NBA · resolved market
Clippers vs. 76ers: O/U 219.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xec552a788db8c4b6e27b6d577e3e6c8e00e6c6cbb7f6c280dd43fa4a601a452b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $13,128
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $13,369
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $13,128 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 35 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa5e3…4d7ebacked Under | 44c | 3,400$1,496 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,904 | 258 | 45%116 W · 142 L | -10.0wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 47c | 2,606$1,212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,393.51 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8331…965abacked Over | 53c | 2,200$1,166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,166 | 47 | 55.3%26 W · 21 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Over | 53c | 966.7$512 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$512.01 | 2,265 | 43.4%982 W · 1,283 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9376…c075backed Over | 54c | 925.93$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 141 | 56%79 W · 62 L | +6.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x357b…0b65backed Over | 55c | 909.09$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 271 | 58.3%158 W · 113 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3de6…405cbacked Over | 69c | 499.99$345 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$344.99 | 434 | 53.2%231 W · 203 L | +6.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 35c | 347$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225.51 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd473…3febbacked Over | 54c | 305.45$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166 | 249 | 55.8%139 W · 110 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe78e…55f0backed Under | 46c | 299.98$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.99 | 346 | 45.7%158 W · 188 L | +12.9wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Over | 54c | 227$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.81 | 2,091 | 47.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L | -56.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd333…2a71backed Over | 54c | 204.63$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 40 | 50%20 W · 20 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Under | 48c | 200.23$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.12 | 2,361 | 48.1%1,136 W · 1,225 L | -41.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x69dc…336dbacked Over | 56c | 200$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112 | 129 | 50.4%65 W · 64 L | -3.9wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a3d…2068backed Over | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 122 | 53.3%65 W · 57 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…bfc2backed Under | 48c | 167.4$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.05 | 2,435 | 49.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L | +30.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4cc7…908dbacked Over | 53c | 132.08$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 166 | 50%83 W · 83 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b88…748cbacked Over | 53c | 113.21$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 74 | 54.1%40 W · 34 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a8b…861dbacked Over | 54c | 111.11$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d45…1ba7backed Over | 54c | 111.11$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 112 | 64.3%72 W · 40 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 64cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2011…f296backed Over | 54c | 100$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8044…358ebacked Over | 53c | 100$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53 | 549 | 51.9%285 W · 264 L | -2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Under | 46c | 99.99$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54 | 3,591 | 50.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L | +21.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d20…f812backed Over | 53c | 94.34$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 603 | 46.4%280 W · 323 L | -12.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Under | 33c | 86.51$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.97 | 3,342 | 43.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L | +81.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x02a6…9347backed Over | 54c | 55.56$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 61 | 55.7%34 W · 27 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3873…dec8backed Over | 55c | 50.58$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 442 | 43.7%193 W · 249 L | +11.9wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc54f…dce8backed Under | 31c | 50$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.5 | 634 | 27.3%173 W · 461 L | -19.7wins | -0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb6f7…f858backed Over | 53c | 37.74$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 73 | 61.6%45 W · 28 L | +4.4wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6d1e…327abacked Over | 53c | 37.74$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | -3.5wins | -0.14per pick | 54cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x068e…6f16backed Over | 54c | 27.52$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.86 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -2.3wins | -0.29per pick | 54cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbddd…5042backed Over | 55c | 27.27$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 157 | 58%91 W · 66 L | +4.8wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x03ed…c077backed Under | 47c | 26.15$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.86 | 203 | 56.7%115 W · 88 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a18…7a20backed Over | 52c | 23.08$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 69 | 52.2%36 W · 33 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb7d1…4cb7backed Over | 53c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.6 | 46 | 47.8%22 W · 24 L | -2.4wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Clippers vs. 76ers: O/U 219.5this page
- Clippers vs. 76ers76ers won
- Clippers vs. 76ers: 1H MoneylineClippers won
- Clippers vs. 76ers: O/U 220.5Under won
- Clippers vs. 76ers: O/U 221.5Under won
- Clippers vs. 76ers: O/U 222.5Under won
- Spread: 76ers (-4.5)Clippers won
- Spread: 76ers (-5.5)Clippers won
- Spread: 76ers (-6.5)Clippers won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.