Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Kennesaw State Owls vs. Sam Houston Bearkats: O/U 166.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc60e8ae5946af5322a4cf849fca5c714b16b1c7edf658252bf813bbd5935cb68
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $495,369
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $495,173
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $495,369 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 56 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4924…3782backed Over | 54c | 432,772$233,484 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199,288.83 | 359 | 45.1%162 W · 197 L | -24.4wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb45a…192cbacked Under | 46c | 300,000$138,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138,000 | 896 | 45.9%411 W · 485 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed Under | 46c | 44,012$20,246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,245.54 | 691 | 42.8%296 W · 395 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Under | 46c | 40,000$18,550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,550 | 906 | 45.4%411 W · 495 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 49c | 20,584$10,102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,102.18 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x538a…0823backed Over | 54c | 13,062$7,053 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,008.49 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.22per pick | 50cpaid | +42.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x97e1…017bbacked Under | 46c | 11,111$5,111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,111.06 | 131 | 54.2%71 W · 60 L | +9.4wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 47c | 5,996$2,818 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,818.29 | 1,910 | 49.6%947 W · 963 L | +30.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 48c | 5,785$2,804 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,804.09 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52b4…34a8backed Under | 46c | 5,000$2,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,300 | 354 | 52.3%185 W · 169 L | +17.5wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x006c…16eabacked Over | 51c | 4,974$2,537 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,437.11 | 96 | 52.1%50 W · 46 L | +3.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xed2c…9597backed Under | 47c | 4,000$1,880 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,880 | 397 | 44.8%178 W · 219 L | +9.4wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x137b…b72fbacked Under | 46c | 4,000$1,840 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,840 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -2.7wins | -0.34per pick | 46cpaid | -74.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ef…8cd6backed Under | 46c | 3,000$1,380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,380 | 170 | 50.6%86 W · 84 L | +4.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd4da…3175backed Under | 47c | 2,304$1,078 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,078.45 | 898 | 50%449 W · 449 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5cbf…82abbacked Under | 46c | 1,696$780 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$780 | 132 | 47%62 W · 70 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae8c…93cdbacked Under | 47c | 1,200$564 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$564 | 113 | 47.8%54 W · 59 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2745…a5fbbacked Under | 48c | 1,145$549 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$549.45 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +1.2wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x811e…8733backed Under | 47c | 1,000$470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$470 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | +2.4wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf5e1…5ad0backed Over | 53c | 729.65$387 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$342.94 | 89 | 46.1%41 W · 48 L | -4.8wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5e82…7670backed Over | 45c | 498.85$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$273.85 | 186 | 50%93 W · 93 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd23…e31fbacked Under | 46c | 456.52$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210 | 67 | 52.2%35 W · 32 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f2b…0f9abacked Under | 47c | 314.87$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.99 | 407 | 55.8%227 W · 180 L | +14.8wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xae60…1f06backed Under | 47c | 303.95$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.4 | 88 | 55.7%49 W · 39 L | +6.0wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd6…ab3dbacked Under | 47c | 299.98$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.99 | 1,487 | 43%639 W · 848 L | +50.8wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5976…b3d4backed Under | 47c | 297.87$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 90 | 51.1%46 W · 44 L | +4.9wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Under | 48c | 288$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.62 | 891 | 46.2%412 W · 479 L | +9.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x284e…ddb2backed Under | 46c | 240$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.2 | 30 | 33.3%10 W · 20 L | -3.4wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -42.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1f3f…5878backed Under | 47c | 229.03$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.55 | 267 | 40.8%109 W · 158 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ab8…b5a6backed Under | 48c | 206.25$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Under | 49c | 202.98$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.64 | 3,905 | 58.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L | +165.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8351…9bebbacked Under | 58c | 172.41$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 57 | 45.6%26 W · 31 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x04b7…7491backed Over | 54c | 164$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.44 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x65b3…7fc9backed Over | 51c | 142.03$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.61 | 123 | 41.5%51 W · 72 L | -7.5wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 48c | 133$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.52 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over | 48c | 130$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.6 | 2,896 | 50%1,448 W · 1,448 L | +71.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3951…c5b2backed Under | 48c | 125.06$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.03 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | -2.9wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfed9…3cdebacked Under | 46c | 108.7$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 65 | 56.9%37 W · 28 L | +5.3wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2a17…5d26backed Under | 48c | 103.13$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.5 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Under | 46c | 96$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.16 | 1,074 | 47%505 W · 569 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x785f…e3d9backed Under | 49c | 88.78$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.82 | 974 | 47.9%467 W · 507 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd730…1948backed Under | 47c | 88.5$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.37 | 196 | 53.1%104 W · 92 L | +6.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Under | 57c | 70.17$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 4,552 | 50.1%2,279 W · 2,273 L | -36.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x628e…1d80backed Under | 48c | 62.25$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.88 | 44 | 43.2%19 W · 25 L | -4.0wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc27f…12a9backed Under | 47c | 62$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.04 | 72 | 52.8%38 W · 34 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Under | 48c | 62$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.59 | 179 | 43.6%78 W · 101 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8104…3128backed Under | 47c | 59.96$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.3 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | +1.4wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x727d…1589backed Under | 48c | 58.69$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.17 | 81 | 40.7%33 W · 48 L | -5.8wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcf01…b14cbacked Under | 47c | 50$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.5 | 40 | 55%22 W · 18 L | +2.5wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xea10…a070backed Under | 46c | 49.5$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.77 | 210 | 59.5%125 W · 85 L | +17.9wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4008…2942backed Over | 52c | 46.87$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.5 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa26…564fbacked Under | 58c | 43.1$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 212 | 52.4%111 W · 101 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x239b…f8bfbacked Under | 48c | 43$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.67 | 316 | 66.1%209 W · 107 L | +24.8wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9487…54bbbacked Over | 44c | 33.93$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.93 | 362 | 48.6%176 W · 186 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd562…b6d1backed Over | 52c | 29.41$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.12 | 57 | 63.2%36 W · 21 L | +8.4wins | +0.15per pick | 48cpaid | +28.8%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x6e92…18c4backed Over | 52c | 28.66$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.66 | 26 | 26.9%7 W · 19 L | -6.7wins | -0.26per pick | 53cpaid | -49.2%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Kennesaw State Owls vs. Sam Houston Bearkats: O/U 166.5this page
- Kennesaw State Owls vs. Sam Houston BearkatsSam Houston Bearkats won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.