Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Siena Saints vs. Manhattan Jaspers: O/U 145.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x42272040148f7931649f009d2801249fa3084bed2b90d6ca248d5e87508ff816
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $657,480
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $766,354
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $657,480 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 72 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4924…3782backed Over | 50c | 519,516$261,889 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$261,888.59 | 359 | 45.1%162 W · 197 L | -24.4wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb45a…192cbacked Under | 50c | 200,000$100,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100,000 | 896 | 45.9%411 W · 485 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…33eebacked Under | 49c | 200,000$98,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102,000 | 217 | 54.8%119 W · 98 L | +15.3wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9c16…09cbbacked Under | 50c | 100,000$50,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50,000 | 90 | 50%45 W · 45 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e5b…5950backed Under | 51c | 5,241$2,673 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,568 | 57 | 59.6%34 W · 23 L | +5.2wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4366…c73ebacked Under | 49c | 5,000$2,450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,550 | 73 | 53.4%39 W · 34 L | +3.6wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9870…b9d3backed Under | 54c | 2,800$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,300.05 | 212 | 48.1%102 W · 110 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Over | 10c | 2,321$242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$241.8 | 2,124 | 50.4%1,070 W · 1,054 L | +40.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xed2c…9597backed Over | 48c | 2,172$1,041 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,040.98 | 397 | 44.8%178 W · 219 L | +9.4wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xabf5…cfebbacked Under | 49c | 2,000$980 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,019.99 | 115 | 55.7%64 W · 51 L | +8.1wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8738…222bbacked Under | 52c | 1,923$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$923.08 | 255 | 56.1%143 W · 112 L | +12.4wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7234…1d85backed Over | 51c | 1,906$967 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$967.45 | 123 | 58.5%72 W · 51 L | +10.3wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Under | 50c | 1,541$769 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$772.2 | 4,848 | 52.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L | +139.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaca2…b9a1backed Under | 52c | 1,205$626 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$578.23 | 417 | 52.5%219 W · 198 L | +13.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed Over | 24c | 818.11$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.94 | 2,003 | 53.7%1,076 W · 927 L | +101.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7da6…4ff3backed Under | 52c | 770$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$369.6 | 98 | 56.1%55 W · 43 L | +7.9wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +52.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Under | 49c | 698$343 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$355.13 | 1,436 | 47.5%682 W · 754 L | -18.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d0f…f3e6backed Under | 53c | 660.38$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$310.38 | 119 | 46.2%55 W · 64 L | -3.9wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb9fc…da76backed Over | 47c | 646$304 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$303.62 | 401 | 47.6%191 W · 210 L | +7.6wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c8c…237dbacked Over | 30c | 600$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.78 | 175 | 46.3%81 W · 94 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x391d…def1backed Over | 9c | 526.04$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.03 | 138 | 40.6%56 W · 82 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x24d3…30abbacked Under | 52c | 481.16$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230.96 | 169 | 54.4%92 W · 77 L | +8.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Under | 52c | 453$236 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$217.45 | 2,579 | 47.3%1,221 W · 1,358 L | -42.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d48…48e0backed Under | 50c | 436.17$218 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$218.09 | 180 | 46.7%84 W · 96 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe9f5…3e7abacked Over | 7c | 428.34$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.63 | 327 | 51.7%169 W · 158 L | +12.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd51b…9606backed Under | 52c | 390$203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187.2 | 138 | 51.4%71 W · 67 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 53c | 364$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171.58 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under | 49c | 338$166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.38 | 2,896 | 50%1,448 W · 1,448 L | +71.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7669…f58cbacked Over | 7c | 336.69$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.14 | 153 | 56.2%86 W · 67 L | +14.9wins | +0.10per pick | 46cpaid | +27.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Over | 48c | 333$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.84 | 141 | 51.1%72 W · 69 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Over | 26c | 309.61$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.17 | 3,684 | 42.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L | +32.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Under | 49c | 299$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.49 | 605 | 48.9%296 W · 309 L | +10.3wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b20…99e9backed Over | 48c | 291.67$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 794 | 48.9%388 W · 406 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 48c | 259.21$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.99 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3fbc…9cf6backed Over | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 505 | 46.9%237 W · 268 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x664b…00b3backed Under | 52c | 200$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96 | 111 | 59.5%66 W · 45 L | +10.7wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x53cd…f23ebacked Under | 52c | 200$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96 | 87 | 50.6%44 W · 43 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8046…a845backed Over | 47c | 200$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94 | 100 | 47%47 W · 53 L | +8.7wins | +0.09per pick | 38cpaid | +24%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcfca…68fcbacked Over | 47c | 200$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94 | 386 | 45.9%177 W · 209 L | +11.4wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Over | 33c | 197$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.85 | 2,254 | 42.2%951 W · 1,303 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf13b…9ef9backed Under | 52c | 188.46$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.46 | 196 | 57.1%112 W · 84 L | +14.9wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed Over | 11c | 131$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.91 | 456 | 44.5%203 W · 253 L | -16.8wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Over | 47c | 123$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.81 | 918 | 48.9%449 W · 469 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa966…208bbacked Under | 52c | 114.66$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.66 | 151 | 56.3%85 W · 66 L | +8.6wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x34fa…f491backed Under | 51c | 100$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49 | 1,070 | 46.9%502 W · 568 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd6…ab3dbacked Over | 48c | 100$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 1,487 | 43%639 W · 848 L | +50.8wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe7ea…066ebacked Under | 56c | 100$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44 | 79 | 57%45 W · 34 L | +5.6wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7681…ac03backed Under | 50c | 99.69$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.85 | 429 | 34.3%147 W · 282 L | +21.3wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1b46…944cbacked Under | 52c | 96.15$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.15 | 186 | 56.5%105 W · 81 L | +12.2wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3a56…387cbacked Under | 50c | 85.1$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.3 | 323 | 43%139 W · 184 L | -18.5wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -23%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xee20…5b37backed Over | 44c | 77.27$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 190 | 50.5%96 W · 94 L | +15.7wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5140…9951backed Under | 53c | 75.47$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.47 | 35 | 68.6%24 W · 11 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 66cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa1e0…90babacked Under | 79c | 63$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.23 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +38.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5193…2328backed Under | 79c | 61.5$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.91 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 68cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Over | 48c | 50$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.75 | 891 | 46.2%412 W · 479 L | +9.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6fe0…323bbacked Under | 45c | 50$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.5 | 64 | 50%32 W · 32 L | +4.0wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +13%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x70b1…73b2backed Under | 52c | 46.24$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.2 | 91 | 51.6%47 W · 44 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5305…57e8backed Under | 60c | 42.09$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17 | 34 | 29.4%10 W · 24 L | -2.9wins | -0.09per pick | 38cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd05a…bf53backed Under | 52c | 40$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.2 | 33 | 39.4%13 W · 20 L | -3.4wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x68cd…e8d7backed Under | 53c | 37.74$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.74 | 24 | 20.8%5 W · 19 L | -7.3wins | -0.31per pick | 51cpaid | -59.2%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x865a…901bbacked Under | 52c | 37.69$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.09 | 125 | 60%75 W · 50 L | +12.0wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbf07…4a12backed Under | 52c | 30$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.4 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -1.2wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0bdf…7f09backed Under | 52c | 28.87$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.86 | 118 | 58.5%69 W · 49 L | +9.9wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0d0e…4049backed Under | 53c | 28.3$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.3 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.9wins | +0.24per pick | 51cpaid | +45.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x794e…d8cbbacked Under | 57c | 26.1$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.15 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +74.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdfdc…0133backed Under | 52c | 25.97$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.47 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Over | 51c | 23.8$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.17 | 1,633 | 47.3%773 W · 860 L | +25.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x191e…b6bebacked Under | 52c | 22.08$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.6 | 26 | 69.2%18 W · 8 L | +4.7wins | +0.18per pick | 51cpaid | +36.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1881…85a2backed Under | 52c | 20.73$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.95 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x43d6…a56abacked Under | 49c | 20.41$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.41 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -1.9wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8fbb…a77bbacked Under | 52c | 20.4$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.79 | 53 | 56.6%30 W · 23 L | +4.4wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbda3…ef65backed Under | 52c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.6 | 627 | 53%332 W · 295 L | +13.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Siena Saints vs. Manhattan Jaspers: O/U 145.5this page
- Siena Saints vs. Manhattan JaspersSiena Saints won
- Siena Saints vs. Manhattan Jaspers: O/U 146.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.