Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Missouri Tigers vs. LSU Tigers
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4410a451e2280453838d3423e3a0091a6b636e1ca19c788f762fe47b4baf4cb1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- LSU Tigersof Missouri Tigers, LSU Tigers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $39,427
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $48,720
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $39,427 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 46 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x067f…e041backed LSU Tigers | 52c | 5,000$2,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,400 | 301 | 39.2%118 W · 183 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed2c…9597backed Missouri Tigers | 48c | 4,000$1,920 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,920 | 397 | 44.8%178 W · 219 L | +9.4wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Missouri Tigers | 7c | 3,936$285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$285.21 | 2,254 | 42.2%951 W · 1,303 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed LSU Tigers | 73c | 3,549$2,598 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$950.7 | 3,905 | 58.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L | +165.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3f08…ed44backed Missouri Tigers | 26c | 2,010$523 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$522.5 | 464 | 46.8%217 W · 247 L | +6.4wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed LSU Tigers | 76c | 1,790$1,352 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$438.6 | 2,555 | 41.6%1,062 W · 1,493 L | -15.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcdb8…abbebacked Missouri Tigers | 27c | 1,111$295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$294.53 | 1,983 | 26.4%523 W · 1,460 L | -55.5wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Missouri Tigers | 48c | 814.64$389 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$389.37 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc4…0c92backed Missouri Tigers | 44c | 799.52$352 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$351.79 | 990 | 45.6%451 W · 539 L | +9.6wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Missouri Tigers | 6c | 776.58$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.35 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed Missouri Tigers | 24c | 556.14$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.71 | 2,003 | 53.7%1,076 W · 927 L | +101.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x630b…34ffbacked Missouri Tigers | 21c | 543.57$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.38 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Missouri Tigers | 20c | 522.93$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.52 | 2,124 | 50.4%1,070 W · 1,054 L | +40.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Missouri Tigers | 27c | 477$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.15 | 1,540 | 41.3%636 W · 904 L | +4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x65d4…4e71backed Missouri Tigers | 26c | 471.69$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.09 | 59 | 66.1%39 W · 20 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked LSU Tigers | 56c | 406$227 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178.86 | 1,511 | 47.8%722 W · 789 L | -35.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked LSU Tigers | 65c | 336.25$217 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.98 | 4,848 | 52.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L | +139.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x68db…e12bbacked Missouri Tigers | 10c | 299.99$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -1.2wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Missouri Tigers | 32c | 291.33$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.12 | 2,048 | 32.7%670 W · 1,378 L | -16.2wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked LSU Tigers | 58c | 225.82$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.87 | 2,896 | 50%1,448 W · 1,448 L | +71.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…2abfbacked Missouri Tigers | 48c | 215.37$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.38 | 529 | 28.4%150 W · 379 L | -9.2wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Missouri Tigers | 42c | 193.9$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.48 | 2,579 | 47.3%1,221 W · 1,358 L | -42.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc3ec…e987backed Missouri Tigers | 47c | 190$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.94 | 192 | 38.5%74 W · 118 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Missouri Tigers | 16c | 181.87$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.99 | 1,887 | 45.2%853 W · 1,034 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4cb9…3783backed LSU Tigers | 55c | 167$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.73 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -1.5wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -33.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Missouri Tigers | 32c | 162.23$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.64 | 3,380 | 49.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L | +30.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed LSU Tigers | 75c | 160.82$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.85 | 1,493 | 48.7%727 W · 766 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaab6…607ebacked LSU Tigers | 55c | 159.99$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.79 | 202 | 54.5%110 W · 92 L | +9.7wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc383…c054backed LSU Tigers | 74c | 158.08$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.1 | 190 | 57.4%109 W · 81 L | -10.0wins | -0.05per pick | 63cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc091…3d42backed LSU Tigers | 55c | 149$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.05 | 722 | 48.8%352 W · 370 L | -23.6wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Missouri Tigers | 19c | 123.53$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 48 | 33.3%16 W · 32 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc660…bd28backed Missouri Tigers | 48c | 106$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.88 | 199 | 50.3%100 W · 99 L | +7.5wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x12fe…38cfbacked Missouri Tigers | 48c | 99.5$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.13 | 1,260 | 43.3%545 W · 715 L | +34.8wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Missouri Tigers | 49c | 88.02$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.13 | 4,552 | 50.1%2,279 W · 2,273 L | -36.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f95…d67dbacked LSU Tigers | 79c | 87.34$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.34 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked LSU Tigers | 68c | 70.49$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.56 | 1,531 | 50.1%767 W · 764 L | +34.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ee…5c69backed Missouri Tigers | 32c | 65$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.8 | 61 | 14.8%9 W · 52 L | -12.0wins | -0.20per pick | 34cpaid | -64%equal weight | 35-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x4116…555abacked Missouri Tigers | 18c | 63.28$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.39 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -1.1wins | -0.06per pick | 34cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8d84…6df0backed Missouri Tigers | 50c | 60$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 536 | 46.5%249 W · 287 L | -24.3wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x239b…f8bfbacked LSU Tigers | 77c | 55$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.48 | 316 | 66.1%209 W · 107 L | +24.8wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6e2c…787cbacked Missouri Tigers | 46c | 50$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 225 | 52.9%119 W · 106 L | +6.3wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x34ca…9de7backed LSU Tigers | 52c | 46$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.92 | 135 | 61.5%83 W · 52 L | +12.1wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +24.2%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Missouri Tigers | 48c | 41.34$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.79 | 605 | 48.9%296 W · 309 L | +10.3wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57d5…0bbdbacked Missouri Tigers | 27c | 39.64$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.53 | 573 | 35.6%204 W · 369 L | -27.3wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb21d…76d2backed LSU Tigers | 77c | 30.12$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.93 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x47ba…a503backed LSU Tigers | 59c | 16.95$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.95 | 118 | 41.5%49 W · 69 L | -5.5wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Missouri Tigers vs. LSU Tigersthis page
- Missouri Tigers vs. LSU Tigers: O/U 148.5Under won
- Missouri Tigers vs. LSU Tigers: O/U 149.5Under won
- Missouri Tigers vs. LSU Tigers: O/U 150.5Under won
- Missouri Tigers vs. LSU Tigers: O/U 151.5Under won
- Missouri Tigers vs. LSU Tigers: O/U 152.5Under won
- Spread: LSU Tigers (-1.5)LSU Tigers won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.