Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Spread: Connecticut Huskies (-2.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2b67624c8193f72f0c6024357eb3b41a74a57766191d611caa26a65943a8738d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- St. John's Red Stormof Connecticut Huskies, St. John's Red Storm
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $13,234
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $13,234 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 25 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd0e7…b14fbacked Connecticut Huskies | 50c | 6,027$2,984 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,984.16 | 394 | 54.6%215 W · 179 L | +21.3wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked St. John's Red Storm | 50c | 2,222$1,111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,111 | 2,687 | 48.5%1,303 W · 1,384 L | +4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed St. John's Red Storm | 51c | 1,535$783 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$751.91 | 1,152 | 48.9%563 W · 589 L | +3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1da3…2f94backed St. John's Red Storm | 53c | 940.8$496 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$445.16 | 21 | 71.4%15 W · 6 L | +3.5wins | +0.17per pick | 55cpaid | +30.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe33f…e413backed Connecticut Huskies | 49c | 499.98$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$244.99 | 372 | 46.2%172 W · 200 L | +6.7wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb2ca…d984backed St. John's Red Storm | 52c | 383.55$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185.3 | 162 | 53.1%86 W · 76 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72a1…1950backed St. John's Red Storm | 52c | 381.26$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183 | 338 | 55%186 W · 152 L | +7.0wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c56…0615backed St. John's Red Storm | 53c | 374.2$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.95 | 94 | 52.1%49 W · 45 L | +3.3wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x450b…11d7backed St. John's Red Storm | 52c | 266.88$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.1 | 1,251 | 50.6%633 W · 618 L | +12.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked St. John's Red Storm | 51c | 230.13$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.8 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x629c…6c01backed Connecticut Huskies | 49c | 199.52$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.77 | 35 | 54.3%19 W · 16 L | +3.1wins | +0.09per pick | 45cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed St. John's Red Storm | 51c | 194.84$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.47 | 220 | 47.7%105 W · 115 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x292e…172cbacked St. John's Red Storm | 52c | 190.63$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.5 | 833 | 50.2%418 W · 415 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Connecticut Huskies | 46c | 185.19$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.19 | 1,234 | 44.8%553 W · 681 L | -32.8wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0b87…9414backed Connecticut Huskies | 48c | 172.33$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.72 | 828 | 46.1%382 W · 446 L | +15.1wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd454…b47fbacked St. John's Red Storm | 51c | 155.49$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.19 | 218 | 50.9%111 W · 107 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2325…3256backed St. John's Red Storm | 51c | 145.75$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.4 | 42 | 50%21 W · 21 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Connecticut Huskies | 47c | 114$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.12 | 2,896 | 50%1,448 W · 1,448 L | +71.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2442…0c2bbacked St. John's Red Storm | 52c | 94.85$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.29 | 140 | 51.4%72 W · 68 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4855…6a41backed St. John's Red Storm | 51c | 59.86$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.33 | 326 | 52.8%172 W · 154 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce9d…a219backed Connecticut Huskies | 49c | 46.59$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.83 | 75 | 42.7%32 W · 43 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x14e4…eabbbacked St. John's Red Storm | 51c | 41.05$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.11 | 586 | 52.9%310 W · 276 L | +23.3wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x75e2…2ed0backed St. John's Red Storm | 53c | 37.41$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.58 | 115 | 52.2%60 W · 55 L | -8.5wins | -0.07per pick | 60cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc4cb…a917backed Connecticut Huskies | 49c | 30.34$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.87 | 51 | 39.2%20 W · 31 L | -3.3wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x74fe…8243backed St. John's Red Storm | 52c | 22.88$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.98 | 89 | 52.8%47 W · 42 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Connecticut Huskies (-2.5)this page
- Connecticut Huskies vs. St. John's Red StormSt. John's Red Storm won
- Connecticut Huskies vs. St. John's Red Storm: O/U 138.5Under won
- Connecticut Huskies vs. St. John's Red Storm: O/U 139.5Under won
- Connecticut Huskies vs. St. John's Red Storm: O/U 140.5Under won
- Connecticut Huskies vs. St. John's Red Storm: O/U 141.5Under won
- Spread: St. John's Red Storm (-3.5)St. John's Red Storm won
- Spread: St. John's Red Storm (-4.5)St. John's Red Storm won
- Spread: St. John's Red Storm (-6.5)St. John's Red Storm won
- Spread: St. John's Red Storm (-7.5)St. John's Red Storm won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.