TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Pacers vs. Pistons: O/U 225.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$360,617
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$362,209

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $360,617 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 125 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x8f03…64d6backed Over51c117,780$60,009 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60,008.791,04651.1%534 W · 512 L-0.7wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdc87…7ab6backed Under50c111,646$55,324 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56,321.292,66648%1,279 W · 1,387 L-8.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7b47…d615backed Over51c52,251$26,415 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26,414.7957950.1%290 W · 289 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Under48c38,291$18,563 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19,728.419,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1d1a…0df6backed Over51c20,000$10,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,20020744.9%93 W · 114 L-8.4wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-8.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6e82…752cbacked Over54c17,561$9,455 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,455.091,20455.3%666 W · 538 L+52.0wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+12.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Under48c15,201$7,296 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,905.243,59150.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L+21.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Under46c12,707$5,892 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,814.765,05350.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L+110.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Under48c10,360$4,973 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,387.042,15351.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L+76.7wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+6.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Over52c7,477$3,888 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,888.041,90854.5%1,040 W · 868 L+53.7wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Under49c5,675$2,781 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,894.552,51249.1%1,234 W · 1,278 L+6.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Over50c4,487$2,247 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,246.72,09147.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L-56.6wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2e00…eb46backed Under50c4,381$2,190 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,190.4336351.2%186 W · 177 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6551…e043backed Under49c4,350$2,131 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,218.494548.9%22 W · 23 L+2.1wins+0.05per pick44cpaid+27%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x264c…8250backed Under45c4,238$1,907 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,330.94261.9%26 W · 16 L+4.2wins+0.10per pick52cpaid+32.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xc617…a854backed Under50c4,185$2,093 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,092.5542648.1%205 W · 221 L-5.1wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x253d…aa62backed Under45c4,144$1,865 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,279.258347%274 W · 309 L-12.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6e12…20e9backed Under52c4,058$2,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,957.8229347.4%139 W · 154 L-5.4wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbc37…2f65backed Under50c4,000$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,00041649.8%207 W · 209 L+1.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xea32…8870backed Over55c4,000$2,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,199.994744.7%21 W · 26 L-1.8wins-0.04per pick48cpaid+6.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd3fa…a26cbacked Under51c3,890$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,890.2724549%120 W · 125 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Over51c2,873$1,465 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,465.114,87848%2,341 W · 2,537 L+61.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3a91…1769backed Under50c2,165$1,082 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,082.3632150.8%163 W · 158 L+5.3wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed Under49c2,099$1,035 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,063.851,91054.3%1,038 W · 872 L+25.2wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbe5f…d795backed Over49c2,000$980 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98027051.5%139 W · 131 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf20f…3b33backed Over57c1,757$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00018343.7%80 W · 103 L-11.0wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-12%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc8b4…f05dbacked Under49c1,509$739 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$769.3666853.4%357 W · 311 L+22.5wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+7.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Under48c1,367$654 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$712.72,73646.7%1,277 W · 1,459 L-67.4wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb552…94a8backed Over50c1,297$654 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$654.32,07853.6%1,113 W · 965 L+44.6wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Under49c1,261$612 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$648.582,75350.7%1,396 W · 1,357 L+47.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Under50c1,155$582 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$572.752,04548.4%990 W · 1,055 L-30.3wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xba26…23c9backed Over50c1,103$551 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$551.432,79650.3%1,405 W · 1,391 L+27.9wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa965…3565backed Under43c1,078$462 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$616.011,91145.4%868 W · 1,043 L+22.1wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x47a6…69e0backed Under50c1,020$510 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51038750.4%195 W · 192 L+3.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc922…2618backed Over55c1,014$558 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$557.6926755.8%149 W · 118 L+12.9wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+10.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe44c…32a5backed Under45c982$442 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$540.14353.5%23 W · 20 L+2.2wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+12.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over47c959.97$450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$449.918,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0d42…f124backed Over47c908$428 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$428.0117233.7%58 W · 114 L-9.7wins-0.06per pick39cpaid-9.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x10b0…8525backed Over54c650$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$349.584150.3%423 W · 418 L+0.8wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Over50c614.47$309 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$308.93,99548.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L+101.9wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-1.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under45c597.77$268 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$330.264,68249.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L+27.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2496…50a5backed Over19c593.9$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1105547.3%26 W · 29 L-1.5wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-14.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x019d…2b01backed Under45c583$262 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$320.6529037.9%110 W · 180 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-4.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x3dc1…e318backed Under50c549.56$272 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$277.553043.8%232 W · 298 L-25.4wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-12%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over47c436.84$204 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203.82,63036.7%966 W · 1,664 L-119.1wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-25.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x426f…e76bbacked Under47c420$197 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$222.617644.9%79 W · 97 L+0.1wins0.00per pick45cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd947…9b61backed Under50c400$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20028751.9%149 W · 138 L+6.1wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+6.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd55c…d703backed Under64c390.2$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$140.210840.7%44 W · 64 L-3.4wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-13.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x64db…325bbacked Under52c386.11$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$186.111,25948.7%613 W · 646 L+1.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0a7c…8964backed Over53c386$204 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$204.4380653.6%432 W · 374 L+16.2wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x44f0…432cbacked Under45c382.8$172 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$210.5440146.9%188 W · 213 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc4c9…617dbacked Under50c367.31$184 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$183.6511351.3%58 W · 55 L+2.5wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+4.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Under52c359.97$187 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$173.413,66841.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L-70.7wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-15.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Under60c335.12$202 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$132.711,20051.6%619 W · 581 L+66.5wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+4.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6036…d2ccbacked Under48c312.99$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$162.7640648%195 W · 211 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd1a8…1b66backed Under48c310.94$149 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$161.6918954.5%103 W · 86 L+3.8wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+4.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb871…9f15backed Over52c300$156 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15659144.5%263 W · 328 L-4.0wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-1.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe20a…e469backed Under48c296$141 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$155.142,36148.1%1,136 W · 1,225 L-41.8wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-3.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf87b…180abacked Over51c277.33$141 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$141.4416539.4%65 W · 100 L-11.6wins-0.07per pick46cpaid-15%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x1683…6906backed Under45c260$117 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$142.930146.2%139 W · 162 L-0.5wins0.00per pick46cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x84f7…ade1backed Over50c222$111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1111,71544.5%764 W · 951 L-0.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid+3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbfd6…ab3dbacked Under45c217.77$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$119.7780744.1%356 W · 451 L+6.2wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6dbc…18a0backed Under46c217.39$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.3915650.6%79 W · 77 L-0.2wins0.00per pick51cpaid+1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc1f7…c4e5backed Under52c215$112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.215656.4%88 W · 68 L+3.0wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+5.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf4a5…398fbacked Under51c200$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$982373.9%17 W · 6 L+4.0wins+0.18per pick56cpaid+30.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x8046…a845backed Under47c200$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105.3311137.8%42 W · 69 L-14.2wins-0.13per pick51cpaid-28%equal weight38-0.10 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Under46c196$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105.841,17050.3%588 W · 582 L+46.8wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+0.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7140…47e3backed Under46c183$84 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.8212650%63 W · 63 L+2.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x1c8c…237dbacked Under61c178$109 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.28156.8%46 W · 35 L+9.0wins+0.11per pick46cpaid+19.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Under46c175.39$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95.52,90238.4%1,113 W · 1,789 L-51.9wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xca6d…492bbacked Under48c160$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.69053.3%48 W · 42 L+4.1wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+5.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Under62c158$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.042,20846.6%1,030 W · 1,178 L+42.7wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x70a6…d7bebacked Over49c155$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.9510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3a56…387cbacked Over43c154$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.7488845.7%406 W · 482 L-12.2wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-9.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3a8e…b505backed Over48c153.01$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.2627144.3%120 W · 151 L-9.0wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-15.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9c76…c926backed Under47c150$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.52,65749.6%1,319 W · 1,338 L+42.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xca0c…9c40backed Over53c144.14$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.114040%16 W · 24 L-2.9wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-27.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x725f…cea7backed Under45c142.13$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.879642.7%41 W · 55 L-3.5wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-3.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0fa7…2e1abacked Over55c133.95$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.672045%9 W · 11 L-1.5wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-18.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf593…9553backed Under48c122.77$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.641,26445.8%579 W · 685 L-10.4wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-2.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc5b5…7e80backed Under60c121.88$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.751,05549.9%526 W · 529 L+29.7wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x785f…e3d9backed Over50c119.31$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.651,02947.7%491 W · 538 L-13.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-4.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd04d…bfc2backed Under50c100$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$502,43549.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L+30.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8277…d709backed Over50c100$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501855.6%10 W · 8 L+1.3wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+10.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcf67…fc18backed Over51c100$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.4wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+7.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6008…a80bbacked Under50c95.04$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.522,60250.6%1,316 W · 1,286 L-20.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc27f…12a9backed Under48c91.99$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.846753.7%36 W · 31 L+2.2wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+2.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xcf31…6854backed Over55c90.91$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.19per pick53cpaid-46.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed Under48c90.39$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.371,42547.7%680 W · 745 L+13.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x437b…0ba4backed Over52c75$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3916547.3%78 W · 87 L-8.8wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-13.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x1db3…ada1backed Over50c70.97$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.7968940.2%277 W · 412 L-54.9wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-17.9%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xc091…3d42backed Over51c69$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.1954351.6%280 W · 263 L-3.8wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5e78…70c7backed Over50c59.79$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.1432952.9%174 W · 155 L+9.7wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+5.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa4ba…c5d8backed Under48c59$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.4671245.8%326 W · 386 L+1.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid+1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x051b…09d4backed Under49c56.15$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.945651.1%233 W · 223 L+2.3wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-0.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x70b1…73b2backed Under45c54.46$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.9517949.2%88 W · 91 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick50cpaid+0.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4863…805bbacked Under49c51.02$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.022466.7%16 W · 8 L+2.0wins+0.08per pick58cpaid+11.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf18a…e4e5backed Over51c50.98$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$263,55146.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L+1.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid-6.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x34fa…f491backed Under46c50$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2795548.5%463 W · 492 L-3.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xce65…6759backed Over52c50$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2613441%55 W · 79 L-16.1wins-0.12per pick53cpaid-30%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.