TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Ncaa Basketball · resolved market

Missouri Tigers vs. LSU Tigers: O/U 149.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$735,472
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$743,042

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $735,472 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 86 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x4924…3782backed Under52c498,929$259,435 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$239,494.6835945.1%162 W · 197 L-24.4wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-13.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xb45a…192cbacked Over48c200,000$96,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96,00089645.9%411 W · 485 L-0.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x006c…16eabacked Over48c200,000$96,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96,0009652.1%50 W · 46 L+3.9wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+7.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6a72…33eebacked Under52c199,993$103,996 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95,996.7721754.8%119 W · 98 L+15.3wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+15.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x37e4…c991backed Over48c147,596$70,846 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70,846.048246.3%38 W · 44 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-1.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9c16…09cbbacked Over48c100,000$48,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48,0009050%45 W · 45 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xc350…3669backed Over48c30,000$14,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14,4004050%20 W · 20 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+4.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x97e1…017bbacked Over48c20,476$9,746 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,745.7113154.2%71 W · 60 L+9.4wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+13.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x5e5b…5950backed Under53c9,713$5,148 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,565.055759.6%34 W · 23 L+5.2wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+18.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Over48c6,118$2,945 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,944.7512,42249.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L+118.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Over47c5,519$2,613 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,612.595,94649.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L+163.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-0.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x24d3…30abbacked Under53c3,958$2,098 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,860.4916954.4%92 W · 77 L+8.7wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+11.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x30a4…8441backed Over48c2,669$1,281 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,281.1242246.2%195 W · 227 L-9.5wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-5.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xed2c…9597backed Over48c2,583$1,234 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,234.1539744.8%178 W · 219 L+9.4wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+1.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf1ef…8cd6backed Under52c2,399$1,248 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,151.6817050.6%86 W · 84 L+4.9wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+6.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Over47c2,384$1,125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,124.64,84852.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L+139.2wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4ba4…8a89backed Over45c2,000$900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$899.992030%6 W · 14 L-3.0wins-0.15per pick45cpaid-24.5%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xaca2…b9a1backed Under55c1,000$550 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45041752.5%219 W · 198 L+13.2wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+5.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x07bc…393abacked Under52c999.91$520 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$479.968351.8%43 W · 40 L+3.1wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+7.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Under55c603$332 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$271.353,68442.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L+32.6wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-5.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe2d0…6078backed Over49c580$284 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$284.21947.4%9 W · 10 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick49cpaid+5.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xef34…86b2backed Under53c553.47$293 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$260.134047.5%19 W · 21 L+0.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid-4.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4d48…48e0backed Under53c431.56$229 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$202.8318046.7%84 W · 96 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-5.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd1a8…1b66backed Over47c423.41$199 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19921050%105 W · 105 L+0.8wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Over48c400$192 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1922,57947.3%1,221 W · 1,358 L-42.7wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-6.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4fb0…3182backed Under52c399.94$208 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$191.9741354%223 W · 190 L+13.3wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+6.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd51b…9606backed Under53c380$201 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$178.613851.4%71 W · 67 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+5.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under49c358$175 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$182.682,89650%1,448 W · 1,448 L+71.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed Over47c300.64$141 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$141.491,29645.1%584 W · 712 L-23.9wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd8b6…c7dbbacked Under53c296.77$157 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$139.485560%33 W · 22 L+4.5wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+15%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xc5b5…7e80backed Under72c231$165 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.822,00353.7%1,076 W · 927 L+101.7wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+2.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x3fbc…9cf6backed Over48c208.33$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10050546.9%237 W · 268 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6b97…f776backed Over28c200$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56944.4%4 W · 5 L+1.2wins+0.13per pick31cpaid-9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x664b…00b3backed Under53c192.31$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90.3911159.5%66 W · 45 L+10.7wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+18.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xf13b…9ef9backed Under53c188.68$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.6819657.1%112 W · 84 L+14.9wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+15.8%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x49a9…ea7ebacked Under53c186.79$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87.792035%7 W · 13 L-2.6wins-0.13per pick48cpaid-29.5%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xf4a5…398fbacked Under55c181.82$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.82850%4 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-7.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3951…c5b2backed Over50c134.12$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.063240.6%13 W · 19 L-2.9wins-0.09per pick50cpaid-17.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xb0a0…d84fbacked Over48c126.7$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.186144.3%27 W · 34 L-4.1wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-13.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x10b0…8525backed Under51c116.16$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.9214151.1%72 W · 69 L+3.5wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+6.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd7e7…fef1backed Over48c112.4$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.296238.7%24 W · 38 L-7.4wins-0.12per pick51cpaid-23.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x4d85…2560backed Over49c111.16$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.4718646.2%86 W · 100 L-5.4wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x681d…4cbfbacked Over48c104.17$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5010536.2%38 W · 67 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-25%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x34fa…f491backed Over48c100$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$481,07046.9%502 W · 568 L-0.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbfd6…ab3dbacked Under49c100$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$511,48743%639 W · 848 L+50.8wins+0.03per pick40cpaid+11.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x985e…6894backed Over48c95.04$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.623161.3%19 W · 12 L+3.9wins+0.12per pick49cpaid+23.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x1b46…944cbacked Under53c94.34$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.3418656.5%105 W · 81 L+12.2wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+13.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x7ec5…65ecbacked Over48c90.46$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.742839.3%11 W · 17 L-2.9wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-21.5%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xb906…2a75backed Over47c90.04$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.32944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-5.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x725f…cea7backed Under49c83.87$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.776065%39 W · 21 L+8.6wins+0.14per pick51cpaid+25.3%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x04f2…bc84backed Under53c81.13$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.136654.5%36 W · 30 L+2.9wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+9.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9aea…5590backed Under53c76.22$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.8215844.3%70 W · 88 L-6.5wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-10.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa966…208bbacked Under53c75.47$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.4715156.3%85 W · 66 L+8.6wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+9.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xc7eb…28a9backed Over49c70$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.3812.5%1 W · 7 L-2.9wins-0.37per pick49cpaid-74.5%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x6008…a80bbacked Over49c65.96$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.324,55250.1%2,279 W · 2,273 L-36.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x50a3…0a78backed Over48c56.01$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.7112054.2%65 W · 55 L+4.7wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+8.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc54f…dce8backed Under55c50$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.564322.9%147 W · 496 L-17.1wins-0.03per pick26cpaid-27.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2816…6ad7backed Under53c45.07$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.189257.6%53 W · 39 L+8.1wins+0.09per pick49cpaid+20.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x40da…4d3bbacked Under55c41.82$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.852100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+53.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2db9…846cbacked Over48c41.67$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$205549.1%27 W · 28 L-3.3wins-0.06per pick55cpaid-14.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xbda3…ef65backed Under53c40$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.862753%332 W · 295 L+13.4wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x591a…aec2backed Under53c40$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.81241.7%5 W · 7 L-0.7wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-14.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x865a…901bbacked Under53c39.23$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.4412560%75 W · 50 L+12.0wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+18.9%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x4b7a…2ecabacked Over51c39.22$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201952.6%10 W · 9 L+3.1wins+0.17per pick36cpaid+33.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xe998…dc05backed Over48c37.77$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.13450%2 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf861…1d14backed Under53c37.74$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.746755.2%37 W · 30 L+3.6wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+10.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4ea3…9439backed Under53c36.42$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.121546.7%7 W · 8 L-0.8wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-10.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdcc0…6872backed Over46c34.4$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.8216051.3%82 W · 78 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick52cpaid+1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xadca…58debacked Over48c33.69$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.17944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.4wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-11.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf389…e45dbacked Under52c31$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.885549.1%27 W · 28 L+0.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid+2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0bdf…7f09backed Under53c30.43$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.311858.5%69 W · 49 L+9.9wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+16.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over47c29$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.715,55347.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L+26.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-3.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x7dec…61b7backed Under53c28.3$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.33145.2%14 W · 17 L-1.8wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-10.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xdfdc…0133backed Under53c26.43$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.422650%13 W · 13 L+0.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4863…805bbacked Under53c26.42$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.421136.4%4 W · 7 L-1.5wins-0.14per pick50cpaid-25.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe33c…6006backed Over48c25.48$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.235648.2%27 W · 29 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-5.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe4b7…793dbacked Under52c25$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122850%14 W · 14 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcefc…e5e8backed Over48c24.9$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.95742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-13.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe9f5…3e7abacked Under55c23.62$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.6332751.7%169 W · 158 L+12.7wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+14.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x191e…b6bebacked Under53c22.87$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.752669.2%18 W · 8 L+4.7wins+0.18per pick51cpaid+36.7%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x5696…80d2backed Over48c22.19$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.7160%0 W · 6 L-3.0wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x6e92…18c4backed Over50c20$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102626.9%7 W · 19 L-6.7wins-0.26per pick53cpaid-49.2%equal weight35-0.13 edge/pick
0x5779…168dbacked Under52c19.61$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.415058%29 W · 21 L+5.1wins+0.10per pick48cpaid+14.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x4f1a…26c0backed Under53c19.24$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.044645.7%21 W · 25 L-2.3wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-14.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8fbb…a77bbacked Under53c19.23$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.045356.6%30 W · 23 L+4.4wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+13.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x9b1c…dc02backed Under55c18.98$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.542227.3%6 W · 16 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick29cpaid-33.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.