College Football · resolved market
Spread: Utah (-17.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x003c93a2f4034b69047ed06a8b15dc8a38a21a3d6b1c09e4d2cc4538f80feb41
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Kansas Stateof Utah, Kansas State
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- College Footballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $76,368
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $93,327
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $76,368 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 32 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in College Football is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in College Football | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9249…4f16backed Kansas State | 51c | 32,000$16,314 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,686.49 | 100 | 46%46 W · 54 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Utah | 49c | 19,608$9,608 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,608 | 935 | 48.4%453 W · 482 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67f9…d241backed Kansas State | 51c | 12,400$6,324 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,075.99 | 17 | 17.6%3 W · 14 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 17cpaid | -44.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x50be…371bbacked Kansas State | 52c | 12,217$6,353 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,864.31 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | +1.7wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd696…8a49backed Utah | 49c | 11,674$5,720 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,720.24 | 118 | 51.7%61 W · 57 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Utah | 48c | 10,069$4,833 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,833.23 | 588 | 50.2%295 W · 293 L | +23.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Utah | 49c | 6,000$2,940 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,940 | 381 | 42.5%162 W · 219 L | -10.2wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a1e…86d3backed Utah | 49c | 5,829$2,856 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,856.13 | 107 | 53.3%57 W · 50 L | +4.6wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Utah | 48c | 2,390$1,147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,147.39 | 2,013 | 49.6%999 W · 1,014 L | +24.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Utah | 50c | 1,020$506 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$506 | 818 | 47.9%392 W · 426 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8351…9bebbacked Kansas State | 51c | 784.31$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$384.31 | 224 | 37.5%84 W · 140 L | -17.3wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…1e15backed Utah | 49c | 612.24$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 87 | 52.9%46 W · 41 L | +3.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x182d…73e9backed Kansas State | 51c | 549.02$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$269.02 | 134 | 44%59 W · 75 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Utah | 49c | 460$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225.4 | 648 | 41.2%267 W · 381 L | +12.4wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x12fe…38cfbacked Kansas State | 51c | 400$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196 | 422 | 44.5%188 W · 234 L | +12.1wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x033f…618ebacked Utah | 49c | 394.59$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.35 | 76 | 64.5%49 W · 27 L | +9.0wins | +0.12per pick | 53cpaid | +65.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7ed3…bffcbacked Utah | 49c | 293.88$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Utah | 49c | 203.77$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.77 | 659 | 45.2%298 W · 361 L | -13.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Kansas State | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 568 | 44.5%253 W · 315 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Utah | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 209 | 50.2%105 W · 104 L | +5.4wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xab84…668fbacked Kansas State | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.31 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.18per pick | 32cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Kansas State | 51c | 150.77$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.88 | 1,090 | 41.7%455 W · 635 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f5…1caabacked Utah | 50c | 90$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.9 | 399 | 54.1%216 W · 183 L | +21.2wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Utah | 49c | 75$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.75 | 632 | 43.7%276 W · 356 L | +34.8wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | +138.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe6e4…22ccbacked Kansas State | 50c | 75$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.5 | 73 | 46.6%34 W · 39 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x939d…3b3cbacked Utah | 50c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Utah | 49c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.5 | 269 | 40.5%109 W · 160 L | -5.5wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed Kansas State | 50c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 290 | 55.2%160 W · 130 L | +10.1wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2325…3256backed Kansas State | 52c | 30.77$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.77 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4bdf…9652backed Utah | 49c | 28$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.72 | 117 | 52.1%61 W · 56 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Utah | 49c | 26$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.74 | 542 | 43.2%234 W · 308 L | +9.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x398a…95b7backed Utah | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | -2.0wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in College Football and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Utah (-17.5)this page
- Kansas State vs. UtahUtah won
- Kansas State vs. Utah: O/U 51.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.