NHL · resolved market
Spread: Hurricanes (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0e374ede8398923622a0af8e42fe28d8c2556b6e06c891de194e592654ae7b91
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Sharksof Hurricanes, Sharks
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $112,800
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $113,602
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $112,800 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 58 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet's whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Hurricanes | 55c | 108,501$59,668 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59,667.86 | 390 | 47.9%187 W · 203 L | -13.2wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd696…8a49backed Sharks | 45c | 21,634$9,735 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,898.8 | 514 | 52.3%269 W · 245 L | +17.1wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Sharks | 45c | 20,669$9,301 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,367.88 | 881 | 51.2%451 W · 430 L | +10.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Sharks | 45c | 19,955$8,980 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,975.47 | 1,441 | 49.2%709 W · 732 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Sharks | 45c | 10,398$4,710 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,688.24 | 2,664 | 51.6%1,375 W · 1,289 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xebc0…fa41backed Sharks | 45c | 9,573$4,308 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,265.36 | 170 | 57.6%98 W · 72 L | +15.0wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +25.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x32eb…0c1bbacked Sharks | 45c | 5,534$2,490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,043.7 | 46 | 54.3%25 W · 21 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8e68…d99bbacked Sharks | 45c | 4,444$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,444.2 | 286 | 52.4%150 W · 136 L | +6.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Sharks | 45c | 3,522$1,591 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,931.36 | 2,894 | 51.3%1,484 W · 1,410 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Sharks | 45c | 3,134$1,410 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,723.7 | 574 | 53.8%309 W · 265 L | +12.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Sharks | 45c | 2,088$938 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,150 | 2,112 | 42.9%907 W · 1,205 L | -10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked Sharks | 45c | 1,500$675 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$825 | 360 | 38.6%139 W · 221 L | -5.6wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa1d7…a70cbacked Hurricanes | 45c | 1,320$594 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$593.7 | 309 | 46.3%143 W · 166 L | -7.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Sharks | 45c | 1,254$564 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$689.47 | 939 | 53.6%503 W · 436 L | +29.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Sharks | 46c | 991$455 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$536.05 | 1,024 | 48.4%496 W · 528 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Sharks | 55c | 850$468 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$382.5 | 618 | 48.1%297 W · 321 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3ec…e987backed Hurricanes | 47c | 700$327 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$327 | 243 | 47.7%116 W · 127 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4602…3315backed Sharks | 45c | 600$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$330 | 89 | 56.2%50 W · 39 L | +5.4wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Sharks | 45c | 483.83$218 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$266.1 | 1,143 | 50.8%581 W · 562 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1244…c851backed Sharks | 45c | 444$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.2 | 222 | 48.2%107 W · 115 L | -5.2wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ae7…cf61backed Sharks | 50c | 401$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201 | 130 | 60%78 W · 52 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe025…102fbacked Sharks | 45c | 222.22$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.22 | 127 | 56.7%72 W · 55 L | +11.4wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xeb89…46f1backed Sharks | 46c | 203$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.03 | 61 | 57.4%35 W · 26 L | +3.1wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7b10…acabbacked Sharks | 51c | 200$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98 | 39 | 53.8%21 W · 18 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc1f7…c4e5backed Sharks | 55c | 188.32$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.74 | 74 | 59.5%44 W · 30 L | +4.7wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4a59…eb2ebacked Sharks | 45c | 177$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.35 | 376 | 49.7%187 W · 189 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf10b…2041backed Sharks | 49c | 122.45$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.45 | 108 | 51.9%56 W · 52 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x34fa…f491backed Sharks | 46c | 110$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.5 | 599 | 50.4%302 W · 297 L | +20.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Sharks | 57c | 95$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41 | 1,679 | 54.4%914 W · 765 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Sharks | 55c | 90.91$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.91 | 1,846 | 57.2%1,055 W · 791 L | +85.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…5c00backed Sharks | 45c | 89.42$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.18 | 46 | 41.3%19 W · 27 L | -4.2wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Sharks | 45c | 88.8$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.84 | 1,530 | 51.7%791 W · 739 L | +22.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7a3…ad9ebacked Hurricanes | 57c | 87.72$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 177 | 55.9%99 W · 78 L | +4.6wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Sharks | 55c | 75$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.75 | 1,054 | 42.5%448 W · 606 L | -25.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Sharks | 45c | 70$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.5 | 792 | 51.1%405 W · 387 L | +21.7wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Sharks | 45c | 65.73$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.15 | 1,028 | 53.2%547 W · 481 L | +21.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5abb…061bbacked Sharks | 47c | 64$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.22 | 181 | 48.6%88 W · 93 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2325…3256backed Sharks | 45c | 55.33$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.43 | 73 | 57.5%42 W · 31 L | +5.6wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Sharks | 45c | 55$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.25 | 793 | 50.1%397 W · 396 L | -11.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5179…2b29backed Sharks | 45c | 53$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.15 | 481 | 49.3%237 W · 244 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1941…c47fbacked Sharks | 45c | 53$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.15 | 106 | 52.8%56 W · 50 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc599…2cecbacked Sharks | 45c | 53$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.15 | 583 | 46.5%271 W · 312 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c4a…8e5dbacked Sharks | 45c | 53$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.15 | 472 | 49.2%232 W · 240 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41ed…1da9backed Sharks | 45c | 44$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.2 | 295 | 50.2%148 W · 147 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa293…81f6backed Hurricanes | 54c | 37.11$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -3.2wins | -0.19per pick | 54cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3bc5…7ac4backed Hurricanes | 54c | 37.04$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 94 | 52.1%49 W · 45 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcc0e…0fbdbacked Sharks | 45c | 35$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.25 | 291 | 47.4%138 W · 153 L | -7.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa97e…7753backed Sharks | 45c | 35$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.25 | 216 | 48.1%104 W · 112 L | -6.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c2d…2570backed Sharks | 45c | 35$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.25 | 175 | 52%91 W · 84 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc2b0…e756backed Hurricanes | 38c | 35$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.2 | 55 | 40%22 W · 33 L | +4.6wins | +0.08per pick | 32cpaid | +24%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb3e4…d6b2backed Sharks | 45c | 35$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.25 | 418 | 51.4%215 W · 203 L | +14.6wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed Sharks | 45c | 35$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.25 | 605 | 49.3%298 W · 307 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb95e…c6d6backed Sharks | 45c | 35$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.25 | 172 | 49.4%85 W · 87 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4bdf…9652backed Sharks | 47c | 30$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.9 | 65 | 46.2%30 W · 35 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7fa4…9f20backed Hurricanes | 52c | 26.92$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa60b…c728backed Sharks | 45c | 26$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.3 | 264 | 48.9%129 W · 135 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd079…8db3backed Sharks | 45c | 26$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.3 | 263 | 48.7%128 W · 135 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d58…2073backed Sharks | 45c | 26$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.3 | 271 | 48.7%132 W · 139 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Hurricanes (-1.5)this page
- Sharks vs. HurricanesSharks won
- Sharks vs. Hurricanes: O/U 6.5Under won
- Spread: Hurricanes (-2.5)Sharks won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80.
- The position was at least $10.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.