Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Houston Cougars vs. Kansas Jayhawks: O/U 138.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9b02248f3d9ff77ff48efd462a963d817070e8d7643fc69e1e7347f4ecce09b5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $43,857
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $43,599
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $43,857 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 41 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 51c | 14,111$7,252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,858.57 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b47…d615backed Over | 47c | 8,361$3,930 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,929.58 | 740 | 51.5%381 W · 359 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9405…c071backed Over | 49c | 8,261$4,048 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,047.66 | 445 | 49.4%220 W · 225 L | -14.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb3a1…3529backed Over | 49c | 6,397$3,135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,134.53 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | +2.4wins | +0.08per pick | 32cpaid | +27%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x91fd…1cdebacked Over | 50c | 5,000$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500 | 110 | 48.2%53 W · 57 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Over | 50c | 4,978$2,489 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,488.79 | 301 | 39.2%118 W · 183 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under | 52c | 3,944$2,034 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,909.61 | 2,896 | 50%1,448 W · 1,448 L | +71.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x339a…1eaebacked Under | 51c | 3,000$1,530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,470 | 488 | 55.1%269 W · 219 L | +17.8wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x05b9…2adfbacked Under | 51c | 1,944$991 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$952.38 | 572 | 48.1%275 W · 297 L | -27.3wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Over | 48c | 1,686$809 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$809.07 | 2,687 | 48.5%1,303 W · 1,384 L | +4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3c7e…a65fbacked Over | 49c | 1,517$743 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$743.44 | 279 | 47.3%132 W · 147 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbc31…4a51backed Under | 50c | 1,090$545 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$545.19 | 54 | 50%27 W · 27 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5bc4…f44fbacked Under | 51c | 1,000$510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$490 | 141 | 50.4%71 W · 70 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf630…7e65backed Under | 51c | 999.98$510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$489.99 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x889c…e375backed Under | 51c | 962.55$496 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$466.92 | 133 | 50.4%67 W · 66 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x691a…d113backed Under | 51c | 890.15$454 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$436.17 | 220 | 43.2%95 W · 125 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8461…c6e4backed Under | 51c | 679.6$347 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$332.66 | 182 | 45.1%82 W · 100 L | -15.9wins | -0.09per pick | 54cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1b1a…68d8backed Over | 51c | 396.5$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.22 | 119 | 57.1%68 W · 51 L | +6.3wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x14e4…eabbbacked Under | 50c | 396.5$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198.25 | 586 | 52.9%310 W · 276 L | +23.3wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 77c | 225.63$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.18 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc02a…b43fbacked Over | 50c | 198.25$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.13 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.29per pick | 49cpaid | -62.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Over | 48c | 172.21$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.66 | 574 | 48.3%277 W · 297 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab78…fac0backed Over | 20c | 150$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0fd…e1f5backed Under | 53c | 148.69$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.89 | 1,162 | 55.2%641 W · 521 L | +25.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x05ad…7560backed Over | 23c | 114.98$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.86 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb891…969bbacked Under | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 139 | 40.3%56 W · 83 L | -7.3wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf3d6…e952backed Over | 50c | 99.13$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.56 | 73 | 50.7%37 W · 36 L | +4.7wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2b15…fa73backed Over | 50c | 70.3$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.15 | 383 | 51.7%198 W · 185 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b78…c6b5backed Under | 52c | 65.3$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.04 | 609 | 54.5%332 W · 277 L | +15.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67e6…86edbacked Under | 53c | 62.97$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.59 | 296 | 50.7%150 W · 146 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51eb…6bfabacked Under | 52c | 57.19$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.45 | 310 | 57.4%178 W · 132 L | +11.6wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8eb7…d529backed Under | 53c | 56.11$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.37 | 211 | 52.1%110 W · 101 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0cf5…b8efbacked Under | 50c | 49.72$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.86 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -2.7wins | -0.12per pick | 55cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x80bd…1f70backed Over | 51c | 48.59$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.78 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3eff…ae12backed Under | 52c | 40.05$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.22 | 423 | 39.2%166 W · 257 L | +10.2wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x35b8…898abacked Over | 50c | 39.65$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.83 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x971c…f72cbacked Under | 52c | 27.76$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.32 | 82 | 56.1%46 W · 36 L | +3.9wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc676…f35cbacked Under | 52c | 27$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.96 | 82 | 48.8%40 W · 42 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Under | 69c | 25.81$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.03 | 3,684 | 42.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L | +32.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x22a4…63ebbacked Under | 52c | 24.02$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.53 | 248 | 57.3%142 W · 106 L | +13.0wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xead0…f3babacked Over | 49c | 23.88$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.7 | 107 | 45.8%49 W · 58 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Houston Cougars vs. Kansas Jayhawks: O/U 138.5this page
- Houston Cougars vs. Kansas JayhawksKansas Jayhawks won
- Houston Cougars vs. Kansas Jayhawks: O/U 137.5Under won
- Spread: Houston Cougars (-1.5)Kansas Jayhawks won
- Spread: Houston Cougars (-2.5)Kansas Jayhawks won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.