TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x191e…b6be

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
57
Categories scored
13
Categories below 50
5

Best Category: Ncaa Basketball, grading 60 out of 100 (+0.09 per pick).

Best Category Ncaa Basketball at 60 out of 100; worst La Liga at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Jan 23, 2026, EST2669.2%18 W · 8 L+4.7wins+0.18per pick51cpaid+36.7%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 26 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Monmouth Hawks vs. Hampton Pirates: O/U 135.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST+104.1%+$11.83
Spread: Youngstown State Penguins (-7.5)backed Green Bay Phoenix · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+92.3%+$9.65
Cincinnati Bearcats vs. Arizona Wildcats: O/U 153.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+104.1%+$13.42
Washington State Cougars vs. San Diego Torerosbacked San Diego Toreros · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+111.3%+$13.66
Central Connecticut State Blue Devils vs. Mercyhurst Lakers: O/U 132.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST+92.3%+$11.84
Iona Gaels vs. Saint Peter's Peacocks: O/U 142.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST+100%+$12.38
Merrimack College Warriors vs. Marist Red Foxes: O/U 133.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST+100%+$11.61
Cornell Big Red vs. Brown Bears: O/U 163.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST+104.1%+$17.24
Spread: South Florida Bulls (-7.5)backed Wichita State Shockers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST+112.8%+$12.52
Portland Pilots vs. Loyola Marymount Lions: O/U 147.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST+108.3%+$14.78
Bellarmine Knights vs. Eastern Kentucky Colonels: O/U 157.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$12.33
Texas A&M Aggies vs. Texas Longhorns: O/U 165.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$20.76
Duke Blue Devils vs. Stanford Cardinal: O/U 146.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$10.32
Spread: Auburn Tigers (-12.5)backed South Carolina Gamecocks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST+106.3%+$13.05
Kansas City Roos vs. South Dakota State Jackrabbits: O/U 151.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$22.16
Wofford Terriers vs. Furman Paladins: O/U 151.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST+94.3%+$22.39
Texas Southern Tigers vs. Alcorn State Bravesbacked Alcorn State Braves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$12.42
Spread: North Carolina Tar Heels (-6.5)backed California Golden Bears · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST+96.1%+$22.62
Spread: Saint Louis Billikens (-15.5)backed Richmond Spiders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$11.65
UT Arlington Mavericks vs. Utah Valley Wolverines: O/U 143.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$11.07
Charleston Cougars vs. Stony Brook Seawolves: O/U 142.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$10.87
Missouri Tigers vs. LSU Tigers: O/U 149.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST+88.7%+$10.75
Spread: North Alabama Lions (-2.5)backed Jacksonville Dolphins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST+78.6%+$9.83
Siena Saints vs. Manhattan Jaspers: O/U 145.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST+92.3%+$10.6
Spread: Boise State Broncos (-5.5)backed Boise State Broncos · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST+96.1%+$14.89
Showing 25 of 26 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Jan 18, 2026, EST757.1%4 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick58cpaid+4.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NHL — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 9, 2026, EST4100%4 W · 0 L+1.4wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+59.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
NFL — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Seahawks (-4.5)backed Seahawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+100%+$13.59
Rams vs. Bearsbacked Rams · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST+52.1%+$28.7
Texans vs. Patriotsbacked Patriots · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST+54.8%+$12.49
49ers vs. Seahawksbacked Seahawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$398Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST+30%+$119.29
All 4 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Jan 21, 2026, EST475%3 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.25per pick50cpaid+80.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Champions League — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

College Football Inactivelast resolved Jan 20, 2026, EST3100%3 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+76.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
College Football — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Indiana (-7.5)backed Miami · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$57Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST+103.9%+$59.2
Spread: Indiana (-8.5)backed Miami · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$87Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST+92.3%+$80.27
Miami vs. Indianabacked Indiana · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST+33.3%+$10.85
All 3 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Jun 3, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.13per pick46cpaid-56.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
MLB — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Kansas City Royals vs. Cincinnati Redsbacked Kansas City Royals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$4.26
Detroit Tigers vs. New York Metsbacked Detroit Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.91
Spread: Detroit Tigers (-1.5)backed Detroit Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$50.42
All 3 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jan 18, 2026, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.17per pick50cpaid-30.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Spurs (-4.5)backed Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST+108.3%+$14.32
Spread: Pistons (-16.5)backed Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$10.38
Spread: Pistons (-15.5)backed Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$18.84
All 3 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Jan 18, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-1.3wins-0.63per pick63cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
La Liga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-01-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$20.39
Will Real Sociedad de Fútbol win on 2026-01-18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$10.54
All 2 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Jan 18, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.61per pick39cpaid+156.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Stade Rennais FC 1901 win on 2026-01-18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST+156.4%+$15.77
All 1 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Jan 16, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+57.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will SV Werder Bremen win on 2026-01-16?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST+57.2%+$27.43
All 1 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Feb 7, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+49.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Xtreme Gaming (BO3) - BLAST Slam Play-Inbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST+49.3%+$9.01
All 1 picks, newest first.
WNBA Inactivelast resolved May 13, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+31.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
WNBA — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in WNBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Las Vegas Aces (-14.5)backed Las Vegas Aces · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT+31.4%+$3.28
All 1 picks, newest first.
South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved May 14, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will CA River Plate win on 2026-05-13?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.31
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.