Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Spread: Houston Cougars (-2.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xcf3f518be2148aa75065a447c6b720c939831c0a64b4b661bdd0a1406a5cb5e1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Kansas Jayhawksof Houston Cougars, Kansas Jayhawks
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $10,003
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $10,101
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,003 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 40 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x67d6…b04bbacked Kansas Jayhawks | 53c | 2,154$1,138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,016.58 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -3.4wins | -0.15per pick | 54cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Houston Cougars | 50c | 1,835$925 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$924.84 | 616 | 52.8%325 W · 291 L | +21.6wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x339a…1eaebacked Kansas Jayhawks | 53c | 1,717$902 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$814.98 | 488 | 55.1%269 W · 219 L | +17.8wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Kansas Jayhawks | 51c | 1,635$834 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$801.8 | 2,896 | 50%1,448 W · 1,448 L | +71.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Houston Cougars | 47c | 1,502$705 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$705.07 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca4e…f97ebacked Houston Cougars | 49c | 1,132$552 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$552.15 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | -1.7wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfa5c…be69backed Houston Cougars | 48c | 1,032$495 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$495.36 | 161 | 35.4%57 W · 104 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5a7…63e7backed Kansas Jayhawks | 53c | 999.98$530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$469.99 | 557 | 49.2%274 W · 283 L | -7.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Houston Cougars | 46c | 975.53$444 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$444.04 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Kansas Jayhawks | 49c | 807.02$397 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$410.02 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a73…d2d1backed Houston Cougars | 47c | 581.27$273 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$273.2 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -2.8wins | -0.31per pick | 42cpaid | -57.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x12fe…38cfbacked Houston Cougars | 50c | 396.5$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.25 | 1,260 | 43.3%545 W · 715 L | +34.8wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x00e2…9018backed Houston Cougars | 52c | 316.84$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.76 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.6wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xec56…dd09backed Kansas Jayhawks | 50c | 300$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 33 | 30.3%10 W · 23 L | -5.4wins | -0.16per pick | 47cpaid | -38.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1802…d00fbacked Kansas Jayhawks | 53c | 300$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141 | 59 | 42.4%25 W · 34 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf48d…fe48backed Kansas Jayhawks | 53c | 215$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.05 | 126 | 49.2%62 W · 64 L | +5.2wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf988…d63bbacked Kansas Jayhawks | 48c | 168.07$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.4 | 122 | 51.6%63 W · 59 L | +4.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6fa0…d504backed Houston Cougars | 52c | 163.56$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.05 | 65 | 55.4%36 W · 29 L | +2.9wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Houston Cougars | 47c | 162.57$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.41 | 1,074 | 47%505 W · 569 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Houston Cougars | 47c | 137$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.39 | 505 | 48.9%247 W · 258 L | +13.1wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Kansas Jayhawks | 50c | 125$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.5 | 3,905 | 58.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L | +165.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xabf6…129dbacked Houston Cougars | 47c | 105.46$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.56 | 121 | 53.7%65 W · 56 L | +4.6wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x61f6…7b83backed Kansas Jayhawks | 53c | 100$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47 | 67 | 20.9%14 W · 53 L | -3.8wins | -0.06per pick | 27cpaid | -46.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2cec…5326backed Houston Cougars | 47c | 90.32$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 852 | 48.8%416 W · 436 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…1e15backed Kansas Jayhawks | 48c | 86.82$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.14 | 1,231 | 47%578 W · 653 L | -17.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae9a…7ceabacked Houston Cougars | 51c | 61.75$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.49 | 32 | 56.3%18 W · 14 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x22a4…63ebbacked Kansas Jayhawks | 54c | 59.75$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.72 | 248 | 57.3%142 W · 106 L | +13.0wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8eb7…d529backed Kansas Jayhawks | 51c | 58.31$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.57 | 211 | 52.1%110 W · 101 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd454…b47fbacked Houston Cougars | 51c | 52.48$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.76 | 218 | 50.9%111 W · 107 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8cc…015bbacked Houston Cougars | 50c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 82 | 54.9%45 W · 37 L | +6.8wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x099f…c1e1backed Kansas Jayhawks | 50c | 48$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 621 | 40.4%251 W · 370 L | -10.2wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x80df…87fcbacked Kansas Jayhawks | 48c | 47.42$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.66 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85c2…9730backed Kansas Jayhawks | 51c | 38.87$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.05 | 246 | 49.6%122 W · 124 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x75e2…2ed0backed Kansas Jayhawks | 54c | 36.72$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.89 | 115 | 52.2%60 W · 55 L | -8.5wins | -0.07per pick | 60cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Houston Cougars | 50c | 35.72$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.86 | 4,382 | 40.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L | +23.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc6…b20dbacked Kansas Jayhawks | 53c | 29.74$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.98 | 349 | 52.1%182 W · 167 L | +9.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfa6c…a67dbacked Kansas Jayhawks | 51c | 25.3$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.4 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 50cpaid | +29.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Houston Cougars | 48c | 25.24$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.11 | 922 | 46%424 W · 498 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x236b…26b7backed Houston Cougars | 48c | 22.8$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.88 | 258 | 37.6%97 W · 161 L | -5.9wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4662…1d65backed Kansas Jayhawks | 54c | 22.03$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.13 | 34 | 55.9%19 W · 15 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +11%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Houston Cougars (-2.5)this page
- Houston Cougars vs. Kansas JayhawksKansas Jayhawks won
- Houston Cougars vs. Kansas Jayhawks: O/U 137.5Under won
- Houston Cougars vs. Kansas Jayhawks: O/U 138.5Under won
- Spread: Houston Cougars (-1.5)Kansas Jayhawks won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.