NBA · resolved market
Spread: Pistons (-13.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x88b437f3a96e9200167cb83c8d9846bad8f2d767aa591876a8f90e60ede683a6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Pistonsof Pistons, Pacers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $248,779
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $249,761
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $248,779 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 139 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x84db…aeebbacked Pistons | 52c | 120,425$62,070 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58,355.5 | 1,374 | 50.1%689 W · 685 L | +34.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb27…c56ebacked Pacers | 48c | 100,000$48,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48,000 | 871 | 44.7%389 W · 482 L | +14.9wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed Pistons | 59c | 25,607$15,035 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,571.87 | 1,045 | 49%512 W · 533 L | +21.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Pacers | 46c | 22,222$10,292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,292.11 | 3,591 | 50.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L | +21.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Pacers | 51c | 11,735$5,984 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,984.07 | 2,512 | 49.1%1,234 W · 1,278 L | +6.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf668…5c69backed Pistons | 47c | 10,997$5,222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,774.83 | 363 | 59.8%217 W · 146 L | +23.7wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4408…1b6abacked Pacers | 40c | 10,000$4,036 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,035.98 | 76 | 53.9%41 W · 35 L | +6.4wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbf51…4a30backed Pacers | 56c | 9,849$5,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,500 | 767 | 46.4%356 W · 411 L | -16.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Pacers | 42c | 7,500$3,150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,150 | 2,153 | 51.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L | +76.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Pistons | 56c | 6,174$3,456 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,718.45 | 2,666 | 48%1,279 W · 1,387 L | -8.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Pistons | 58c | 6,115$3,545 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,570.69 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Pistons | 52c | 5,216$2,708 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,507.68 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x80ab…220abacked Pistons | 45c | 5,200$2,340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,859.99 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.31per pick | 44cpaid | +55.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x41b7…f6babacked Pistons | 56c | 5,000$2,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,199.98 | 801 | 46.4%372 W · 429 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1147…da78backed Pistons | 54c | 4,100$2,214 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,885.98 | 55 | 58.2%32 W · 23 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ef…8cd6backed Pacers | 43c | 3,000$1,290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,289.99 | 433 | 48.5%210 W · 223 L | +11.0wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Pistons | 54c | 2,999$1,619 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,379.54 | 2,078 | 53.6%1,113 W · 965 L | +44.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7298…fe8dbacked Pacers | 44c | 2,927$1,288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,288 | 657 | 50.1%329 W · 328 L | +10.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb96e…33e3backed Pacers | 55c | 2,727$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcd72…edf2backed Pacers | 54c | 2,563$1,384 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,384.02 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -2.0wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x34ca…acdabacked Pistons | 46c | 2,558$1,177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,381.32 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +34.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f3b…c2cbbacked Pistons | 46c | 2,535$1,166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,368.9 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +101.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee9d…18e3backed Pacers | 54c | 2,535$1,369 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,368.9 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe089…c069backed Pacers | 54c | 2,534$1,368 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,368.36 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.26per pick | 51cpaid | -51.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7942…14f7backed Pistons | 46c | 2,534$1,166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,368.36 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +34.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x42a5…db94backed Pacers | 54c | 2,533$1,368 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,367.82 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe313…cb82backed Pistons | 46c | 2,533$1,165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,367.82 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +34.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d84…5ab0backed Pacers | 55c | 2,498$1,374 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,374.12 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x17fe…7bf3backed Pistons | 46c | 2,375$1,093 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,282.5 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.19per pick | 48cpaid | +40.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x930e…4f36backed Pacers | 54c | 2,356$1,272 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,272.24 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a00…9e8bbacked Pacers | 54c | 2,352$1,270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,270.08 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.27per pick | 52cpaid | -51%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd44f…18dfbacked Pistons | 46c | 2,352$1,082 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,270.08 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.19per pick | 48cpaid | +40.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf5e8…7525backed Pacers | 54c | 2,339$1,263 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,263.06 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x975d…c824backed Pistons | 46c | 2,329$1,071 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,257.66 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb8cf…4939backed Pacers | 54c | 2,322$1,254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,253.88 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3404…9a3ebacked Pistons | 46c | 2,313$1,064 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,249.02 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf2c2…4de7backed Pacers | 44c | 2,200$968 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$968 | 491 | 42.6%209 W · 282 L | +12.1wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Pacers | 47c | 2,112$1,002 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,001.92 | 2,796 | 50.3%1,405 W · 1,391 L | +27.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadcb…d686backed Pistons | 45c | 2,063$928 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,134.65 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.28per pick | 48cpaid | +56.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6fcf…5497backed Pistons | 45c | 2,048$922 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,126.4 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3d52…1df7backed Pacers | 55c | 2,044$1,124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,124.2 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.20per pick | 53cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd23b…af3bbacked Pacers | 55c | 2,034$1,119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,118.7 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff39…d4e0backed Pacers | 55c | 2,022$1,112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,112.1 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x516a…fbabbacked Pistons | 45c | 1,989$895 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,093.95 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +23.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd56d…bd7dbacked Pistons | 58c | 1,800$1,044 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$756 | 86 | 47.7%41 W · 45 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa965…3565backed Pacers | 48c | 1,500$725 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$724.99 | 1,911 | 45.4%868 W · 1,043 L | +22.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x15ef…0becbacked Pistons | 45c | 1,385$623 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$761.75 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa788…9d0ebacked Pistons | 45c | 1,367$615 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$751.85 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +25.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb56…cbabbacked Pacers | 55c | 1,356$746 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$745.8 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7590…eefebacked Pacers | 55c | 1,354$745 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$744.7 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.30per pick | 50cpaid | -60%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb687…54ebbacked Pacers | 55c | 1,347$741 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$740.85 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.31per pick | 51cpaid | -60%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x54dd…e5c0backed Pistons | 45c | 1,345$605 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$739.75 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.6wins | +0.31per pick | 49cpaid | +65.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6e08…616fbacked Pacers | 55c | 1,324$728 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$728.2 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.31per pick | 51cpaid | -60%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1a10…8b30backed Pistons | 57c | 1,300$741 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$559 | 502 | 39%196 W · 306 L | -8.9wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaef7…46c1backed Pistons | 45c | 1,284$578 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$706.2 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.6wins | +0.32per pick | 48cpaid | +67.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0d42…f124backed Pacers | 51c | 1,168$601 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600.96 | 172 | 33.7%58 W · 114 L | -9.7wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x27ae…bf54backed Pistons | 57c | 1,108$631 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$476.36 | 160 | 53.1%85 W · 75 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea30…20b2backed Pacers | 55c | 1,053$579 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$579.15 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.27per pick | 52cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5bc4…f44fbacked Pacers | 44c | 1,000$440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$440 | 456 | 47.1%215 W · 241 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4368…130abacked Pistons | 45c | 991$446 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$545.05 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.20per pick | 47cpaid | +42.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf09f…8049backed Pacers | 44c | 800$352 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$352 | 666 | 45.9%306 W · 360 L | -11.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Pistons | 54c | 664$359 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$305.44 | 1,908 | 54.5%1,040 W · 868 L | +53.7wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Pacers | 51c | 595$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300.48 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1db3…ada1backed Pacers | 47c | 525.5$244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$244.5 | 689 | 40.2%277 W · 412 L | -54.9wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0341…a679backed Pacers | 42c | 476.19$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 130 | 41.5%54 W · 76 L | -8.8wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd8b6…c7dbbacked Pacers | 43c | 467.99$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.26 | 40 | 47.5%19 W · 21 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa408…d831backed Pacers | 44c | 454.55$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 146 | 47.9%70 W · 76 L | +6.8wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x50b0…b1efbacked Pistons | 45c | 444.44$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.44 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | -2.1wins | -0.16per pick | 31cpaid | -69.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Pacers | 44c | 433.91$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.92 | 1,475 | 51.3%756 W · 719 L | +35.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x68e4…00bdbacked Pistons | 57c | 350.88$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.88 | 49 | 42.9%21 W · 28 L | -3.7wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0c94…a43bbacked Pistons | 46c | 294.03$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.78 | 511 | 46.6%238 W · 273 L | -13.7wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b20…99e9backed Pacers | 44c | 250$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 660 | 46.8%309 W · 351 L | -16.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc036…fba6backed Pacers | 46c | 240.67$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.71 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +1.1wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1649…7d8abacked Pacers | 44c | 227.27$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 45 | 33.3%15 W · 30 L | -4.3wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8791…4c9abacked Pacers | 45c | 222.22$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 180 | 31.7%57 W · 123 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe025…102fbacked Pistons | 45c | 222.22$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.22 | 156 | 49.4%77 W · 79 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa61f…7993backed Pistons | 46c | 200$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109 | 617 | 47.8%295 W · 322 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8046…a845backed Pacers | 47c | 200$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94 | 111 | 37.8%42 W · 69 L | -14.2wins | -0.13per pick | 51cpaid | -28%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd6…ab3dbacked Pacers | 46c | 199.99$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91 | 807 | 44.1%356 W · 451 L | +6.2wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ffb…df76backed Pistons | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.68 | 470 | 48.5%228 W · 242 L | -18.6wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3a56…387cbacked Pacers | 47c | 163.16$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.22 | 888 | 45.7%406 W · 482 L | -12.2wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef2e…8d89backed Pacers | 43c | 162.79$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 334 | 42.8%143 W · 191 L | -17.9wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -13%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9f3e…380cbacked Pacers | 44c | 159.09$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.13per pick | 45cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe6e4…22ccbacked Pacers | 44c | 150$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 377 | 50.4%190 W · 187 L | +12.6wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x725f…cea7backed Pacers | 51c | 144.77$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.11 | 96 | 42.7%41 W · 55 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x83a3…6292backed Pacers | 56c | 142.86$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 818 | 45.7%374 W · 444 L | +9.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Pistons | 58c | 137$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.39 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x07bc…393abacked Pistons | 59c | 128.03$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.49 | 95 | 57.9%55 W · 40 L | +7.7wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +21.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0b38…ba47backed Pacers | 44c | 113.64$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -1.0wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d85…2560backed Pacers | 46c | 113.41$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.17 | 244 | 54.1%132 W · 112 L | +9.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1b44…5685backed Pacers | 56c | 107.14$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 58 | 36.2%21 W · 37 L | -3.4wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfb95…a5ccbacked Pacers | 43c | 100$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43 | 244 | 42.6%104 W · 140 L | -17.8wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf82f…59bfbacked Pistons | 57c | 100$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x187b…8848backed Pacers | 56c | 100$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 722 | 50.6%365 W · 357 L | -17.6wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Pistons | 43c | 100$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57 | 2,361 | 48.1%1,136 W · 1,225 L | -41.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca6d…492bbacked Pacers | 53c | 100$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53 | 90 | 53.3%48 W · 42 L | +4.1wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x236a…1a3ebacked Pacers | 50c | 92.62$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.31 | 83 | 41%34 W · 49 L | -5.3wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe768…b331backed Pistons | 57c | 87.72$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.72 | 398 | 64.3%256 W · 142 L | +33.7wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Pistons | 46c | 86.75$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.85 | 3,120 | 44.7%1,394 W · 1,726 L | -7.6wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed Pacers | 50c | 85.24$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.76 | 1,695 | 44.7%758 W · 937 L | -30.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Pistons (-13.5)this page
- 1H Spread: Pistons (-7.5)Pistons won
- 1H Spread: Pistons (-9.5)Pistons won
- Pacers vs. PistonsPistons won
- Pacers vs. Pistons: O/U 224.5Under won
- Pacers vs. Pistons: O/U 225.5Under won
- Pacers vs. Pistons: O/U 226.5Under won
- Pacers vs. Pistons: O/U 227.5Under won
- Spread: Pistons (-12.5)Pistons won
- Spread: Pistons (-15.5)Pistons won
- Spread: Pistons (-16.5)Pistons won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.