TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

MLB · resolved market

Spread: Detroit Tigers (-2.5)

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
New York Metsof Detroit Tigers, New York Mets
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$14,680
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$14,749

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $14,680 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 22 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in MLB
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xfe78…0319backed Detroit Tigers75c11,206$8,433 inLost-$8,433.4510,84651.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L+137.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed New York Mets25c5,076$1,252 inWon+$3,823.8212,24746.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L-68.6wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-9.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked New York Mets23c3,263$752 inWon+$2,510.148,08646.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L+29.9wins0.00per pick46cpaid-7.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2f4e…1fb8backed Detroit Tigers30c2,924$888 inLost-$887.643,79245.8%1,738 W · 2,054 L-5.5wins0.00per pick46cpaid-6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9495…9a27backed Detroit Tigers59c633$373 inLost-$372.642,29348.1%1,103 W · 1,190 L-24.0wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x45d5…a7a0backed New York Mets17c500$87 inWon+$41382741.1%340 W · 487 L-21.3wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-4.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd96a…d8cebacked Detroit Tigers21c339.49$72 inLost-$71.6833515.5%52 W · 283 L-12.7wins-0.04per pick19cpaid-32.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked Detroit Tigers55c220$121 inLost-$12111,35652.9%6,002 W · 5,354 L+209.6wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-0.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2003…af6fbacked New York Mets45c220$99 inWon+$12112446%57 W · 67 L+4.9wins+0.04per pick42cpaid+22.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0eca…c56abacked New York Mets40c202$80 inWon+$121.8949942.9%214 W · 285 L-31.5wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-20.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Detroit Tigers75c183.2$137 inLost-$137.34,47748.8%2,186 W · 2,291 L-47.4wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6b3a…2841backed Detroit Tigers75c127$95 inLost-$95.2549450%247 W · 247 L+9.2wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+5.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2e75…0143backed New York Mets23c108.69$25 inWon+$83.698240.2%33 W · 49 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa623…a4febacked New York Mets25c91$23 inWon+$68.251,11945.5%509 W · 610 L+16.9wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+5.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xf898…e720backed New York Mets43c58.94$25 inWon+$33.876,30248.3%3,041 W · 3,261 L+181.9wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+0.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x70fc…ab12backed Detroit Tigers55c49.44$27 inLost-$27.291,36754.3%742 W · 625 L+16.5wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xde25…c0a5backed Detroit Tigers59c41.53$25 inLost-$24.6746946.3%217 W · 252 L-25.7wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-11.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x39fc…e2f2backed Detroit Tigers60c39.58$24 inLost-$23.753,20851.2%1,642 W · 1,566 L+146.6wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+8.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xc0c2…b14dbacked Detroit Tigers44c33.76$15 inLost-$14.821,14948.9%562 W · 587 L-6.5wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-6.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb7e0…a311backed Detroit Tigers73c30.3$22 inLost-$22.122227.3%6 W · 16 L-4.7wins-0.21per pick48cpaid-45.9%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x8c58…e330backed Detroit Tigers60c26$16 inLost-$15.688053.8%473 W · 407 L+41.0wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+10.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x8ca2…1d74backed New York Mets71c24.5$17 inWon+$7.16660.6%40 W · 26 L+3.2wins+0.05per pick56cpaid+9.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.