NBA · resolved market
Clippers vs. 76ers: O/U 222.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd7ba1c1c34245ec859923f692f5a1c36c1777fbff3f22403759cfe0ac40dd665
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $8,523
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $8,619
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,523 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 28 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 47c | 3,228$1,504 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,504.01 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Under | 52c | 2,009$1,045 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$964.41 | 2,169 | 40.8%885 W · 1,284 L | -8.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Under | 55c | 1,780$979 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$801 | 646 | 51.7%334 W · 312 L | -14.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Over | 47c | 1,128$534 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$534.46 | 2,091 | 47.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L | -56.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Under | 47c | 944.7$447 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$497.25 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 52c | 720$376 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$376.43 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d01…0ab1backed Under | 52c | 300$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144 | 726 | 47.7%346 W · 380 L | +5.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4692…0feebacked Over | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 26 | 30.8%8 W · 18 L | -6.8wins | -0.26per pick | 57cpaid | -48.8%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x309d…3a8abacked Under | 53c | 120$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.4 | 65 | 41.5%27 W · 38 L | -5.6wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x91e8…a953backed Over | 46c | 109.17$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.22 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +2.0wins | +0.22per pick | 56cpaid | +38.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe78e…55f0backed Under | 53c | 100$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47 | 346 | 45.7%158 W · 188 L | +12.9wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…bfc2backed Under | 50c | 88$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44 | 2,435 | 49.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L | +30.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Under | 54c | 85.1$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.15 | 2,361 | 48.1%1,136 W · 1,225 L | -41.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Over | 51c | 75$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.25 | 1,113 | 41.6%463 W · 650 L | -10.0wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xacac…bd06backed Over | 47c | 54$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.38 | 31 | 38.7%12 W · 19 L | -3.9wins | -0.12per pick | 51cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x27ec…ad73backed Under | 57c | 52.63$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.63 | 194 | 51.5%100 W · 94 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Over | 52c | 48$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.8 | 597 | 43.6%260 W · 337 L | -11.9wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Under | 54c | 41.23$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.96 | 3,591 | 50.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L | +21.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3873…dec8backed Under | 53c | 37.74$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.74 | 442 | 43.7%193 W · 249 L | +11.9wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe6ee…b3aabacked Under | 52c | 37.73$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.11 | 362 | 48.9%177 W · 185 L | -6.6wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57bc…d82dbacked Under | 55c | 37$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.65 | 56 | 57.1%32 W · 24 L | +3.5wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x806c…3381backed Over | 47c | 34$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.98 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -2.1wins | -0.12per pick | 53cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5961…56dbbacked Over | 46c | 30$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.8 | 378 | 48.9%185 W · 193 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Under | 49c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.3 | 2,208 | 46.6%1,030 W · 1,178 L | +42.7wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe71f…09f2backed Under | 55c | 27.27$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.27 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9376…c075backed Under | 51c | 25$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.25 | 141 | 56%79 W · 62 L | +6.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe98b…d3bebacked Under | 54c | 24.07$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.07 | 115 | 53%61 W · 54 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdfc1…818dbacked Over | 48c | 23$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.06 | 394 | 49.2%194 W · 200 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Clippers vs. 76ers: O/U 222.5this page
- Clippers vs. 76ers76ers won
- Clippers vs. 76ers: 1H MoneylineClippers won
- Clippers vs. 76ers: O/U 219.5Under won
- Clippers vs. 76ers: O/U 220.5Under won
- Clippers vs. 76ers: O/U 221.5Under won
- Spread: 76ers (-4.5)Clippers won
- Spread: 76ers (-5.5)Clippers won
- Spread: 76ers (-6.5)Clippers won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.