TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Spread: Pistons (-12.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Pistonsof Pistons, Pacers
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$178,913
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$182,627

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $178,913 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 99 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xf668…5c69backed Pistons53c36,847$19,376 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17,470.5236359.8%217 W · 146 L+23.7wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+14.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xdc87…7ab6backed Pistons52c24,541$12,850 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,691.272,66648%1,279 W · 1,387 L-8.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Pacers48c16,777$8,030 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,030.283,59150.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L+21.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Pistons55c13,073$7,158 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,914.939,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Pacers39c12,500$4,875 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,8752,15351.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L+76.7wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+6.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe90b…5da2backed Pistons61c12,144$7,408 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,736.31,04549%512 W · 533 L+21.8wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-7.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc3ea…bb01backed Pacers52c12,000$6,240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,2405648.2%27 W · 29 L+0.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid+6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9315…a744backed Pistons49c12,000$5,880 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,1206767.2%45 W · 22 L+10.7wins+0.16per pick51cpaid+31.4%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0xe427…a00abacked Pacers51c12,000$6,120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,1201050%5 W · 5 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+5.4%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xfce1…9ce7backed Pacers50c10,000$5,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,00035450.8%180 W · 174 L+12.3wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb552…94a8backed Pistons55c9,769$5,404 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,364.952,07853.6%1,113 W · 965 L+44.6wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x84db…aeebbacked Pistons51c9,421$4,768 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,652.461,37450.1%689 W · 685 L+34.9wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+7.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa392…1415backed Pistons64c8,432$5,379 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,052.6614245.1%64 W · 78 L-5.0wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-14.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Pistons54c7,523$4,044 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,478.992,09147.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L-56.6wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf20f…3b33backed Pacers44c6,755$3,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,00018343.7%80 W · 103 L-11.0wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-12%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x7973…34d4backed Pacers47c5,702$2,680 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,6805437%20 W · 34 L-6.4wins-0.12per pick49cpaid-24.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x1624…bf63backed Pacers36c4,822$1,736 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,735.9283039.4%327 W · 503 L+6.3wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-20.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2e00…eb46backed Pacers47c4,380$2,059 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,058.6836351.2%186 W · 177 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7b47…d615backed Pacers44c4,000$1,760 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,76057950.1%290 W · 289 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9860…600cbacked Pacers51c3,040$1,550 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,550.4366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.15per pick52cpaid+27.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Pacers41c2,873$1,184 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,183.958,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9792…3ee7backed Pacers51c2,720$1,387 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,387.2366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.15per pick52cpaid+27.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Pacers45c2,417$1,083 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,083.172,63036.7%966 W · 1,664 L-119.1wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-25.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xba26…23c9backed Pacers47c2,014$937 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$937.182,79650.3%1,405 W · 1,391 L+27.9wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Pacers36c2,000$720 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7202,16940.8%885 W · 1,284 L-8.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid-14.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1052…53dabacked Pacers44c1,920$845 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$844.810235.3%36 W · 66 L-9.7wins-0.10per pick45cpaid-28.7%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x8717…32c2backed Pistons54c1,889$1,020 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$868.9841553.3%221 W · 194 L+0.2wins0.00per pick53cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Pacers47c1,804$847 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$847.422,51249.1%1,234 W · 1,278 L+6.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcd62…7c27backed Pistons49c1,560$764 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$795.63100%3 W · 0 L+1.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+95.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa965…3565backed Pacers45c1,500$680 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6801,91145.4%868 W · 1,043 L+22.1wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x913f…4b26backed Pistons49c1,480$725 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$754.8333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.15per pick48cpaid-32%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4fbf…e37bbacked Pistons49c1,400$686 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$714333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.15per pick48cpaid-32%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x054f…3814backed Pistons49c1,320$647 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$673.2366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.18per pick49cpaid+33.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xecfc…cd05backed Pistons57c1,240$704 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$535.651,16352.8%614 W · 549 L+22.4wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xefa5…3d34backed Pacers42c1,188$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5007537.3%28 W · 47 L+2.4wins+0.03per pick34cpaid-5.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Pacers47c1,117$525 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$524.992,75350.7%1,396 W · 1,357 L+47.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Pistons59c1,055$622 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$433.236,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5cce…5c2fbacked Pacers47c1,025$482 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$481.716254.3%88 W · 74 L+7.1wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+8.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Pistons60c1,015$609 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4061,90854.5%1,040 W · 868 L+53.7wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x46f4…5bc0backed Pistons53c1,000$530 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4705658.9%33 W · 23 L+5.5wins+0.10per pick49cpaid+20.4%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x2eed…85a9backed Pacers46c998.06$460 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46031455.1%173 W · 141 L+10.3wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+6.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x10b0…8525backed Pistons55c900$495 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40584150.3%423 W · 418 L+0.8wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0d42…f124backed Pacers46c754.23$345 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$345.3117233.7%58 W · 114 L-9.7wins-0.06per pick39cpaid-9.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x6238…0523backed Pistons49c499.95$245 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$254.9715849.4%78 W · 80 L-4.3wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-7.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xbfd6…ab3dbacked Pacers46c495.4$227 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$226.9380744.1%356 W · 451 L+6.2wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Pacers45c406$182 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$181.994,68249.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L+27.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4cb9…3783backed Pacers40c400$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16064139%250 W · 391 L+2.6wins0.00per pick39cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed Pacers36c399.64$144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$143.873,34243.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L+81.2wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-0.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x27ae…bf54backed Pistons60c339.22$204 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$135.6916053.1%85 W · 75 L+3.8wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+4.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1db3…ada1backed Pacers44c335.99$149 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$148.5568940.2%277 W · 412 L-54.9wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-17.9%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x83c7…4078backed Pacers37c308.04$116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$115.51837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-20%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf87b…180abacked Pacers46c300$138 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13816539.4%65 W · 100 L-11.6wins-0.07per pick46cpaid-15%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x4865…904dbacked Pistons60c256.05$154 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.4224363.8%155 W · 88 L-6.0wins-0.02per pick66cpaid-3.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x682f…3265backed Pistons50c250$125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1251,38954.9%762 W · 627 L+16.7wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6a32…0086backed Pistons58c238.27$138 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.071,33251.2%682 W · 650 L+7.9wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe20a…e469backed Pistons58c238.27$138 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.072,36148.1%1,136 W · 1,225 L-41.8wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-3.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x586d…c5dcbacked Pacers46c209.46$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.357248.6%35 W · 37 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x34fa…f491backed Pacers46c200$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9295548.5%463 W · 492 L-3.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8046…a845backed Pacers42c199.99$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8411137.8%42 W · 69 L-14.2wins-0.13per pick51cpaid-28%equal weight38-0.10 edge/pick
0xe42d…62febacked Pacers51c195.16$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.5321352.1%111 W · 102 L-6.7wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-5.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8fdd…23d8backed Pistons50c164.64$82 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.3210454.8%57 W · 47 L+4.0wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+10.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xce3e…2f24backed Pistons61c163.93$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.9325056.8%142 W · 108 L+2.3wins+0.01per pick56cpaid-0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe463…f7b2backed Pacers45c140$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$637341.1%30 W · 43 L-3.7wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-11.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2a31…152cbacked Pacers51c132.59$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.6248451.2%248 W · 236 L+4.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Pacers46c124.03$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.052,20846.6%1,030 W · 1,178 L+42.7wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3854…586abacked Pistons60c114.04$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.731758.8%10 W · 7 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x39c6…0ac1backed Pacers47c112.77$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5354246.7%253 W · 289 L-7.2wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-6.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xda21…8646backed Pacers40c100.8$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.3262541.9%262 W · 363 L-32.7wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-11%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x3a56…387cbacked Pacers41c100.69$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.7288845.7%406 W · 482 L-12.2wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-9.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdc0f…bbfebacked Pistons61c100$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3911650.9%59 W · 57 L-7.7wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-14.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x09d2…cc27backed Pacers37c100$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3721642.1%91 W · 125 L-0.3wins0.00per pick42cpaid-10.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2d3b…08c6backed Pacers52c96.15$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.8wins-0.25per pick54cpaid-49.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x20ec…fa43backed Pistons56c89.29$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.2961056.1%342 W · 268 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick57cpaid-1.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcd3d…e7ebbacked Pistons60c83.33$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.3316546.1%76 W · 89 L-6.6wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-9.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6008…a80bbacked Pistons60c77.23$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.892,60250.6%1,316 W · 1,286 L-20.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5e78…70c7backed Pistons55c75.58$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.6632952.9%174 W · 155 L+9.7wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+5.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Pistons56c74.91$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.843,12044.7%1,394 W · 1,726 L-7.6wins0.00per pick45cpaid-3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa3d4…6297backed Pacers38c74$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.310034%34 W · 66 L-12.0wins-0.12per pick46cpaid-35.9%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x725f…cea7backed Pacers46c72.15$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.199642.7%41 W · 55 L-3.5wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-3.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd730…1948backed Pacers40c69.92$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.9717155.6%95 W · 76 L+4.9wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+2.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7b94…315bbacked Pistons60c66.67$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.672176.2%16 W · 5 L+3.8wins+0.18per pick58cpaid+29.9%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x3c04…2e2dbacked Pacers52c65.38$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3450648%243 W · 263 L-0.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb390…642bbacked Pacers51c60.78$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$311,66150.3%836 W · 825 L-14.9wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Pacers43c58.66$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.423,66841.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L-70.7wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-15.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf593…9553backed Pistons48c53.58$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.861,26445.8%579 W · 685 L-10.4wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-2.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe88b…fa5abacked Pacers46c50$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2343246.1%199 W · 233 L-4.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-1.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9202…8ef9backed Pacers51c48.04$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.513646.3%63 W · 73 L-10.1wins-0.07per pick54cpaid-14.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xa4bd…e8a2backed Pacers29c43.88$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.871,78653.2%950 W · 836 L+52.7wins+0.03per pick50cpaid-0.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Pacers42c42$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.6439041%160 W · 230 L-32.8wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-17.8%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x7ed6…bbabbacked Pistons62c40.32$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.3232853%174 W · 154 L-2.6wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa2dc…e7d3backed Pistons77c40$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.21050%5 W · 5 L-1.1wins-0.11per pick61cpaid-31.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x05d3…c06abacked Pistons50c40$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$201,57353.4%840 W · 733 L-12.8wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6c0f…84b9backed Pistons50c40$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$206464.1%41 W · 23 L+5.1wins+0.08per pick56cpaid+13.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x1e51…9531backed Pistons50c30$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1536751.5%189 W · 178 L-1.1wins0.00per pick52cpaid+3.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1683…6906backed Pacers47c30$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1430146.2%139 W · 162 L-0.5wins0.00per pick46cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x074e…317fbacked Pacers52c28.85$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1516553.9%89 W · 76 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x973e…22ebbacked Pacers53c26.42$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1459948.4%290 W · 309 L-8.2wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe0e9…5112backed Pistons61c25$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.7521749.3%107 W · 110 L-4.6wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x57d5…0bbdbacked Pistons66c18.98$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.4459141.8%247 W · 344 L-26.2wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-17.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.