TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NHL · resolved market

Avalanche vs. Canadiens

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Canadiensof Avalanche, Canadiens
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$787,375
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$956,453

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $787,375 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 408 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NHL
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xa5ea…d96abacked Canadiens47c150,000$70,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79,499.9910840.7%44 W · 64 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x03e8…1697backed Canadiens47c110,075$51,634 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58,441.4167051%342 W · 328 L+9.3wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb45a…192cbacked Avalanche53c100,000$53,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53,00022443.8%98 W · 126 L-5.3wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-6.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc257…358ebacked Avalanche28c51,273$14,403 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14,403.3648545.4%220 W · 265 L-7.8wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-6.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdc87…7ab6backed Avalanche53c37,317$19,778 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19,777.8756152%292 W · 269 L+7.1wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x20d6…3856backed Avalanche52c24,340$12,657 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,656.7526849.6%133 W · 135 L+5.9wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+8.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcd9b…414dbacked Avalanche53c18,785$9,956 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,956.014242.9%18 W · 24 L-2.1wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-16.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf5e1…5ad0backed Avalanche54c16,000$8,690 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,689.9933151.7%171 W · 160 L+9.0wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+7.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd7a5…7c26backed Canadiens72c15,200$10,944 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,2564365.1%28 W · 15 L+3.9wins+0.09per pick56cpaid+17.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Avalanche53c14,814$7,851 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,851.4279350.1%397 W · 396 L-11.5wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-3.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xbd09…a188backed Avalanche54c13,003$7,082 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,081.8561748.5%299 W · 318 L+0.4wins0.00per pick48cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1117…3532backed Avalanche52c12,519$6,550 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,549.7556649.5%280 W · 286 L-7.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc94a…9401backed Avalanche55c11,101$6,106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,105.6114553.1%77 W · 68 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+3.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x977a…f2cabacked Avalanche0c11,000$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201,1632.3%27 W · 1,136 L-10.7wins-0.01per pick3cpaid-87.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe72b…b0a0backed Canadiens73c10,925$7,959 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,965.265052%26 W · 24 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+4.7%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x99e4…e4c4backed Canadiens45c9,521$4,282 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,239.1810938.5%42 W · 67 L-9.2wins-0.08per pick47cpaid-20.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x9f13…e0fdbacked Canadiens46c9,239$4,250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,989.0747951.4%246 W · 233 L-5.6wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-2.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfb68…a240backed Avalanche53c8,916$4,726 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,725.6950049.6%248 W · 252 L+16.4wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xebc0…fa41backed Canadiens71c8,524$6,052 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,471.8317057.6%98 W · 72 L+15.0wins+0.09per pick49cpaid+25.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xdf69…9076backed Canadiens47c8,172$3,841 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,331.071442.9%6 W · 8 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Avalanche54c8,016$4,353 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,352.9593953.6%503 W · 436 L+29.6wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xba81…dc35backed Canadiens72c7,500$5,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,1005364.2%34 W · 19 L+6.4wins+0.12per pick52cpaid+34.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x0eb3…f766backed Avalanche54c6,651$3,616 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,616.2954047.6%257 W · 283 L-15.9wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-5.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9c4d…168cbacked Canadiens45c6,500$2,954 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,546.281,08745.1%490 W · 597 L+6.8wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc3ea…bb01backed Canadiens48c6,000$2,880 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,1203435.3%12 W · 22 L-2.5wins-0.07per pick43cpaid-20.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3c7e…a65fbacked Canadiens47c6,000$2,830 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,17060337.5%226 W · 377 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-8.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Canadiens67c5,875$3,935 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,939.921,30152.6%684 W · 617 L+23.7wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-6.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x78f7…2c5dbacked Canadiens47c5,474$2,573 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,901.3720552.2%107 W · 98 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5116…58c4backed Avalanche48c5,192$2,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,500.0875251.7%389 W · 363 L-2.1wins0.00per pick52cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7760…21f0backed Avalanche54c5,000$2,700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,70021036.2%76 W · 134 L-14.6wins-0.07per pick43cpaid-16.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Avalanche53c5,000$2,650 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,6501,44149.2%709 W · 732 L+6.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Canadiens46c4,237$1,933 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,303.42,89451.3%1,484 W · 1,410 L+58.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Canadiens54c4,165$2,232 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,932.552,66451.6%1,375 W · 1,289 L+58.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2ada…2f28backed Avalanche1c3,876$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.3818520.5%38 W · 147 L-0.7wins0.00per pick21cpaid-45.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbad2…5296backed Avalanche54c3,555$1,914 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,914.1589249.9%445 W · 447 L+10.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xce99…637ebacked Canadiens47c3,107$1,460 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,646.7126946.1%124 W · 145 L+3.1wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x30a4…8441backed Avalanche53c3,000$1,590 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,59012947.3%61 W · 68 L-5.6wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-7.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb4b7…3c8bbacked Avalanche52c3,000$1,560 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,5607347.9%35 W · 38 L-0.3wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2f5b…e747backed Avalanche52c2,908$1,525 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,525.2143548.5%211 W · 224 L-7.4wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb9df…1fbcbacked Avalanche57c2,847$1,621 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,620.661163.6%7 W · 4 L+2.3wins+0.21per pick43cpaid+112.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x371a…34b0backed Avalanche1c2,655$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.047450.7%5 W · 740 L-13.2wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-94.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8bd8…f306backed Avalanche52c2,608$1,356 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,356.2131654.7%173 W · 143 L+14.7wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+9.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Avalanche54c2,568$1,376 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,375.91,94849.4%962 W · 986 L+24.9wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd6f4…0566backed Canadiens66c2,278$1,513 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$764.9495049.1%466 W · 484 L+12.6wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-10.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe9f5…3e7abacked Avalanche55c2,260$1,243 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,2436656.1%37 W · 29 L+2.6wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+6.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xee7e…61bbbacked Canadiens46c2,178$1,002 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,176.2641248.3%199 W · 213 L-5.0wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-2.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x46f4…5bc0backed Canadiens46c2,152$1,001 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,151.417138%27 W · 44 L-2.6wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-10.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Canadiens47c2,150$1,015 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,135.4861950.1%310 W · 309 L-7.6wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Canadiens70c2,130$1,485 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$644.693,70450.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L+105.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Avalanche2c2,068$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.9189636.9%331 W · 565 L-30.9wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-26.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xed61…9aa3backed Canadiens64c2,032$1,298 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$733.6758467.5%394 W · 190 L+93.1wins+0.16per pick52cpaid+32.9%equal weight67+0.15 edge/pick
0xd4da…3175backed Avalanche52c2,012$1,046 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,045.9928251.8%146 W · 136 L+8.9wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+4.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x733d…1ae7backed Avalanche53c2,000$1,060 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,06021048.1%101 W · 109 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+5.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8758…01e0backed Avalanche53c2,000$1,060 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0602524%6 W · 19 L-5.7wins-0.23per pick47cpaid-38.4%equal weight37-0.11 edge/pick
0xf699…07e1backed Canadiens65c1,987$1,300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$686.9185464.2%548 W · 306 L+64.5wins+0.08per pick57cpaid+18.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x1d3a…7b63backed Canadiens47c1,888$887 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,000.6486649.9%432 W · 434 L+1.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Avalanche52c1,881$978 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$978.2145751.6%236 W · 221 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x344b…f7fcbacked Avalanche28c1,880$532 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$531.8727739.4%109 W · 168 L-13.5wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-21.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xbce9…03e9backed Avalanche1c1,833$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.492504.8%12 W · 238 L+6.2wins+0.02per pick2cpaid+159.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x765c…0779backed Avalanche53c1,800$945 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94540049.3%197 W · 203 L-4.4wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-2.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5e82…7670backed Avalanche52c1,792$932 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9324045%18 W · 22 L-1.5wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-10.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x986c…3180backed Avalanche54c1,756$940 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$940.3445955.1%253 W · 206 L+1.0wins0.00per pick55cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8bc5…69cbbacked Avalanche29c1,718$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50020%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xae82…faf0backed Avalanche25c1,623$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4004264.3%27 W · 15 L+5.5wins+0.13per pick51cpaid+26.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xffd0…93fcbacked Canadiens46c1,600$736 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86412445.2%56 W · 68 L-8.3wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-13.8%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x293f…3e52backed Canadiens48c1,575$756 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8195736.8%21 W · 36 L-3.0wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-15.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Avalanche35c1,559$546 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$545.671,38447.1%652 W · 732 L+25.6wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd6ce…7ec8backed Avalanche53c1,500$795 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79562346.9%292 W · 331 L-3.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid-2.2%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xd622…8b56backed Avalanche52c1,500$780 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78010846.3%50 W · 58 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0a7e…fce4backed Canadiens46c1,500$690 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81051044.5%227 W · 283 L+7.0wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa965…3565backed Avalanche62c1,500$935 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93532650%163 W · 163 L+0.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcacf…35ffbacked Avalanche1c1,441$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.681458.3%12 W · 133 L+4.9wins+0.03per pick5cpaid+135.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x19ed…6dc8backed Avalanche54c1,282$692 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$692.2114753.7%79 W · 68 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-4.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x486f…b325backed Avalanche54c1,282$692 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$692.214358.1%25 W · 18 L+3.4wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+8.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xaabb…5554backed Avalanche53c1,260$664 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$663.7845749.2%225 W · 232 L-5.2wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x698b…4426backed Canadiens46c1,200$552 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6484047.5%19 W · 21 L-1.8wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-3.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf41a…ea2bbacked Canadiens46c1,200$552 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$647.9891945.6%419 W · 500 L-27.3wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-7.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xaf2a…0525backed Avalanche53c1,182$626 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$626.49254.3%50 W · 42 L-0.2wins0.00per pick55cpaid-1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb552…94a8backed Avalanche53c1,180$625 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$625.461953.8%333 W · 286 L+13.2wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+4.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x200c…58eabacked Avalanche53c1,151$610 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6103764.9%24 W · 13 L+3.6wins+0.10per pick55cpaid+22.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x10d4…d953backed Canadiens47c1,143$537 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$605.8644551.2%228 W · 217 L+16.4wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+9.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9703…69c2backed Canadiens46c1,139$528 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$611.528450%42 W · 42 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8c16…4b37backed Canadiens70c1,134$794 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$340.1221856.4%123 W · 95 L+10.1wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+9.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe4fc…8af7backed Avalanche53c1,060$556 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$556.4460249.5%298 W · 304 L-5.5wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x07bf…f9cebacked Avalanche11c1,044$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$111.83525.7%9 W · 26 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick25cpaid-7.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Canadiens46c1,000$460 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54066552%346 W · 319 L+8.8wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x57b9…d142backed Avalanche53c1,000$530 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5309752.6%51 W · 46 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6a89…2f26backed Avalanche54c1,000$540 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54070547.7%336 W · 369 L-26.9wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-7.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xed2c…9597backed Canadiens46c999.99$460 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54033345.6%152 W · 181 L+0.7wins0.00per pick45cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4c25…c3bebacked Canadiens46c999.97$460 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$539.9924945.4%113 W · 136 L-16.4wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-11.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Avalanche52c991.12$514 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$514.052,75447.9%1,318 W · 1,436 L+11.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid-8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe0a2…a349backed Avalanche10c976.95$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.5731744.2%140 W · 177 L+14.6wins+0.05per pick40cpaid-5.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd0d8…480bbacked Canadiens47c933.55$439 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$494.789854.1%53 W · 45 L+6.8wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+13.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xecfc…cd05backed Avalanche54c931$503 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502.7486852.4%455 W · 413 L+7.0wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed Canadiens46c915$421 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$494.184953.8%457 W · 392 L+20.9wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf11d…ee9abacked Canadiens73c900$656 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$243.61100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+37.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x58f4…764ebacked Avalanche18c872.09$159 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$159.422536%9 W · 16 L-3.2wins-0.13per pick49cpaid-28.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x03d9…e693backed Avalanche2c850$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16557.3%4 W · 51 L+2.6wins+0.05per pick3cpaid+70.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xebff…70e5backed Avalanche33c842.71$279 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$278.7722728.2%64 W · 163 L-17.6wins-0.08per pick36cpaid-37.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xf74a…a91cbacked Avalanche59c798.22$474 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$474.1610251%52 W · 50 L+3.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.