NHL · resolved market
Maple Leafs vs. Jets
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x061c9f7d2aa4ef821c1263c66e556815021ea0daa727b13c2b086239d1933ca1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Maple Leafsof Maple Leafs, Jets
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $378,882
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $385,889
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $378,882 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 296 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5d89…a2febacked Jets | 57c | 87,164$49,580 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49,580.35 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.4wins | +0.17per pick | 46cpaid | +58.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xebbb…4214backed Maple Leafs | 23c | 85,193$20,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65,193.44 | 128 | 35.9%46 W · 82 L | -7.9wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -26%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…33eebacked Jets | 77c | 78,561$60,208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60,208.04 | 1,345 | 54.8%737 W · 608 L | +21.0wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03e8…1697backed Jets | 54c | 20,421$11,123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,122.79 | 670 | 51%342 W · 328 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead0…f3babacked Maple Leafs | 43c | 17,500$7,525 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,975 | 329 | 46.8%154 W · 175 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Maple Leafs | 43c | 15,000$6,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,500 | 1,441 | 49.2%709 W · 732 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b90…2194backed Maple Leafs | 43c | 13,700$5,958 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,742 | 157 | 49.7%78 W · 79 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Jets | 4c | 10,667$458 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$458.27 | 1,384 | 47.1%652 W · 732 L | +25.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4d…168cbacked Maple Leafs | 45c | 10,452$4,743 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,708.97 | 1,087 | 45.1%490 W · 597 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6aa1…e886backed Jets | 54c | 9,100$4,914 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,913.97 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.16per pick | 55cpaid | +27.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Jets | 55c | 8,654$4,758 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,758.47 | 561 | 52%292 W · 269 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd09…a188backed Maple Leafs | 45c | 8,000$3,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,399.99 | 617 | 48.5%299 W · 318 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7298…fe8dbacked Maple Leafs | 43c | 7,703$3,312 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,390.71 | 332 | 43.7%145 W · 187 L | -16.1wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8e82…4e15backed Maple Leafs | 46c | 7,700$3,542 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,158 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +1.1wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x57a8…6933backed Maple Leafs | 43c | 7,327$3,151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,176.39 | 388 | 44.6%173 W · 215 L | -17.1wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Maple Leafs | 43c | 5,581$2,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,181.17 | 520 | 50%260 W · 260 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21d4…84bdbacked Maple Leafs | 46c | 5,522$2,540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,981.74 | 42 | 52.4%22 W · 20 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x91fd…1cdebacked Maple Leafs | 43c | 5,000$2,150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,850 | 139 | 48.2%67 W · 72 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Maple Leafs | 45c | 4,842$2,176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,665.56 | 996 | 38.2%380 W · 616 L | -10.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x70cf…f6cebacked Maple Leafs | 33c | 4,217$1,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,817.85 | 36 | 36.1%13 W · 23 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Maple Leafs | 43c | 4,061$1,746 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,314.75 | 2,894 | 51.3%1,484 W · 1,410 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1222…2aa7backed Jets | 51c | 3,802$1,950 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,950.03 | 46 | 54.3%25 W · 21 L | +2.8wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x936f…d171backed Maple Leafs | 43c | 3,794$1,644 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,149.71 | 81 | 34.6%28 W · 53 L | -8.7wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5e5b…5950backed Jets | 78c | 3,791$2,973 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,972.77 | 61 | 57.4%35 W · 26 L | +2.1wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x08a4…5c3fbacked Jets | 57c | 3,663$2,088 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,087.88 | 305 | 51.5%157 W · 148 L | +10.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xed61…9aa3backed Jets | 72c | 3,458$2,480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,479.6 | 584 | 67.5%394 W · 190 L | +93.1wins | +0.16per pick | 52cpaid | +32.9%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x13a1…d9bcbacked Maple Leafs | 32c | 3,353$1,077 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,276.45 | 571 | 57.8%330 W · 241 L | +12.7wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Maple Leafs | 22c | 3,143$704 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,439.55 | 1,301 | 52.6%684 W · 617 L | +23.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Jets | 68c | 3,096$2,094 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,093.77 | 896 | 36.9%331 W · 565 L | -30.9wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Maple Leafs | 43c | 3,007$1,293 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,714.09 | 1,555 | 51.4%800 W · 755 L | +12.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed2c…9597backed Maple Leafs | 43c | 3,000$1,290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,710 | 333 | 45.6%152 W · 181 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed Maple Leafs | 46c | 3,000$1,380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,620 | 976 | 51.6%504 W · 472 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x19ed…6dc8backed Maple Leafs | 47c | 2,977$1,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,576.18 | 147 | 53.7%79 W · 68 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed Jets | 3c | 2,725$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.74 | 1,107 | 52%576 W · 531 L | +63.9wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe4fc…8af7backed Maple Leafs | 43c | 2,290$985 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,305.3 | 602 | 49.5%298 W · 304 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01b4…372ebacked Jets | 9c | 2,222$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.98 | 217 | 4.1%9 W · 208 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 3cpaid | +36.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…d096backed Jets | 68c | 2,160$1,471 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,470.84 | 387 | 38%147 W · 240 L | -13.9wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbce9…03e9backed Maple Leafs | 3c | 2,087$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,030.42 | 250 | 4.8%12 W · 238 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 2cpaid | +159.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x977a…f2cabacked Jets | 1c | 2,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1,163 | 2.3%27 W · 1,136 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -87.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f13…e0fdbacked Maple Leafs | 44c | 1,932$850 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,081.82 | 479 | 51.4%246 W · 233 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Jets | 67c | 1,928$1,290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,290.07 | 1,354 | 52.6%712 W · 642 L | +46.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3eb6…2abbbacked Jets | 4c | 1,861$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.3 | 107 | 6.5%7 W · 100 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 6cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Jets | 56c | 1,820$1,019 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,019.18 | 619 | 59.1%366 W · 253 L | +17.9wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf699…07e1backed Jets | 67c | 1,809$1,211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,211.02 | 854 | 64.2%548 W · 306 L | +64.5wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7634…1b96backed Jets | 57c | 1,740$992 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$992 | 200 | 47.5%95 W · 105 L | -9.1wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5c57…5b16backed Maple Leafs | 43c | 1,680$724 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$956 | 1,475 | 48.3%712 W · 763 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf74a…a91cbacked Maple Leafs | 47c | 1,648$778 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$869.43 | 102 | 51%52 W · 50 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca3f…8078backed Maple Leafs | 44c | 1,500$665 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$834.98 | 622 | 49.4%307 W · 315 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Maple Leafs | 46c | 1,427$657 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$770.48 | 619 | 53.8%333 W · 286 L | +13.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdeae…c71fbacked Maple Leafs | 46c | 1,400$644 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$756 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +3.2wins | +0.19per pick | 46cpaid | +44.4%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7d92…8676backed Maple Leafs | 43c | 1,395$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$794.92 | 82 | 52.4%43 W · 39 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9534…1fe8backed Maple Leafs | 46c | 1,368$629 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$738.89 | 228 | 52.6%120 W · 108 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d1…4660backed Jets | 18c | 1,364$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$247.65 | 294 | 12.9%38 W · 256 L | +5.3wins | +0.02per pick | 11cpaid | +45.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x371a…34b0backed Jets | 1c | 1,322$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.22 | 745 | 0.7%5 W · 740 L | -13.2wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -94.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf5fe…b52dbacked Jets | 6c | 1,300$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78 | 18 | 5.6%1 W · 17 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 10cpaid | -33.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f5b…e747backed Maple Leafs | 43c | 1,300$559 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$741 | 435 | 48.5%211 W · 224 L | -7.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1496…a429backed Maple Leafs | 43c | 1,150$495 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$655.5 | 135 | 53.3%72 W · 63 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa315…cabbbacked Maple Leafs | 43c | 1,150$495 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$655.5 | 322 | 51.9%167 W · 155 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbec5…8f77backed Maple Leafs | 44c | 1,135$499 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$635.6 | 89 | 38.2%34 W · 55 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9a6e…35b4backed Maple Leafs | 44c | 1,071$475 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$596.27 | 352 | 45.2%159 W · 193 L | -19.2wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4fc1…ec92backed Jets | 55c | 999.99$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$549.99 | 543 | 49.5%269 W · 274 L | +2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0e87…2171backed Maple Leafs | 31c | 999.51$309 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$690.26 | 153 | 60.8%93 W · 60 L | +5.8wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Maple Leafs | 43c | 976.77$423 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$553.45 | 457 | 51.6%236 W · 221 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x661d…4dc6backed Maple Leafs | 55c | 933$509 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$424.45 | 437 | 42.3%185 W · 252 L | +11.1wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1dc8…4c1dbacked Maple Leafs | 44c | 926.72$407 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$519.83 | 129 | 41.9%54 W · 75 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed Jets | 67c | 912.49$609 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$608.56 | 601 | 41.9%252 W · 349 L | -8.5wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Jets | 52c | 882.42$456 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$456.34 | 2,112 | 42.9%907 W · 1,205 L | -10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e52…91d6backed Maple Leafs | 22c | 836.21$184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$652.24 | 104 | 38.5%40 W · 64 L | -3.9wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2586…c893backed Jets | 52c | 823.05$424 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$424.18 | 836 | 52.8%441 W · 395 L | +28.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd320…097ebacked Maple Leafs | 43c | 710$305 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$404.7 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5413backed Maple Leafs | 37c | 650.99$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$410.99 | 79 | 48.1%38 W · 41 L | +4.8wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xee7e…61bbbacked Maple Leafs | 51c | 621.67$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$301.67 | 412 | 48.3%199 W · 213 L | -5.0wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0192…6995backed Jets | 63c | 599.9$381 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$380.88 | 96 | 68.8%66 W · 30 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 67cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x814c…7ffabacked Maple Leafs | 44c | 596.04$262 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$333.78 | 589 | 47%277 W · 312 L | -23.7wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0e20…b6b5backed Maple Leafs | 46c | 576.09$265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$311.09 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | -3.4wins | -0.14per pick | 54cpaid | -26%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9195…72a4backed Maple Leafs | 44c | 568.18$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$318.18 | 127 | 42.5%54 W · 73 L | -6.8wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc7c6…6ff4backed Jets | 54c | 540.07$292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$291.64 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.22per pick | 51cpaid | -36.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x24d3…30abbacked Jets | 78c | 514.77$403 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$402.8 | 170 | 57.1%97 W · 73 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5bc4…f44fbacked Jets | 57c | 500$285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$285 | 684 | 49.9%341 W · 343 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7e…fce4backed Maple Leafs | 43c | 500$215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$285 | 510 | 44.5%227 W · 283 L | +7.0wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…f81dbacked Maple Leafs | 22c | 498.36$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$389.68 | 48 | 22.9%11 W · 37 L | -5.6wins | -0.12per pick | 35cpaid | -48.6%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe4d1…6154backed Jets | 54c | 489.52$264 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$264.34 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x551c…fe91backed Jets | 3c | 480$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 333 | 63.7%212 W · 121 L | +44.3wins | +0.13per pick | 50cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xdf08…9f3fbacked Maple Leafs | 44c | 454.55$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$254.55 | 46 | 50%23 W · 23 L | -2.6wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x03d9…e693backed Maple Leafs | 4c | 450$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$434.25 | 55 | 7.3%4 W · 51 L | +2.6wins | +0.05per pick | 3cpaid | +70.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xce6d…28b5backed Maple Leafs | 46c | 449.99$206 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244 | 749 | 51.8%388 W · 361 L | +18.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5adf…a5e7backed Maple Leafs | 45c | 444.09$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.25 | 632 | 49.5%313 W · 319 L | +2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e5b…a569backed Jets | 55c | 436.36$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 226 | 55.8%126 W · 100 L | -4.7wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…1e15backed Maple Leafs | 46c | 434.78$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234.78 | 530 | 50.6%268 W · 262 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…4f9cbacked Maple Leafs | 46c | 434.78$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234.78 | 160 | 56.3%90 W · 70 L | +11.6wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6479…5e64backed Maple Leafs | 28c | 428.45$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$308.45 | 206 | 51%105 W · 101 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0ede…17cbbacked Maple Leafs | 56c | 411.04$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$181.04 | 69 | 58%40 W · 29 L | +5.1wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +14%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x35ac…92a7backed Jets | 53c | 397.6$211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210.73 | 275 | 48.7%134 W · 141 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x42b5…b5b6backed Jets | 44c | 393.04$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.94 | 1,377 | 49.1%676 W · 701 L | +39.2wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Maple Leafs | 48c | 391.5$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202.89 | 1,948 | 49.4%962 W · 986 L | +24.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd33b…4e00backed Jets | 57c | 385.96$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 152 | 46.7%71 W · 81 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4fc0…9ed1backed Maple Leafs | 51c | 385.56$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190.56 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb875…68a8backed Maple Leafs | 43c | 360$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205.2 | 246 | 54.5%134 W · 112 L | +9.2wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf819…d410backed Maple Leafs | 28c | 355.9$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255.9 | 209 | 51.7%108 W · 101 L | +7.6wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2639…a9b6backed Jets | 4c | 342.42$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 174 | 42.5%74 W · 100 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Maple Leafs vs. Jetsthis page
- Maple Leafs vs. Jets: O/U 5.5Over won
- Maple Leafs vs. Jets: O/U 6.5Over won
- Spread: Jets (-1.5)Maple Leafs won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.