TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Ncaa Basketball · resolved market

Kansas City Roos vs. South Dakota State Jackrabbits: O/U 151.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$606,877
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$607,905

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $606,877 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 88 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x4924…3782backed Over52c584,377$303,692 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$280,684.7835945.1%162 W · 197 L-24.4wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-13.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x6a72…33eebacked Under48c400,000$192,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$192,00021754.8%119 W · 98 L+15.3wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+15.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xe90b…5da2backed Under48c166,027$79,693 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79,693.1169142.8%296 W · 395 L+4.8wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-4.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcb43…3c74backed Under49c3,007$1,474 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,473.7128539.6%113 W · 172 L-14.4wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-11.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xf1ef…8cd6backed Under49c3,000$1,470 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,47017050.6%86 W · 84 L+4.9wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+6.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5e5b…5950backed Under50c2,801$1,397 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,397.15759.6%34 W · 23 L+5.2wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+18.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x24d3…30abbacked Under50c2,244$1,122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,122.0116954.4%92 W · 77 L+8.7wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+11.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x57a8…6933backed Over50c2,200$1,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,10074649.2%367 W · 379 L+1.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid+3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x30a4…8441backed Over49c2,060$999 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,060.642246.2%195 W · 227 L-9.5wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-5.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Under50c1,967$979 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$978.8812,42249.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L+118.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8738…222bbacked Under52c1,923$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00025556.1%143 W · 112 L+12.4wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+8.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xaca2…b9a1backed Under50c1,788$895 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$895.3541752.5%219 W · 198 L+13.2wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+5.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Under53c1,417$751 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$751.012,57947.3%1,221 W · 1,358 L-42.7wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-6.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Under49c1,142$557 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$557.444,84852.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L+139.2wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe6f0…5701backed Over22c876.82$189 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$688.2336942.3%156 W · 213 L-9.5wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-9.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb9fc…da76backed Over47c707$332 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$374.7140147.6%191 W · 210 L+7.6wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+2.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf5b3…7c36backed Under6c683.42$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.676016.7%10 W · 50 L+2.7wins+0.04per pick12cpaid+44.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4d48…48e0backed Under49c562.08$275 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$275.4218046.7%84 W · 96 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-5.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Over6c522.04$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$489.023,68442.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L+32.6wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-5.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Over48c502.48$241 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$261.295,94649.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L+163.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-0.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1733…1e15backed Over48c416.67$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$216.671,23147%578 W · 653 L-17.6wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-2.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xd51b…9606backed Under52c390$203 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202.813851.4%71 W · 67 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+5.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc5b5…7e80backed Over21c299.87$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$237.92,00353.7%1,076 W · 927 L+101.7wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+2.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x1db3…ada1backed Over47c208.99$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$110.2135050.3%176 W · 174 L+0.9wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x49a9…ea7ebacked Under49c202.04$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$992035%7 W · 13 L-2.6wins-0.13per pick48cpaid-29.5%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x55ac…9955backed Under5c200$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105438.9%21 W · 33 L+15.0wins+0.28per pick11cpaid+213.8%equal weight71+0.19 edge/pick
0x3a51…b2b6backed Under53c200$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10617258.7%101 W · 71 L+14.3wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+14.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x4786…ff95backed Under53c199.32$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105.159947.5%47 W · 52 L-5.4wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-8.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf13b…9ef9backed Under51c196.08$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10019657.1%112 W · 84 L+14.9wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+15.8%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x1c8c…237dbacked Over24c193.68$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$147.4317546.3%81 W · 94 L-2.8wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-9.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe9f5…3e7abacked Over19c181.08$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$147.3832751.7%169 W · 158 L+12.7wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+14.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xfcfe…d420backed Under52c126.92$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$664748.9%23 W · 24 L-1.3wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-6.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9eb3…380ebacked Over10c125$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.51266.7%8 W · 4 L+2.2wins+0.18per pick48cpaid+85.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x2816…6ad7backed Under49c107.12$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.499257.6%53 W · 39 L+8.1wins+0.09per pick49cpaid+20.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x34fa…f491backed Over49c100$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$511,07046.9%502 W · 568 L-0.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbfd6…ab3dbacked Under48c100$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$481,48743%639 W · 848 L+50.8wins+0.03per pick40cpaid+11.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x622f…9992backed Under53c100$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.16per pick50cpaid+36.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7e80…f17abacked Under15c100$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151608.1%13 W · 147 L-3.6wins-0.02per pick10cpaid-42.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1b46…944cbacked Under51c98.04$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5018656.5%105 W · 81 L+12.2wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+13.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xf4a5…398fbacked Under51c98.04$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50850%4 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-7.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa60d…2204backed Under53c94.34$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502334.8%8 W · 15 L-4.3wins-0.19per pick54cpaid-35.4%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x9a9a…989abacked Under53c94.34$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$503542.9%15 W · 20 L-2.8wins-0.08per pick51cpaid-15.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xbab6…f845backed Under50c86.95$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.463554.3%19 W · 16 L+1.1wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+4.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd6f3…9e3bbacked Over60c82.92$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.173100%3 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+56.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x04f2…bc84backed Under51c78.43$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$406654.5%36 W · 30 L+2.9wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+9.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe85d…95d8backed Under53c75.47$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$404755.3%26 W · 21 L+1.3wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+6.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6b97…f776backed Over43c72.4$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.93944.4%4 W · 5 L+1.2wins+0.13per pick31cpaid-9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x81db…5655backed Under70c71.12$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.78475%3 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick73cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaa3b…2077backed Under71c70.13$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.79977.8%7 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick75cpaid+3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf86c…f588backed Under71c70.13$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.7940%0 W · 4 L-2.8wins-0.69per pick69cpaid-100%equal weight39-0.09 edge/pick
0xbc82…6421backed Under40c70$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2811147.7%53 W · 58 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-3.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2960…6f98backed Under73c68.2$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.79650%3 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.18per pick68cpaid-28.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2d08…20a4backed Under73c68.2$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.79450%2 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.17per pick67cpaid-19.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under25c67.48$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.871,66736.4%607 W · 1,060 L-4.0wins0.00per pick37cpaid-7.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x375e…ebb8backed Over41c67$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.81100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.59per pick41cpaid+146.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xdaa5…a759backed Under75c66.4$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.81070%7 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick70cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x97f4…284bbacked Over75c66.4$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.64100%4 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.25per pick76cpaid+32.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa49e…38c5backed Under76c65.53$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.8757.1%4 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.16per pick73cpaid-22.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc931…6873backed Under77c64.68$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.8580%4 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.06per pick74cpaid+9.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5661…4581backed Under77c64.68$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.8366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.09per pick76cpaid-11.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa040…0888backed Under74c64.68$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.86333.3%1 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.38per pick71cpaid-57.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xbd0b…00d8backed Under77c64.68$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.8785.7%6 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.09per pick77cpaid+12%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xed85…bfacbacked Under51c64.59$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$337846.2%36 W · 42 L-2.6wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-7.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9786…f797backed Under78c63.86$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.81850%4 W · 4 L-1.6wins-0.20per pick70cpaid-26%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x5613…d53bbacked Under78c63.86$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.811275%9 W · 3 L+0.6wins+0.05per pick70cpaid+6.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9c61…5cf1backed Under78c63.05$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.1830%0 W · 3 L-2.1wins-0.70per pick70cpaid-100%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x077c…7e6dbacked Under79c63.05$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.81560%3 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.15per pick75cpaid-18.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0243…f72cbacked Under79c63.05$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.81966.7%6 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick71cpaid-3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb1cb…fb77backed Over25c62$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.810252%53 W · 49 L-2.4wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-4.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdc0f…bbfebacked Over19c60.75$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.276653%35 W · 31 L+0.2wins0.00per pick53cpaid+2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd05a…bf53backed Under51c60$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.63339.4%13 W · 20 L-3.4wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-22.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x4d85…2560backed Under49c50$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.518646.2%86 W · 100 L-5.4wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe88b…fa5abacked Over51c50$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.534649.1%170 W · 176 L+9.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0ab5…1bd7backed Over51c49.87$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.193100%3 W · 0 L+1.4wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+93.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Under52c48$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.872,25442.2%951 W · 1,303 L+3.4wins0.00per pick42cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf2d9…0092backed Over50c44.02$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.019440.4%38 W · 56 L-9.7wins-0.10per pick51cpaid-20.7%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x191e…b6bebacked Under51c43.45$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.162669.2%18 W · 8 L+4.7wins+0.18per pick51cpaid+36.7%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x08b6…7db6backed Under51c42.82$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.9312245.9%56 W · 66 L-6.3wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-9.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xbc3a…e1f0backed Under53c40$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.226848.1%129 W · 139 L-5.6wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6fe0…323bbacked Under49c40$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.66450%32 W · 32 L+4.0wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+13%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x7dec…61b7backed Under52c38.46$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203145.2%14 W · 17 L-1.8wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-10.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xcecc…affebacked Under53c37.74$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201855.6%10 W · 8 L+0.9wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+13.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe026…0404backed Over48c37.3$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.412355.3%68 W · 55 L+3.6wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+4.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0bdf…7f09backed Under51c35.75$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.2311858.5%69 W · 49 L+9.9wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+16.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x533b…90f3backed Under54c28.32$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.2310%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2aee…51a8backed Under53c28.3$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$153554.3%19 W · 16 L+1.8wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+8.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7e1e…ee71backed Under51c23.61$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.0420%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9c76…c926backed Under49c21.08$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.3389146.2%412 W · 479 L+9.8wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.