College Football · resolved market
Spread: Oklahoma (-5.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6b91f9352e699c112789fbcd3bd9d27c44d799d0bcd802a6a64d41ff4b15efbe
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Ole Missof Oklahoma, Ole Miss
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- College Footballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $385,707
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $398,724
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $385,707 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 70 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in College Football is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in College Football | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb2d0…fa41backed Ole Miss | 50c | 43,016$21,508 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21,508 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c66…bd51backed Oklahoma | 50c | 39,138$19,569 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,569 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5094…a296backed Oklahoma | 50c | 24,515$12,258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,257.5 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7c91…a39abacked Oklahoma | 50c | 21,685$10,843 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,842.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcde8…8b09backed Ole Miss | 50c | 21,423$10,712 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,711.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7878…d30bbacked Oklahoma | 50c | 21,389$10,695 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,694.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29b1…da56backed Ole Miss | 50c | 20,788$10,394 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,394 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb1c5…2316backed Oklahoma | 50c | 18,367$9,184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,183.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x47e8…18c6backed Ole Miss | 50c | 17,177$8,589 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,588.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x09e6…ae90backed Oklahoma | 50c | 10,450$5,225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,225 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Oklahoma | 49c | 9,690$4,748 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,748.09 | 935 | 48.4%453 W · 482 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Ole Miss | 50c | 9,500$4,750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,750 | 526 | 41.8%220 W · 306 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83b9…6124backed Ole Miss | 51c | 9,233$4,709 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,524.17 | 342 | 50.3%172 W · 170 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9aa7…08f7backed Ole Miss | 50c | 8,861$4,431 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,430.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec53…e599backed Ole Miss | 50c | 7,613$3,807 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,806.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ec3…3cdcbacked Oklahoma | 50c | 6,893$3,447 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,446.5 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +28.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d61…75e9backed Ole Miss | 50c | 6,814$3,407 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,407 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ecb…3b01backed Ole Miss | 50c | 6,692$3,346 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,346 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6af7…a0a3backed Oklahoma | 50c | 6,689$3,345 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,344.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf4ac…d507backed Oklahoma | 50c | 6,048$3,024 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,024 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e0e…ce49backed Oklahoma | 50c | 5,915$2,958 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,957.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc943…7626backed Ole Miss | 50c | 5,866$2,933 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,933 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16ce…a6f9backed Ole Miss | 50c | 5,384$2,692 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,692 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d5b…5323backed Ole Miss | 50c | 5,138$2,569 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,569 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae67…15a6backed Oklahoma | 50c | 5,109$2,555 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,554.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x015e…3954backed Oklahoma | 50c | 5,040$2,520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,520 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd38b…5029backed Oklahoma | 50c | 4,500$2,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,250 | 327 | 45.6%149 W · 178 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ffa…9f0ebacked Ole Miss | 50c | 4,446$2,223 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,223 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb43…3c74backed Oklahoma | 49c | 3,500$1,715 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,715 | 385 | 46%177 W · 208 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd51…a4bdbacked Ole Miss | 50c | 3,258$1,629 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,629 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x79f1…6e8dbacked Ole Miss | 50c | 3,164$1,582 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,582 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Ole Miss | 51c | 2,647$1,345 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,301.29 | 2,013 | 49.6%999 W · 1,014 L | +24.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d60…14b3backed Ole Miss | 50c | 2,509$1,255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,254.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0288…a386backed Oklahoma | 50c | 2,482$1,241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,241 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb690…8efbbacked Ole Miss | 50c | 2,459$1,230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,229.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf9fe…366bbacked Oklahoma | 50c | 2,016$1,008 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,008 | 157 | 51%80 W · 77 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e5…2d3abacked Ole Miss | 53c | 2,000$1,060 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$940 | 71 | 36.6%26 W · 45 L | -7.1wins | -0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc585…1b72backed Ole Miss | 50c | 1,993$997 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$996.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd09c…8f1bbacked Oklahoma | 50c | 1,928$964 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$964 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x113a…1251backed Ole Miss | 50c | 1,672$836 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$836 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ba5…aaf1backed Ole Miss | 55c | 1,546$850 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$695.54 | 152 | 52.6%80 W · 72 L | +9.9wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa2f5…46e3backed Ole Miss | 50c | 1,515$758 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$757.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed Oklahoma | 45c | 1,499$675 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$674.76 | 859 | 47.7%410 W · 449 L | +14.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x351b…4d06backed Ole Miss | 49c | 1,204$595 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$609 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x09f8…e156backed Ole Miss | 51c | 1,128$571 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$557 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | -2.3wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7cc7…0874backed Ole Miss | 50c | 1,020$510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$510 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84b5…04a2backed Ole Miss | 50c | 1,016$508 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$508 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc198…a24fbacked Oklahoma | 50c | 830$415 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$415 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce99…637ebacked Oklahoma | 49c | 735$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360.15 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | -2.8wins | -0.09per pick | 53cpaid | -17%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0774…99febacked Ole Miss | 50c | 500$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf5a7…63e7backed Oklahoma | 51c | 400$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204 | 111 | 42.3%47 W · 64 L | -10.4wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -19%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3529…6764backed Oklahoma | 50c | 334$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Ole Miss | 51c | 230.55$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114 | 1,090 | 41.7%455 W · 635 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b20…99e9backed Oklahoma | 48c | 222.92$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107 | 302 | 53%160 W · 142 L | +10.7wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x89c9…9534backed Oklahoma | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 293 | 51.9%152 W · 141 L | -6.0wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6919…d27bbacked Oklahoma | 51c | 200$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 73 | 32.9%24 W · 49 L | -7.9wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x258e…d16cbacked Oklahoma | 50c | 150$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 174 | 50%87 W · 87 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda82…5da2backed Ole Miss | 50c | 106$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53 | 52 | 51.9%27 W · 25 L | +3.1wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3a6c…3bfebacked Ole Miss | 51c | 101.96$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.96 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa492…a079backed Ole Miss | 51c | 100$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfbb6…25eabacked Oklahoma | 49c | 81.63$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 49 | 40.8%20 W · 29 L | -4.5wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2c0f…a394backed Oklahoma | 50c | 80$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29c1…012cbacked Ole Miss | 51c | 60$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.4 | 73 | 52.1%38 W · 35 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0078…bca0backed Ole Miss | 53c | 49.06$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.06 | 46 | 47.8%22 W · 24 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x28a8…57d5backed Oklahoma | 52c | 48.08$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 39 | 48.7%19 W · 20 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Ole Miss | 56c | 40$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.6 | 648 | 41.2%267 W · 381 L | +12.4wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9418…4f2abacked Oklahoma | 50c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 219 | 41.6%91 W · 128 L | -7.4wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc996…bb65backed Oklahoma | 44c | 40$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.6 | 276 | 48.9%135 W · 141 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9c1…416abacked Ole Miss | 51c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.7 | 100 | 59%59 W · 41 L | +6.5wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2325…3256backed Ole Miss | 51c | 29.41$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.41 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in College Football and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Oklahoma (-5.5)this page
- O/U 52.5Over won
- Ole Miss vs. OklahomaOle Miss won
- Ole Miss vs. Oklahoma: O/U 53.5Over won
- Ole Miss vs. Oklahoma: O/U 54.5Over won
- Spread: Oklahoma (-4.5)Ole Miss won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.