Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Texas A&M Aggies vs. Texas Longhorns: O/U 165.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb3530a9a507d8473163e7a88ab29feb131e405f92742d2f6dc68bb54b80c0c9e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $672,862
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $673,790
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $672,862 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 57 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4924…3782backed Under | 52c | 629,586$326,521 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$303,064.65 | 359 | 45.1%162 W · 197 L | -24.4wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…33eebacked Over | 48c | 400,000$192,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192,000 | 217 | 54.8%119 W · 98 L | +15.3wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed Over | 48c | 142,904$68,594 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68,593.82 | 691 | 42.8%296 W · 395 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb45a…192cbacked Over | 49c | 52,018$25,489 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25,488.79 | 896 | 45.9%411 W · 485 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x163e…dc5bbacked Over | 54c | 19,364$10,385 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,385.45 | 127 | 54.3%69 W · 58 L | +4.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 48c | 14,354$6,836 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,518.08 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e5b…5950backed Over | 50c | 6,795$3,397 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,397.28 | 57 | 59.6%34 W · 23 L | +5.2wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcb43…3c74backed Over | 49c | 6,000$2,940 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,940 | 285 | 39.6%113 W · 172 L | -14.4wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x24d3…30abbacked Over | 50c | 4,004$2,002 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,001.84 | 169 | 54.4%92 W · 77 L | +8.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Over | 49c | 2,996$1,460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,460.17 | 4,848 | 52.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L | +139.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd89e…35fabacked Over | 51c | 2,000$1,020 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,020 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -2.8wins | -0.20per pick | 48cpaid | -45.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8738…222bbacked Over | 52c | 1,923$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 255 | 56.1%143 W · 112 L | +12.4wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Over | 48c | 1,506$728 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$727.89 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4fb0…3182backed Over | 49c | 800$392 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$392 | 413 | 54%223 W · 190 L | +13.3wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8a45…41f6backed Under | 56c | 798.81$446 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$353.12 | 114 | 44.7%51 W · 63 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d0f…f3e6backed Over | 55c | 727.27$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 119 | 46.2%55 W · 64 L | -3.9wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4d48…48e0backed Over | 49c | 580.23$284 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$284.31 | 180 | 46.7%84 W · 96 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b20…99e9backed Over | 52c | 480.77$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 794 | 48.9%388 W · 406 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd51b…9606backed Over | 51c | 400$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204 | 138 | 51.4%71 W · 67 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x79df…277ebacked Over | 55c | 218.83$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 61 | 54.1%33 W · 28 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x49a9…ea7ebacked Over | 49c | 202.04$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -2.6wins | -0.13per pick | 48cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf13b…9ef9backed Over | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 196 | 57.1%112 W · 84 L | +14.9wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7e80…f17abacked Over | 16c | 173.81$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.12 | 160 | 8.1%13 W · 147 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 10cpaid | -42.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Over | 50c | 125.82$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.91 | 4,552 | 50.1%2,279 W · 2,273 L | -36.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef2e…8d89backed Over | 48c | 125$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 498 | 49.6%247 W · 251 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa966…208bbacked Over | 52c | 115.38$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 151 | 56.3%85 W · 66 L | +8.6wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x006c…16eabacked Over | 48c | 111.77$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.65 | 96 | 52.1%50 W · 46 L | +3.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd6…ab3dbacked Over | 48c | 100$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 1,487 | 43%639 W · 848 L | +50.8wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x08f0…6cabbacked Over | 51c | 100$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x04f2…bc84backed Over | 51c | 99.86$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.93 | 66 | 54.5%36 W · 30 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1b46…944cbacked Over | 51c | 98.04$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 186 | 56.5%105 W · 81 L | +12.2wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9a9a…989abacked Over | 51c | 98.04$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 35 | 42.9%15 W · 20 L | -2.8wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4d85…2560backed Over | 49c | 97.18$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.62 | 186 | 46.2%86 W · 100 L | -5.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa60d…2204backed Over | 55c | 90.91$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | -4.3wins | -0.19per pick | 54cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xbda3…ef65backed Over | 51c | 80$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.8 | 627 | 53%332 W · 295 L | +13.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9aea…5590backed Over | 49c | 75.08$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.79 | 158 | 44.3%70 W · 88 L | -6.5wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2816…6ad7backed Over | 49c | 70.56$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.57 | 92 | 57.6%53 W · 39 L | +8.1wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe9f5…3e7abacked Under | 51c | 68.08$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.36 | 327 | 51.7%169 W · 158 L | +12.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa26f…4b98backed Under | 52c | 57.69$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.69 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | +2.0wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8fbb…a77bbacked Over | 51c | 52.08$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.56 | 53 | 56.6%30 W · 23 L | +4.4wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2905…18a9backed Under | 52c | 51.96$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.94 | 49 | 55.1%27 W · 22 L | +2.3wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Over | 50c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.75 | 891 | 46.2%412 W · 479 L | +9.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x65b3…7fc9backed Under | 51c | 47.33$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.19 | 123 | 41.5%51 W · 72 L | -7.5wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc56b…fe0abacked Over | 51c | 43.45$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.16 | 95 | 43.2%41 W · 54 L | -3.9wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x191e…b6bebacked Over | 51c | 40.71$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.76 | 26 | 69.2%18 W · 8 L | +4.7wins | +0.18per pick | 51cpaid | +36.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0bdf…7f09backed Over | 51c | 40.69$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.75 | 118 | 58.5%69 W · 49 L | +9.9wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf861…1d14backed Over | 50c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 67 | 55.2%37 W · 30 L | +3.6wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7451…f245backed Over | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9d…3e29backed Over | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 283 | 54.1%153 W · 130 L | +9.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x43d7…e4e1backed Over | 55c | 36.36$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba07…70bdbacked Over | 51c | 32.94$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.8 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x08b6…7db6backed Over | 51c | 30.22$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.41 | 122 | 45.9%56 W · 66 L | -6.3wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd05a…bf53backed Over | 54c | 30$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.2 | 33 | 39.4%13 W · 20 L | -3.4wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3e0e…2d99backed Over | 51c | 26.55$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.54 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -3.4wins | -0.28per pick | 45cpaid | -66%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9ff7…9ab6backed Under | 49c | 22.84$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.71 | 85 | 56.5%48 W · 37 L | +3.3wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1881…85a2backed Over | 51c | 20.71$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.56 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa23c…ae92backed Over | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 37 | 35.1%13 W · 24 L | -7.1wins | -0.19per pick | 54cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Texas A&M Aggies vs. Texas Longhorns: O/U 165.5this page
- Spread: Texas Longhorns (-4.5)Texas A&M Aggies won
- Spread: Texas Longhorns (-5.5)Texas A&M Aggies won
- Texas A&M Aggies vs. Texas LonghornsTexas A&M Aggies won
- Texas A&M Aggies vs. Texas Longhorns: O/U 164.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.