TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Pacers vs. Pistons: O/U 227.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$85,826
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$87,468

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $85,826 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 81 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xee61…debfbacked Over46c20,386$9,294 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,294.469,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc8b4…f05dbacked Under54c20,000$10,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,199.9966853.4%357 W · 311 L+22.5wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+7.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Over46c8,392$3,884 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,884.063,59150.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L+21.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xebc0…fa41backed Over46c6,559$3,017 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,016.9152460.1%315 W · 209 L+35.6wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+32.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x1867…92cabacked Under54c6,000$3,240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,76045348.1%218 W · 235 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick49cpaid+1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3eee…e8b6backed Under56c5,690$3,186 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,503.4534654%187 W · 159 L+13.4wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+7.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x913f…4b26backed Over46c5,528$2,543 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,542.88333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.15per pick48cpaid-32%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9792…3ee7backed Under54c5,522$2,982 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,540.12366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.15per pick52cpaid+27.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4fbf…e37bbacked Over46c5,464$2,513 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,513.44333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.15per pick48cpaid-32%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcd62…7c27backed Under54c5,424$2,929 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,495.043100%3 W · 0 L+1.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+95.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x9860…600cbacked Under54c4,970$2,684 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,286.2366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.15per pick52cpaid+27.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x054f…3814backed Over46c4,924$2,265 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,265.04366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.18per pick49cpaid+33.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7deb…2682backed Under53c3,748$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,747.645550.9%28 W · 27 L+2.5wins+0.05per pick46cpaid+17.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Over45c2,498$1,124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,124.312,15351.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L+76.7wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+6.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe948…ff23backed Under54c2,400$1,296 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,10417250%86 W · 86 L-3.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-2.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Under55c2,052$1,126 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$926.382,51249.1%1,234 W · 1,278 L+6.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa3d3…f2bcbacked Under54c2,000$1,080 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92040947.7%195 W · 214 L-13.0wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-6.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xed2c…9597backed Over45c2,000$900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90037944.3%168 W · 211 L-10.9wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-8.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6e82…752cbacked Under55c1,808$987 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$820.221,20455.3%666 W · 538 L+52.0wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+12.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Over45c1,730$787 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$787.052,73646.7%1,277 W · 1,459 L-67.4wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe20a…e469backed Over46c1,182$545 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$544.742,36148.1%1,136 W · 1,225 L-41.8wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-3.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3766…a0e4backed Over45c1,100$495 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$494.923759.5%22 W · 15 L+2.5wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+14.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x339a…1eaebacked Under52c1,048$545 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5031,75961.7%1,085 W · 674 L+127.5wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+12.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xc922…2618backed Under54c1,000$540 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46026755.8%149 W · 118 L+12.9wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+10.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5cce…5c2fbacked Over47c961.7$452 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45216254.3%88 W · 74 L+7.1wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+8.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xba26…23c9backed Over45c800$363 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$362.672,79650.3%1,405 W · 1,391 L+27.9wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0d42…f124backed Over46c585.61$267 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$266.8817233.7%58 W · 114 L-9.7wins-0.06per pick39cpaid-9.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over46c561.81$257 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$257.078,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8f3e…e4a3backed Under53c500$265 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23541052%213 W · 197 L-1.4wins0.00per pick52cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0a7c…8964backed Under56c413.88$232 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$182.1180653.6%432 W · 374 L+16.2wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd11c…43e8backed Over47c391.49$184 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$184633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.15per pick49cpaid-30.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xee20…5b37backed Over43c374$161 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$160.8250347.9%241 W · 262 L+5.6wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x53c0…3f90backed Under55c349.6$192 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$157.322445.8%11 W · 13 L-1.3wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-15.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under50c322.41$161 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$161.754,68249.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L+27.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd529…f0d4backed Over50c307.74$154 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$153.871,08563.6%690 W · 395 L+86.7wins+0.08per pick56cpaid+13%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xb8a0…35b6backed Under54c297.9$162 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$135.8915348.4%74 W · 79 L+2.5wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+1.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x46bd…37e8backed Under50c292.74$146 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$146.3716837.5%63 W · 105 L-20.6wins-0.12per pick50cpaid-25%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0xa42a…d91fbacked Over47c274.47$129 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12962347.5%296 W · 327 L-17.3wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-6.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb9fc…da76backed Under54c249.99$135 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11585147.5%404 W · 447 L-7.6wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb906…2a75backed Over46c217.39$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1005246.2%24 W · 28 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8046…a845backed Over46c200$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9211137.8%42 W · 69 L-14.2wins-0.13per pick51cpaid-28%equal weight38-0.10 edge/pick
0x4d54…4d13backed Over51c196.08$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001735.3%6 W · 11 L-1.6wins-0.09per pick45cpaid-14.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6dbc…18a0backed Under52c192.31$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.3115650.6%79 W · 77 L-0.2wins0.00per pick51cpaid+1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7f89…f3eabacked Under55c181.82$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.824454.5%24 W · 20 L+1.7wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+7.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd77d…b01cbacked Over46c163.04$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7526956.1%151 W · 118 L+8.8wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+5.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x58c8…0300backed Under55c149.5$82 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.561,69544.7%758 W · 937 L-30.4wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-11.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe026…0404backed Under56c134.03$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.9720456.4%115 W · 89 L+4.4wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+5.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7a64…6769backed Over46c107.68$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5017353.2%92 W · 81 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x47e5…9b73backed Under53c100$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4742551.3%218 W · 207 L-7.2wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd44d…389dbacked Under53c100$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4741354%223 W · 190 L+3.7wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb0fd…e1f5backed Under54c100$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4649351.7%255 W · 238 L-4.1wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3504…e042backed Over49c99.99$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$496844.1%30 W · 38 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1db3…ada1backed Over44c94.96$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.9868940.2%277 W · 412 L-54.9wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-17.9%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x6008…a80bbacked Under56c87.29$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.412,60250.6%1,316 W · 1,286 L-20.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Under72c84.83$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.742,20846.6%1,030 W · 1,178 L+42.7wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x437b…0ba4backed Over47c75$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.2516547.3%78 W · 87 L-8.8wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-13.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xca0c…9c40backed Over50c72.77$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.384040%16 W · 24 L-2.9wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-27.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x725f…cea7backed Under50c69.89$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.959642.7%41 W · 55 L-3.5wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-3.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9de1…f272backed Under56c60$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.447948.6%233 W · 246 L+14.4wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed Over46c55.7$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.461,42547.7%680 W · 745 L+13.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbdf2…740bbacked Under54c55.56$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.5618040.6%73 W · 107 L+0.6wins0.00per pick40cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf9f9…4375backed Under55c54.55$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.557057.1%40 W · 30 L+0.1wins0.00per pick57cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3a56…387cbacked Over30c53.96$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.3588845.7%406 W · 482 L-12.2wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-9.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x051b…09d4backed Over49c52.8$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2645651.1%233 W · 223 L+2.3wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-0.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xc228…f268backed Over51c51.27$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.059945.5%45 W · 54 L+2.1wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+11.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6e2c…787cbacked Over48c50$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2416549.7%82 W · 83 L-6.4wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-7.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed Under43c47.37$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$273,34243.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L+81.2wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-0.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Over48c44.06$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.154,87848%2,341 W · 2,537 L+61.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Over48c42.36$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.333,99548.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L+101.9wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-1.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf593…9553backed Over49c40.81$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201,26445.8%579 W · 685 L-10.4wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-2.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5b54…ea13backed Under56c40$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.637959.4%225 W · 154 L+3.4wins+0.01per pick58cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x49bb…4d4cbacked Under54c37.04$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.047248.6%35 W · 37 L0.0wins0.00per pick49cpaid-4.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Over47c36.32$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.012,90238.4%1,113 W · 1,789 L-51.9wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa4ba…c5d8backed Under54c34.17$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.8871245.8%326 W · 386 L+1.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid+1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0684…d593backed Under53c30$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.187950.6%445 W · 434 L-16.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-3.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb53c…c76ebacked Over51c29.33$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1548740.7%198 W · 289 L-13.0wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-11%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Over46c29$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.4739041%160 W · 230 L-32.8wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-17.8%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x78d9…70f6backed Under53c28.44$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.378537.6%32 W · 53 L-4.9wins-0.06per pick43cpaid-17.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x785f…e3d9backed Over48c26.19$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.571,02947.7%491 W · 538 L-13.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-4.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Under72c25.25$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.073,34153.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L+108.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+1.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3605…1ae1backed Under52c21.69$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.4123043%99 W · 131 L+4.8wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-2.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.