MLB · resolved market
Spread: Detroit Tigers (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9a606f70444ad0370e301a01ddaf56c2144b61901e0643dcd335af778b11739d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- New York Metsof Detroit Tigers, New York Mets
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $30,650
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $30,906
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $30,650 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 59 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5234…4c4fbacked New York Mets | 47c | 11,347$5,365 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,982.3 | 48 | 47.9%23 W · 25 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed New York Mets | 73c | 10,021$7,356 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,665.44 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Detroit Tigers | 29c | 9,811$2,830 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,829.86 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Detroit Tigers | 54c | 6,089$3,258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,258.46 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9495…9a27backed New York Mets | 64c | 3,813$2,424 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,388.9 | 2,293 | 48.1%1,103 W · 1,190 L | -24.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f4e…1fb8backed Detroit Tigers | 50c | 2,978$1,490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,489.77 | 3,792 | 45.8%1,738 W · 2,054 L | -5.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x558f…1a56backed Detroit Tigers | 37c | 2,937$1,087 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,086.57 | 188 | 60.1%113 W · 75 L | +14.6wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +237.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed Detroit Tigers | 36c | 1,005$362 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$361.8 | 737 | 48.4%357 W · 380 L | -7.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Detroit Tigers | 24c | 1,000$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 1,865 | 52%970 W · 895 L | +50.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed New York Mets | 74c | 471.33$348 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.2 | 753 | 44.1%332 W · 421 L | -10.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed New York Mets | 64c | 451.22$289 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.44 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Detroit Tigers | 43c | 438$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.15 | 4,035 | 57.7%2,330 W · 1,705 L | +72.2wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd52c…6c59backed Detroit Tigers | 36c | 416.67$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 293 | 31.7%93 W · 200 L | -11.7wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc75b…3ea7backed Detroit Tigers | 48c | 338.44$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.27 | 1,195 | 50%597 W · 598 L | +5.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6672…9ea3backed Detroit Tigers | 37c | 316.49$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.1 | 51 | 43.1%22 W · 29 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed New York Mets | 63c | 316.49$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.1 | 5,401 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Detroit Tigers | 36c | 301.54$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.54 | 8,295 | 47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L | +72.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x191e…b6bebacked Detroit Tigers | 20c | 253.1$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.42 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -56.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d6f…be20backed Detroit Tigers | 43c | 229.58$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.87 | 234 | 54.7%128 W · 106 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x938e…9b66backed New York Mets | 55c | 146.64$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.64 | 481 | 50.7%244 W · 237 L | -19.3wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Detroit Tigers | 45c | 113.03$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.39 | 11,357 | 52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L | +209.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Detroit Tigers | 35c | 104.21$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.47 | 3,453 | 51.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L | +58.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ed2…0ddabacked Detroit Tigers | 38c | 100$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 577 | 47.7%275 W · 302 L | +7.2wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Detroit Tigers | 36c | 96.71$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.19 | 6,303 | 48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L | +181.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed Detroit Tigers | 46c | 82.77$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.03 | 946 | 48.9%463 W · 483 L | +4.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbc78…f1f5backed New York Mets | 57c | 70.38$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.38 | 263 | 51.3%135 W · 128 L | -7.7wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d5f…1171backed Detroit Tigers | 42c | 63.53$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.61 | 580 | 54.5%316 W · 264 L | +17.3wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed New York Mets | 53c | 61.83$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.88 | 6,116 | 55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L | +344.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc0c2…b14dbacked Detroit Tigers | 36c | 56.79$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.67 | 1,149 | 48.9%562 W · 587 L | -6.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a59…a57ebacked New York Mets | 70c | 55.6$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.68 | 677 | 42.2%286 W · 391 L | -36.7wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -18%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Detroit Tigers | 37c | 54.27$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.01 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa21b…9e94backed New York Mets | 65c | 53.85$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.85 | 486 | 51%248 W · 238 L | -18.0wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x96c1…2c59backed Detroit Tigers | 36c | 50$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 1,498 | 45.3%678 W · 820 L | -8.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0905…e5c0backed Detroit Tigers | 37c | 49.99$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.5 | 1,661 | 43.5%722 W · 939 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2e75…0143backed Detroit Tigers | 43c | 46.51$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 82 | 40.2%33 W · 49 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82a5…674ebacked Detroit Tigers | 55c | 46.35$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.49 | 208 | 52.9%110 W · 98 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6027…4320backed New York Mets | 63c | 41.74$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.44 | 840 | 49.4%415 W · 425 L | +8.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ef0…d45bbacked New York Mets | 59c | 37.98$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.64 | 65 | 49.2%32 W · 33 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x70fc…ab12backed New York Mets | 44c | 35.71$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 1,367 | 54.3%742 W · 625 L | +16.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed New York Mets | 54c | 35.14$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.11 | 4,478 | 48.8%2,186 W · 2,292 L | -47.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf593…9553backed New York Mets | 62c | 34.98$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.29 | 2,945 | 47.6%1,401 W · 1,544 L | +3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf30a…61fbbacked Detroit Tigers | 33c | 34$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.2 | 558 | 47.7%266 W · 292 L | -11.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e73…3f4ebacked Detroit Tigers | 34c | 33.88$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.52 | 325 | 50.5%164 W · 161 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc546…058ebacked New York Mets | 80c | 33.41$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.69 | 5,127 | 54.7%2,805 W · 2,322 L | +232.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7c9d…c024backed Detroit Tigers | 55c | 33.2$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.26 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +1.5wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Detroit Tigers | 43c | 32.55$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 8,470 | 52.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L | +510.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xde25…c0a5backed Detroit Tigers | 47c | 29.99$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.05 | 469 | 46.3%217 W · 252 L | -25.7wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1df6…cba0backed New York Mets | 71c | 29.25$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.39 | 1,445 | 50.3%727 W · 718 L | -27.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf472…fd6ebacked Detroit Tigers | 51c | 29.15$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 123 | 49.6%61 W · 62 L | +3.8wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1813…4dfebacked Detroit Tigers | 55c | 27.22$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.97 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +2.6wins | +0.12per pick | 47cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd7f9…29a9backed Detroit Tigers | 37c | 27$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.09 | 228 | 48.2%110 W · 118 L | -9.9wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4ef7…9266backed Detroit Tigers | 55c | 26.2$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.41 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 63cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8ca2…1d74backed New York Mets | 76c | 26.13$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.27 | 66 | 60.6%40 W · 26 L | +3.2wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x27b1…6a0bbacked Detroit Tigers | 44c | 26.13$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.4 | 469 | 52.5%246 W · 223 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x31c8…9487backed New York Mets | 60c | 25.55$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.12 | 270 | 53.7%145 W · 125 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa04d…1488backed Detroit Tigers | 56c | 24.26$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.59 | 447 | 37.4%167 W · 280 L | -24.1wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbcfe…4b94backed Detroit Tigers | 55c | 19.93$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.96 | 32 | 75%24 W · 8 L | +3.4wins | +0.11per pick | 64cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked New York Mets | 67c | 17.36$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.8 | 1,269 | 47.4%602 W · 667 L | -31.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x643c…5bf2backed New York Mets | 60c | 16.77$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.77 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Detroit Tigers (-1.5)this page
- Detroit Tigers vs. New York MetsNew York Mets won
- Detroit Tigers vs. New York Mets: O/U 10.5Under won
- Detroit Tigers vs. New York Mets: O/U 11.5Under won
- Detroit Tigers vs. New York Mets: O/U 5.5Under won
- Detroit Tigers vs. New York Mets: O/U 6.5Under won
- Detroit Tigers vs. New York Mets: O/U 7.5Under won
- Detroit Tigers vs. New York Mets: O/U 8.5Under won
- Detroit Tigers vs. New York Mets: O/U 9.5Under won
- Spread: Detroit Tigers (-2.5)New York Mets won
- Spread: Detroit Tigers (-3.5)New York Mets won
- Spread: New York Mets (-1.5)Detroit Tigers won
- Spread: New York Mets (-2.5)Detroit Tigers won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Detroit Tigers vs. New York MetsYes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.