Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Duke Blue Devils vs. Stanford Cardinal: O/U 146.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9233fd38c7c26ae98333eb5c9ee661154f213e466ff8700376717d451357298e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $601,219
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $601,271
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $601,219 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 55 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4924…3782backed Under | 51c | 571,129$293,360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$277,768.54 | 359 | 45.1%162 W · 197 L | -24.4wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed Over | 48c | 250,783$120,376 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120,376.04 | 691 | 42.8%296 W · 395 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…33eebacked Over | 48c | 200,000$96,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96,000 | 217 | 54.8%119 W · 98 L | +15.3wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb45a…192cbacked Over | 52c | 69,000$35,880 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35,880 | 896 | 45.9%411 W · 485 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 52c | 15,294$7,978 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,977.7 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Over | 48c | 13,000$6,240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,240 | 906 | 45.4%411 W · 495 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x76c3…baaebacked Over | 53c | 5,341$2,831 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,830.97 | 20 | 70%14 W · 6 L | +3.6wins | +0.18per pick | 52cpaid | +33.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x30a4…8441backed Over | 48c | 3,990$1,915 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,915 | 422 | 46.2%195 W · 227 L | -9.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ef…8cd6backed Over | 53c | 3,000$1,590 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,590 | 170 | 50.6%86 W · 84 L | +4.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9870…b9d3backed Over | 52c | 2,893$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 212 | 48.1%102 W · 110 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e5b…5950backed Over | 50c | 2,300$1,150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,149.92 | 57 | 59.6%34 W · 23 L | +5.2wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Under | 47c | 2,152$1,002 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,149.35 | 4,848 | 52.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L | +139.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd89e…35fabacked Over | 53c | 2,000$1,060 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,059.84 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -2.8wins | -0.20per pick | 48cpaid | -45.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8738…222bbacked Over | 53c | 1,896$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 255 | 56.1%143 W · 112 L | +12.4wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x24d3…30abbacked Over | 51c | 1,093$556 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$556.33 | 169 | 54.4%92 W · 77 L | +8.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe7c9…0b8fbacked Over | 54c | 690$373 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$372.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb9fc…da76backed Under | 47c | 567.99$267 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$301.04 | 401 | 47.6%191 W · 210 L | +7.6wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Over | 53c | 489.5$262 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$261.88 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe9f5…3e7abacked Under | 51c | 484.43$247 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$237.37 | 327 | 51.7%169 W · 158 L | +12.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1db3…ada1backed Under | 47c | 462$218 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.2 | 350 | 50.3%176 W · 174 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4d48…48e0backed Over | 49c | 451.06$221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$221.02 | 180 | 46.7%84 W · 96 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d0f…f3e6backed Over | 56c | 447.25$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 119 | 46.2%55 W · 64 L | -3.9wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4fb0…3182backed Over | 48c | 400$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192 | 413 | 54%223 W · 190 L | +13.3wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd51b…9606backed Over | 51c | 400$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204 | 138 | 51.4%71 W · 67 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x49a9…ea7ebacked Over | 49c | 202.04$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -2.6wins | -0.13per pick | 48cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf13b…9ef9backed Over | 51c | 188.24$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 196 | 57.1%112 W · 84 L | +14.9wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1b46…944cbacked Over | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 186 | 56.5%105 W · 81 L | +12.2wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe7ea…066ebacked Over | 52c | 100$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 79 | 57%45 W · 34 L | +5.6wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc9f2…d776backed Over | 54c | 100$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9a9a…989abacked Over | 53c | 94.34$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 35 | 42.9%15 W · 20 L | -2.8wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x79df…277ebacked Over | 56c | 89.29$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 61 | 54.1%33 W · 28 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa60d…2204backed Over | 54c | 83.33$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | -4.3wins | -0.19per pick | 54cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xbc82…6421backed Over | 54c | 80$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.2 | 111 | 47.7%53 W · 58 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe85d…95d8backed Over | 53c | 75.47$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 47 | 55.3%26 W · 21 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd730…1948backed Over | 51c | 73.55$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.51 | 196 | 53.1%104 W · 92 L | +6.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9aea…5590backed Over | 49c | 73.37$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.95 | 158 | 44.3%70 W · 88 L | -6.5wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4d85…2560backed Over | 49c | 69.61$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.11 | 186 | 46.2%86 W · 100 L | -5.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa26f…4b98backed Under | 50c | 60$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | +2.0wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaeba…d2d8backed Over | 51c | 56.39$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.76 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.24per pick | 57cpaid | -44.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2905…18a9backed Under | 50c | 54.04$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.02 | 49 | 55.1%27 W · 22 L | +2.3wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x08b6…7db6backed Over | 51c | 50.59$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.8 | 122 | 45.9%56 W · 66 L | -6.3wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc54f…dce8backed Under | 51c | 50$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.5 | 643 | 22.9%147 W · 496 L | -17.1wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2816…6ad7backed Over | 49c | 42.61$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.88 | 92 | 57.6%53 W · 39 L | +8.1wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbc3a…e1f0backed Over | 52c | 40$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.8 | 268 | 48.1%129 W · 139 L | -5.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe026…0404backed Under | 48c | 35.72$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.57 | 123 | 55.3%68 W · 55 L | +3.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0bdf…7f09backed Over | 50c | 35.02$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.51 | 118 | 58.5%69 W · 49 L | +9.9wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0ab5…1bd7backed Under | 51c | 31.57$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.47 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +93.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd05a…bf53backed Over | 50c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 33 | 39.4%13 W · 20 L | -3.4wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2aee…51a8backed Over | 53c | 28.3$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 35 | 54.3%19 W · 16 L | +1.8wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x19b3…70c5backed Under | 50c | 26.36$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.05 | 18 | 72.2%13 W · 5 L | +3.4wins | +0.19per pick | 53cpaid | +43.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x50a3…0a78backed Over | 52c | 24$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.48 | 120 | 54.2%65 W · 55 L | +4.7wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad62…c7dfbacked Over | 54c | 22.04$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.9 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8fbb…a77bbacked Over | 51c | 20.83$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.62 | 53 | 56.6%30 W · 23 L | +4.4wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x191e…b6bebacked Over | 51c | 20.24$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.32 | 26 | 69.2%18 W · 8 L | +4.7wins | +0.18per pick | 51cpaid | +36.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 51c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.8 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Duke Blue Devils vs. Stanford Cardinal: O/U 146.5this page
- Duke Blue Devils vs. Stanford CardinalDuke Blue Devils won
- Duke Blue Devils vs. Stanford Cardinal: O/U 145.5Under won
- Duke Blue Devils vs. Stanford Cardinal: O/U 147.5Under won
- Spread: Duke Blue Devils (-10.5)Duke Blue Devils won
- Spread: Duke Blue Devils (-11.5)Duke Blue Devils won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.