NHL · resolved market
Spread: Avalanche (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x39a60add340e6b0661c93d3a7dc26ffde4cf1a2c145ccb1f0aee8235ba2f2214
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Canadiensof Avalanche, Canadiens
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $35,876
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $37,124
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $35,876 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 47 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd1e6…1dc1backed Canadiens | 68c | 21,942$14,896 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,046.46 | 55 | 52.7%29 W · 26 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Avalanche | 32c | 12,000$3,840 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,840 | 1,441 | 49.2%709 W · 732 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x07dd…0876backed Avalanche | 32c | 3,800$1,216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,216 | 56 | 71.4%40 W · 16 L | +10.5wins | +0.19per pick | 53cpaid | +38.5%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Avalanche | 37c | 2,989$1,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,100 | 852 | 50.2%428 W · 424 L | -26.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Canadiens | 63c | 2,815$1,774 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,041.58 | 561 | 52%292 W · 269 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Avalanche | 32c | 1,960$627 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$627.08 | 2,112 | 42.9%907 W · 1,205 L | -10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe504…600ebacked Canadiens | 69c | 1,636$1,133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$502.27 | 270 | 44.4%120 W · 150 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5e1…5ad0backed Avalanche | 35c | 1,553$544 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$543.7 | 331 | 51.7%171 W · 160 L | +9.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked Avalanche | 33c | 1,500$495 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$495 | 360 | 38.6%139 W · 221 L | -5.6wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8929…733ebacked Avalanche | 32c | 1,260$398 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$397.72 | 88 | 37.5%33 W · 55 L | -4.5wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa6e3…6dfebacked Avalanche | 32c | 926.28$297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$297 | 48 | 56.3%27 W · 21 L | +4.3wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Avalanche | 31c | 912.39$279 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$278.95 | 1,679 | 54.4%914 W · 765 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Canadiens | 65c | 848$551 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$296.8 | 793 | 50.1%397 W · 396 L | -11.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Avalanche | 33c | 777$256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$256.41 | 1,024 | 48.4%496 W · 528 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a86…5664backed Avalanche | 35c | 714.29$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 181 | 36.5%66 W · 115 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Canadiens | 65c | 672.27$437 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235.29 | 919 | 45.6%419 W · 500 L | -27.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Avalanche | 32c | 500$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 916 | 53.9%494 W · 422 L | +39.6wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Avalanche | 34c | 495.79$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.09 | 939 | 53.6%503 W · 436 L | +29.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Avalanche | 34c | 490.02$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.24 | 1,948 | 49.4%962 W · 986 L | +24.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Canadiens | 65c | 400$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140 | 764 | 50.4%385 W · 379 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Canadiens | 65c | 366.51$238 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.28 | 2,664 | 51.6%1,375 W · 1,289 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e5b…a569backed Canadiens | 68c | 352.94$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.94 | 226 | 55.8%126 W · 100 L | -4.7wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa632…4c96backed Avalanche | 33c | 303.03$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Avalanche | 32c | 250.83$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.86 | 2,754 | 47.9%1,318 W · 1,436 L | +11.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3eff…ae12backed Canadiens | 65c | 234.66$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.13 | 55 | 47.3%26 W · 29 L | -3.4wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x83a3…6292backed Canadiens | 67c | 222.75$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.75 | 811 | 57.2%464 W · 347 L | -5.8wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda75…bbf9backed Avalanche | 35c | 200$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 206 | 55.3%114 W · 92 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ca5…e6c9backed Canadiens | 68c | 200$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Avalanche | 32c | 184.56$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.06 | 786 | 51.8%407 W · 379 L | -16.6wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d7…4084backed Canadiens | 65c | 170.77$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.77 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +58%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3b3a…1440backed Avalanche | 33c | 146.87$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.47 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8f…3782backed Avalanche | 32c | 128.12$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.99 | 162 | 37%60 W · 102 L | -4.7wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb58…86a4backed Canadiens | 67c | 124$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.92 | 317 | 53.9%171 W · 146 L | -14.3wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x90c5…534cbacked Avalanche | 35c | 101.75$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.26 | 541 | 32.7%177 W · 364 L | -11.5wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe31…6573backed Avalanche | 35c | 100.14$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 210 | 42.4%89 W · 121 L | +6.6wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Canadiens | 69c | 100$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.5 | 1,846 | 57.2%1,055 W · 791 L | +85.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe624…2928backed Avalanche | 35c | 91.98$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.19 | 226 | 55.3%125 W · 101 L | +17.7wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Avalanche | 33c | 83$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.39 | 868 | 52.4%455 W · 413 L | +7.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c04…2e2dbacked Canadiens | 65c | 78.46$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.46 | 542 | 60.3%327 W · 215 L | +13.3wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…06c5backed Avalanche | 36c | 70.24$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.6 | 68 | 42.6%29 W · 39 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e51…e4f7backed Avalanche | 32c | 64.4$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.61 | 153 | 49%75 W · 78 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbbe2…6158backed Canadiens | 68c | 44.12$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.12 | 401 | 62.1%249 W · 152 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2fd5…ef85backed Avalanche | 32c | 32.66$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.45 | 136 | 47.1%64 W · 72 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4b37…d7e9backed Canadiens | 66c | 31.82$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.82 | 83 | 51.8%43 W · 40 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d84…21b1backed Canadiens | 68c | 31.44$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.08 | 139 | 54%75 W · 64 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x973e…22ebbacked Canadiens | 69c | 30.43$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.43 | 690 | 61.6%425 W · 265 L | +15.7wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x24ca…5829backed Canadiens | 65c | 19.98$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.99 | 70 | 60%42 W · 28 L | +4.8wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Avalanche (-1.5)this page
- Avalanche vs. CanadiensCanadiens won
- Avalanche vs. Canadiens: O/U 6.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.