NBA · resolved market

Spread: Pistons (-15.5)

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5b999b7de05f0418150da5157bc143b9a3b23e317b7a7113dac4b0198dcc822d

Rebuilt 16 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Pistonsof Pistons, Pacers
Resolved: Jan 18, 2026, ESTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $1,528,614
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $1,527,855

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,528,614 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 124 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in NBA
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xc2e7…be51backed Pistons	52c	1,340,216$696,369 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$643,846.4	100	49%49 W · 51 L	-1.8wins	-0.02per pick	51cpaid	-4.2%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x6a72…33eebacked Pacers	48c	400,000$192,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$192,000	262	53.8%141 W · 121 L	+10.1wins	+0.04per pick	50cpaid	+6.3%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe90b…5da2backed Pacers	48c	400,000$192,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$192,000	1,045	49%512 W · 533 L	+21.8wins	+0.02per pick	47cpaid	-7.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9c16…09cbbacked Pacers	48c	200,010$96,004 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$96,004.47	132	48.5%64 W · 68 L	-0.9wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	+3.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9267…0f9abacked Pacers	48c	100,000$48,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$47,999.99	596	53.4%318 W · 278 L	+4.3wins	+0.01per pick	53cpaid	+2.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdc87…7ab6backed Pistons	52c	89,511$46,320 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$43,191.84	2,666	48%1,279 W · 1,387 L	-8.2wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-1.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd7a5…7c26backed Pacers	48c	86,850$41,688 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$41,688	116	53.4%62 W · 54 L	+3.4wins	+0.03per pick	51cpaid	+5.1%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x84db…aeebbacked Pacers	49c	40,000$19,600 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19,600	1,374	50.1%689 W · 685 L	+34.9wins	+0.03per pick	48cpaid	+7.3%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc350…3669backed Pacers	48c	30,000$14,400 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14,400	148	56.1%83 W · 65 L	+5.2wins	+0.04per pick	53cpaid	+2.2%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Pacers	48c	27,500$13,200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13,200	2,153	51.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L	+76.7wins	+0.04per pick	48cpaid	+6.9%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Pacers	48c	27,079$12,998 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12,997.92	3,591	50.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L	+21.6wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	-0.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Pacers	48c	21,701$10,410 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10,410.49	5,053	50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L	+110.9wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+2.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xead0…f3babacked Pacers	49c	20,000$9,700 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$9,700	1,124	48.6%546 W · 578 L	+13.9wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	+3.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5e5b…5950backed Pacers	50c	19,008$9,504 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$9,504	65	46.2%30 W · 35 L	-3.5wins	-0.05per pick	52cpaid	-16.1%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc660…bd28backed Pacers	48c	18,325$8,796 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$8,796.11	593	47%279 W · 314 L	-7.3wins	-0.01per pick	48cpaid	-4.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x97e1…017bbacked Pacers	48c	12,222$5,867 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,866.56	245	54.7%134 W · 111 L	+3.6wins	+0.01per pick	53cpaid	+28.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked Pistons	52c	10,000$5,200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,800	1,820	52.1%948 W · 872 L	+48.5wins	+0.03per pick	49cpaid	+4.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Pistons	52c	9,593$4,988 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,604.55	2,512	49.1%1,234 W · 1,278 L	+6.9wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	+1.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1748…a816backed Pacers	48c	7,677$3,685 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,685	173	44.5%77 W · 96 L	-6.3wins	-0.04per pick	48cpaid	-7.3%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0a77…9d74backed Pacers	48c	6,500$3,120 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,120	1,139	48.3%550 W · 589 L	+3.5wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	+0.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4924…3782backed Pistons	52c	6,144$3,195 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,949.21	874	51.5%450 W · 424 L	+15.8wins	+0.02per pick	50cpaid	+3.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3c9c…74b3backed Pacers	48c	6,000$2,880 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,880	26	53.8%14 W · 12 L	+1.8wins	+0.07per pick	47cpaid	+20.2%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xdaef…54e9backed Pacers	48c	6,000$2,880 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,880	199	37.2%74 W · 125 L	-5.2wins	-0.03per pick	40cpaid	-15%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Pacers	49c	5,656$2,759 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,759.18	9,722	49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L	-2.8wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-0.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4488…e319backed Pacers	50c	5,000$2,500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,500	691	49.1%339 W · 352 L	-8.6wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-2.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x91fd…1cdebacked Pacers	49c	5,000$2,450 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,450	773	48.5%375 W · 398 L	+7.7wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	+4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7760…21f0backed Pistons	49c	4,500$2,205 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,295	461	45.6%210 W · 251 L	-6.7wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	-3.4%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x011c…31dfbacked Pacers	48c	4,167$2,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,000	334	47.9%160 W · 174 L	-6.3wins	-0.02per pick	50cpaid	-3.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa3ea…0637backed Pacers	48c	4,000$1,920 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,920	11	27.3%3 W · 8 L	-2.8wins	-0.25per pick	53cpaid	-57%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0xabf5…cfebbacked Pacers	48c	4,000$1,920 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,920	480	54.2%260 W · 220 L	+14.0wins	+0.03per pick	51cpaid	+5.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8738…222bbacked Pacers	49c	3,061$1,500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,500	100	45%45 W · 55 L	-9.4wins	-0.09per pick	54cpaid	-20%equal weight	42-0.08 edge/pick
0x9870…b9d3backed Pacers	50c	3,000$1,500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,500	564	53.9%304 W · 260 L	+6.7wins	+0.01per pick	53cpaid	+0.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xba26…23c9backed Pacers	48c	2,646$1,276 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,276.4	2,796	50.3%1,405 W · 1,391 L	+27.9wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+1.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Pacers	36c	2,004$715 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$714.96	8,988	47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L	+96.4wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	-5.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf1ef…8cd6backed Pacers	48c	2,000$960 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$960	433	48.5%210 W · 223 L	+11.0wins	+0.03per pick	46cpaid	+6.9%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x07bc…393abacked Pacers	48c	2,000$960 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$960	95	57.9%55 W · 40 L	+7.7wins	+0.08per pick	50cpaid	+21.1%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xef34…86b2backed Pacers	49c	1,935$953 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$952.92	49	42.9%21 W · 28 L	-0.5wins	-0.01per pick	44cpaid	-3.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd93b…cd48backed Pacers	49c	1,800$874 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$874	179	53.1%95 W · 84 L	+7.9wins	+0.04per pick	49cpaid	+9.1%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0d42…f124backed Pacers	27c	1,572$432 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$432.06	172	33.7%58 W · 114 L	-9.7wins	-0.06per pick	39cpaid	-9.1%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Pacers	48c	1,059$508 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$508.17	6,213	50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L	+53.8wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+1.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd161…4cc1backed Pacers	48c	1,000$480 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$480	784	45.8%359 W · 425 L	+5.0wins	+0.01per pick	45cpaid	-2.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8e28…c195backed Pacers	34c	873.4$300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$300	6	50%3 W · 3 L	-0.1wins	-0.02per pick	52cpaid	-18.8%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0xf5a7…63e7backed Pacers	52c	807.69$420 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$420	672	52.7%354 W · 318 L	+15.8wins	+0.02per pick	50cpaid	+3.2%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x27ae…bf54backed Pacers	53c	800$422 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$422	160	53.1%85 W · 75 L	+3.8wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	+4.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9d0f…f3e6backed Pistons	53c	757.77$400 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$357.77	66	59.1%39 W · 27 L	+7.2wins	+0.11per pick	48cpaid	+13.5%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0x7d56…0ba5backed Pacers	39c	650$254 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$253.5	96	47.9%46 W · 50 L	-1.5wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	+10.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Pacers	39c	561$219 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$219.19	2,630	36.7%966 W · 1,664 L	-119.1wins	-0.05per pick	41cpaid	-25.5%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa009…a6efbacked Pacers	48c	490.73$236 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$235.55	147	42.2%62 W · 85 L	+5.4wins	+0.04per pick	39cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4d48…48e0backed Pacers	49c	485.6$238 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$237.59	166	58.4%97 W · 69 L	+6.8wins	+0.04per pick	54cpaid	+7.5%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x664b…00b3backed Pacers	50c	416.66$206 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$206.25	94	55.3%52 W · 42 L	+2.9wins	+0.03per pick	52cpaid	+6.7%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd51b…9606backed Pacers	50c	400$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	105	41%43 W · 62 L	-11.1wins	-0.11per pick	52cpaid	-23.8%equal weight	41-0.09 edge/pick
0x3212…634ebacked Pacers	48c	350$168 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$168	400	35.5%142 W · 258 L	+5.8wins	+0.01per pick	34cpaid	+2.2%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x78d9…70f6backed Pacers	48c	310.47$150 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$150.22	85	37.6%32 W · 53 L	-4.9wins	-0.06per pick	43cpaid	-17.1%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2249…3005backed Pacers	50c	300.38$150 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$150.19	89	70.8%63 W · 26 L	+7.7wins	+0.09per pick	62cpaid	+11%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x6d58…8accbacked Pacers	48c	292$140 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$140.16	358	51.7%185 W · 173 L	-6.8wins	-0.02per pick	54cpaid	-2.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3a8e…b505backed Pacers	31c	269.55$84 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$83.76	271	44.3%120 W · 151 L	-9.0wins	-0.03per pick	48cpaid	-15.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x10d4…d953backed Pistons	61c	267$163 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$104.13	165	50.9%84 W · 81 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	51cpaid	+4.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1e29…9e66backed Pacers	48c	265$127 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$127.2	502	41.2%207 W · 295 L	-3.8wins	-0.01per pick	42cpaid	-7.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf13b…9ef9backed Pacers	51c	216.24$110 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$110	217	53%115 W · 102 L	+4.9wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	+2.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x49a9…ea7ebacked Pacers	49c	202.04$99 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$99	7	28.6%2 W · 5 L	-0.5wins	-0.07per pick	35cpaid	-33.8%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x1db3…ada1backed Pacers	49c	198$96 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$96.36	689	40.2%277 W · 412 L	-54.9wins	-0.08per pick	48cpaid	-17.9%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0xe7ea…066ebacked Pacers	50c	190$95 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$95	43	58.1%25 W · 18 L	+3.9wins	+0.09per pick	49cpaid	+11.9%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x8918…f4e4backed Pistons	51c	162.08$83 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$79.42	34	50%17 W · 17 L	+1.0wins	+0.03per pick	47cpaid	+2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd730…1948backed Pacers	50c	155.25$77 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$77.34	171	55.6%95 W · 76 L	+4.9wins	+0.03per pick	53cpaid	+2.9%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x83a3…6292backed Pacers	52c	153.85$80 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$80	818	45.7%374 W · 444 L	+9.2wins	+0.01per pick	45cpaid	-3.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9756…a5d6backed Pacers	42c	144.48$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-1.4wins	-0.47per pick	47cpaid	-100%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x4bed…7574backed Pacers	48c	143.98$69 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$69.11	22	63.6%14 W · 8 L	+1.7wins	+0.08per pick	56cpaid	+8.3%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Pacers	35c	142.26$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$49.98	3,668	41.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L	-70.7wins	-0.02per pick	44cpaid	-15.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x04f2…bc84backed Pacers	50c	131.02$65 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$65	30	50%15 W · 15 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-1.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1b46…944cbacked Pacers	51c	108.04$55 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$55	171	55.6%95 W · 76 L	+6.7wins	+0.04per pick	52cpaid	+7.6%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x79df…277ebacked Pacers	49c	102.04$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	65	56.9%37 W · 28 L	+1.7wins	+0.03per pick	54cpaid	+3.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x89a7…e7dbbacked Pacers	50c	100$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	111	43.2%48 W · 63 L	+0.5wins	0.00per pick	43cpaid	+8.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6c82…6150backed Pacers	48c	100$48 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$48	635	55.6%353 W · 282 L	+9.5wins	+0.02per pick	54cpaid	+5.8%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe88b…fa5abacked Pistons	61c	100$61 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$39	432	46.1%199 W · 233 L	-4.1wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	-1.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2165…f598backed Pacers	51c	99.98$51 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50.99	58	48.3%28 W · 30 L	+2.5wins	+0.04per pick	44cpaid	+8.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x03f9…f78ebacked Pistons	52c	96.74$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$46.74	133	39.1%52 W · 81 L	-1.0wins	-0.01per pick	40cpaid	-2.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6008…a80bbacked Pistons	49c	91.14$45 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$46.48	2,602	50.6%1,316 W · 1,286 L	-20.7wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-1.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x08b6…7db6backed Pacers	50c	88.78$44 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$44.39	120	62.5%75 W · 45 L	+8.4wins	+0.07per pick	56cpaid	+10.7%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0xfe97…89e1backed Pacers	52c	82.5$43 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$42.9	282	51.8%146 W · 136 L	+5.5wins	+0.02per pick	50cpaid	+2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf593…9553backed Pacers	48c	82.47$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$39.99	1,264	45.8%579 W · 685 L	-10.4wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	-2.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3603…9975backed Pacers	49c	80.82$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	4	25%1 W · 3 L	-1.0wins	-0.24per pick	49cpaid	-47.9%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xbc82…6421backed Pacers	50c	80$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	118	47.5%56 W · 62 L	+0.9wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	+2.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf861…1d14backed Pacers	50c	80$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	12	41.7%5 W · 7 L	-1.1wins	-0.09per pick	51cpaid	-18.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2a61…588bbacked Pacers	48c	75$36 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$36	6	50%3 W · 3 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-1.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x478d…9777backed Pistons	77c	64.68$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$14.88	8	87.5%7 W · 1 L	+1.3wins	+0.16per pick	72cpaid	+22.7%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5352…b46ebacked Pistons	78c	63.86$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$14.05	6	83.3%5 W · 1 L	+0.5wins	+0.08per pick	75cpaid	+10%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc104…d8a2backed Pistons	78c	63.86$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$14.1	7	71.4%5 W · 2 L	-0.3wins	-0.04per pick	75cpaid	-6.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x97f4…284bbacked Pistons	77c	63.86$49 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$14.37	9	88.9%8 W · 1 L	+1.5wins	+0.17per pick	72cpaid	+22%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa49e…38c5backed Pistons	80c	62.27$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$12.45	8	62.5%5 W · 3 L	-0.9wins	-0.11per pick	74cpaid	-13.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb390…642bbacked Pistons	52c	59.62$31 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$28.62	1,661	50.3%836 W · 825 L	-14.9wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-1.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xac98…7281backed Pistons	52c	57$30 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$27.36	421	43.7%184 W · 237 L	-0.4wins	0.00per pick	44cpaid	+1.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Pistons	50c	57$29 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$28.5	2,091	47.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L	-56.6wins	-0.03per pick	51cpaid	-4.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Pacers	49c	56.49$28 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$27.89	3,120	44.7%1,394 W · 1,726 L	-7.6wins	0.00per pick	45cpaid	-3.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7203…c123backed Pacers	36c	55.56$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	33	21.2%7 W · 26 L	-2.9wins	-0.09per pick	30cpaid	-34.4%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf389…e45dbacked Pacers	48c	52$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24.96	12	25%3 W · 9 L	-2.9wins	-0.24per pick	49cpaid	-48.5%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0xf18a…e4e5backed Pacers	26c	51.92$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.5	3,551	46.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L	+1.9wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	-6.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4f91…8065backed Pacers	48c	51.78$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24.96	40	47.5%19 W · 21 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-15.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe70c…c938backed Pacers	50c	50$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	745	47.2%352 W · 393 L	-13.2wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-6.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x417b…18d3backed Pacers	33c	50$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.5	22	40.9%9 W · 13 L	-2.0wins	-0.09per pick	50cpaid	-26.9%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4ba2…8f7cbacked Pacers	49c	45.65$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22.37	27	55.6%15 W · 12 L	+0.3wins	+0.01per pick	55cpaid	+1.6%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Spread: Pistons (-15.5)

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event