Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Spread: Houston Cougars (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbc81fe07ad1b628f1040714fefa16b79219996108b47c13f775c8adf06d85e7f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Kansas Jayhawksof Houston Cougars, Kansas Jayhawks
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $16,607
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $16,631
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $16,607 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 37 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Kansas Jayhawks | 49c | 6,199$3,022 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,176.9 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Houston Cougars | 51c | 5,555$2,855 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,855.27 | 2,687 | 48.5%1,303 W · 1,384 L | +4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Kansas Jayhawks | 47c | 4,371$2,052 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,319.58 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05b9…2adfbacked Houston Cougars | 54c | 1,836$991 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$991.31 | 572 | 48.1%275 W · 297 L | -27.3wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x57a8…6933backed Houston Cougars | 53c | 886.75$470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$469.98 | 746 | 49.2%367 W · 379 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Houston Cougars | 52c | 732.66$380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$380.46 | 2,896 | 50%1,448 W · 1,448 L | +71.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8461…c6e4backed Houston Cougars | 55c | 630.85$347 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$346.97 | 182 | 45.1%82 W · 100 L | -15.9wins | -0.09per pick | 54cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2714…960fbacked Kansas Jayhawks | 48c | 600$288 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$312 | 161 | 47.2%76 W · 85 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefce…4e4abacked Houston Cougars | 53c | 566.02$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.99 | 347 | 46.1%160 W · 187 L | -11.7wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f18…712dbacked Houston Cougars | 53c | 220.7$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.97 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc8c…d58cbacked Houston Cougars | 54c | 201.93$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.04 | 83 | 53%44 W · 39 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3989…27b1backed Houston Cougars | 54c | 199.65$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.81 | 87 | 37.9%33 W · 54 L | -12.1wins | -0.14per pick | 52cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Kansas Jayhawks | 48c | 197.09$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.93 | 4,382 | 40.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L | +23.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7795…1db8backed Houston Cougars | 54c | 184.18$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.13 | 63 | 57.1%36 W · 27 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca4e…f97ebacked Houston Cougars | 54c | 169.56$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.56 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | -1.7wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbf57…ecc4backed Kansas Jayhawks | 49c | 167.9$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.79 | 77 | 48.1%37 W · 40 L | -6.5wins | -0.08per pick | 57cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4855…6a41backed Houston Cougars | 52c | 153.84$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 326 | 52.8%172 W · 154 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2442…0c2bbacked Houston Cougars | 54c | 137.68$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.35 | 140 | 51.4%72 W · 68 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb38c…b2c9backed Kansas Jayhawks | 46c | 123$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.42 | 239 | 48.1%115 W · 124 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c93…0fb8backed Kansas Jayhawks | 49c | 122.68$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.67 | 52 | 48.1%25 W · 27 L | -3.6wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2325…3256backed Houston Cougars | 53c | 97.26$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.55 | 42 | 50%21 W · 21 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Houston Cougars | 52c | 96.15$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 4,552 | 50.1%2,279 W · 2,273 L | -36.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83ea…c2efbacked Houston Cougars | 54c | 92.14$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.57 | 230 | 54.3%125 W · 105 L | +6.1wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcba8…11a2backed Houston Cougars | 53c | 56.99$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.04 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 60cpaid | -5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51eb…6bfabacked Houston Cougars | 54c | 55.07$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.74 | 310 | 57.4%178 W · 132 L | +11.6wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf405…b15bbacked Houston Cougars | 56c | 53.31$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.74 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b78…c6b5backed Kansas Jayhawks | 49c | 52.97$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.18 | 609 | 54.5%332 W · 277 L | +15.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Houston Cougars | 41c | 52.39$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.48 | 3,684 | 42.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L | +32.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd454…b47fbacked Houston Cougars | 55c | 48.61$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.77 | 218 | 50.9%111 W · 107 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfae1…7bb6backed Houston Cougars | 54c | 45.89$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.78 | 19 | 73.7%14 W · 5 L | +4.3wins | +0.23per pick | 51cpaid | +42.5%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x9405…c071backed Kansas Jayhawks | 47c | 43.57$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.09 | 445 | 49.4%220 W · 225 L | -14.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb6dc…ab58backed Kansas Jayhawks | 48c | 41.83$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.75 | 62 | 48.4%30 W · 32 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2d…fbf5backed Kansas Jayhawks | 45c | 40$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22 | 576 | 55%317 W · 259 L | +17.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xce9d…a219backed Kansas Jayhawks | 48c | 31.98$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.73 | 75 | 42.7%32 W · 43 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed Kansas Jayhawks | 49c | 30.5$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.43 | 646 | 47.5%307 W · 339 L | +5.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x529c…1809backed Kansas Jayhawks | 48c | 24.87$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.97 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.10per pick | 39cpaid | -44.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Kansas Jayhawks | 45c | 22.24$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.23 | 1,249 | 16.4%205 W · 1,044 L | -189.4wins | -0.15per pick | 32cpaid | -51.1%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Houston Cougars (-1.5)this page
- Houston Cougars vs. Kansas JayhawksKansas Jayhawks won
- Houston Cougars vs. Kansas Jayhawks: O/U 137.5Under won
- Houston Cougars vs. Kansas Jayhawks: O/U 138.5Under won
- Spread: Houston Cougars (-2.5)Kansas Jayhawks won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.