Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Texas A&M Aggies vs. Texas Longhorns
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2c5e4708d20412b299235e2c2fba1f0aedac5cbc56def2b24fc19dd00f0d1f23
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Texas A&M Aggiesof Texas A&M Aggies, Texas Longhorns
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $33,025
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $36,981
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $33,025 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 54 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Texas Longhorns | 65c | 2,410$1,570 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,569.79 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda5f…2e9bbacked Texas A&M Aggies | 41c | 1,942$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,141.87 | 68 | 52.9%36 W · 32 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Texas A&M Aggies | 57c | 1,764$998 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$765.81 | 2,124 | 50.4%1,070 W · 1,054 L | +40.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b16…e8b8backed Texas A&M Aggies | 40c | 1,714$685 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,029.68 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | +3.9wins | +0.19per pick | 29cpaid | +53.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e5…2d3abacked Texas A&M Aggies | 33c | 1,515$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,015.15 | 251 | 30.7%77 W · 174 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Texas Longhorns | 10c | 1,450$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.6 | 2,555 | 41.6%1,062 W · 1,493 L | -15.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Texas Longhorns | 66c | 1,296$856 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$856.22 | 4,848 | 52.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L | +139.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x783c…6900backed Texas A&M Aggies | 32c | 1,278$409 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$869.04 | 137 | 35%48 W · 89 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca0c…9c40backed Texas Longhorns | 2c | 1,128$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.15 | 21 | 14.3%3 W · 18 L | -1.9wins | -0.09per pick | 23cpaid | -58.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Texas A&M Aggies | 50c | 1,116$558 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$557.91 | 3,380 | 49.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L | +30.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Texas Longhorns | 61c | 1,083$663 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$662.52 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e29…9e66backed Texas Longhorns | 9c | 954$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.26 | 55 | 20%11 W · 44 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Texas Longhorns | 68c | 811$548 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$548.38 | 605 | 48.9%296 W · 309 L | +10.3wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xab5c…3fbdbacked Texas Longhorns | 38c | 519.72$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.49 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | +1.4wins | +0.07per pick | 36cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5984…76ebbacked Texas A&M Aggies | 33c | 491.21$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$331.21 | 77 | 27.3%21 W · 56 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Texas Longhorns | 20c | 476.04$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.06 | 1,493 | 48.7%727 W · 766 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Texas Longhorns | 67c | 451.82$303 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$302.72 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcdb8…abbebacked Texas Longhorns | 27c | 406.11$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.35 | 1,983 | 26.4%523 W · 1,460 L | -55.5wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Texas Longhorns | 66c | 378.75$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$248.09 | 2,579 | 47.3%1,221 W · 1,358 L | -42.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Texas Longhorns | 10c | 365.29$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.58 | 2,048 | 32.7%670 W · 1,378 L | -16.2wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Texas Longhorns | 59c | 316.15$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185.04 | 2,012 | 50%1,006 W · 1,006 L | +22.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Texas Longhorns | 56c | 285$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.6 | 1,074 | 43.3%465 W · 609 L | +20.0wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Texas A&M Aggies | 60c | 273.29$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.59 | 1,985 | 64.1%1,273 W · 712 L | +144.2wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xefac…c9a1backed Texas A&M Aggies | 49c | 232.98$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.74 | 181 | 47%85 W · 96 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x391d…def1backed Texas Longhorns | 71c | 221.99$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.62 | 138 | 40.6%56 W · 82 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8046…a845backed Texas A&M Aggies | 33c | 200$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.4 | 100 | 47%47 W · 53 L | +8.7wins | +0.09per pick | 38cpaid | +24%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Texas A&M Aggies | 33c | 199$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.12 | 1,511 | 47.8%722 W · 789 L | -35.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x40e2…b0a7backed Texas Longhorns | 58c | 161.96$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.94 | 79 | 65.8%52 W · 27 L | +8.9wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 59+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3a56…387cbacked Texas Longhorns | 32c | 158.05$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.04 | 323 | 43%139 W · 184 L | -18.5wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -23%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3a8e…b505backed Texas A&M Aggies | 73c | 155.33$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.74 | 480 | 51%245 W · 235 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed Texas Longhorns | 52c | 150$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78 | 449 | 55.2%248 W · 201 L | +5.8wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x61c1…0513backed Texas Longhorns | 67c | 148.78$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 89 | 56.2%50 W · 39 L | -8.2wins | -0.09per pick | 65cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd098…8c03backed Texas Longhorns | 69c | 120$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.8 | 58 | 58.6%34 W · 24 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc3ec…e987backed Texas A&M Aggies | 33c | 100$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67 | 192 | 38.5%74 W · 118 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9de1…f272backed Texas A&M Aggies | 36c | 100$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64 | 70 | 40%28 W · 42 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Texas Longhorns | 66c | 99.14$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.09 | 2,896 | 50%1,448 W · 1,448 L | +71.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d84…6df0backed Texas A&M Aggies | 33c | 89.94$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.26 | 536 | 46.5%249 W · 287 L | -24.3wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Texas A&M Aggies | 33c | 85.55$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.32 | 4,552 | 50.1%2,279 W · 2,273 L | -36.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaab6…607ebacked Texas A&M Aggies | 32c | 80$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.4 | 202 | 54.5%110 W · 92 L | +9.7wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3c34…c8b8backed Texas A&M Aggies | 31c | 80$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55 | 143 | 39.9%57 W · 86 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3880…ab7dbacked Texas Longhorns | 23c | 78.93$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.15 | 235 | 44.7%105 W · 130 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed Texas Longhorns | 33c | 67.85$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.35 | 456 | 44.5%203 W · 253 L | -16.8wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x43d7…e4e1backed Texas A&M Aggies | 35c | 57.14$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.14 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x23d4…5607backed Texas Longhorns | 37c | 54.05$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 87 | 37.9%33 W · 54 L | -4.3wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc0bf…5d96backed Texas Longhorns | 64c | 50$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | -3.0wins | -0.11per pick | 65cpaid | -19%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb9ad…44febacked Texas Longhorns | 67c | 47.14$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.35 | 101 | 51.5%52 W · 49 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4336…28a7backed Texas A&M Aggies | 36c | 44.02$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.16 | 134 | 64.2%86 W · 48 L | +8.7wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd2a4…caf5backed Texas Longhorns | 25c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 70 | 20%14 W · 56 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc688…5987backed Texas A&M Aggies | 32c | 38$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.74 | 294 | 42.9%126 W · 168 L | -11.0wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa4ba…c5d8backed Texas Longhorns | 67c | 37$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.79 | 254 | 36.6%93 W · 161 L | -13.9wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1db3…ada1backed Texas Longhorns | 65c | 33$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.45 | 350 | 50.3%176 W · 174 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5305…57e8backed Texas A&M Aggies | 41c | 30$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.7 | 34 | 29.4%10 W · 24 L | -2.9wins | -0.09per pick | 38cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x57d5…0bbdbacked Texas Longhorns | 69c | 23.7$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.33 | 573 | 35.6%204 W · 369 L | -27.3wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1fc7…55f6backed Texas Longhorns | 63c | 16.6$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.38 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Texas A&M Aggies vs. Texas Longhornsthis page
- Spread: Texas Longhorns (-4.5)Texas A&M Aggies won
- Spread: Texas Longhorns (-5.5)Texas A&M Aggies won
- Texas A&M Aggies vs. Texas Longhorns: O/U 164.5Under won
- Texas A&M Aggies vs. Texas Longhorns: O/U 165.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.