17per pick | 52cpaid | -32%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf597…f4aebacked 76ers | 55c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 46 | 45.7%21 W · 25 L | -3.7wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: 76ers (-4.5)this page
- Clippers vs. 76ers76ers won
- Clippers vs. 76ers: 1H MoneylineClippers won
- Clippers vs. 76ers: O/U 219.5Under won
- Clippers vs. 76ers: O/U 220.5Under won
- Clippers vs. 76ers: O/U 221.5Under won
- Clippers vs. 76ers: O/U 222.5Under won
- Spread: 76ers (-5.5)Clippers won
- Spread: 76ers (-6.5)Clippers won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.