TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Ncaa Basketball · resolved market

Cincinnati Bearcats vs. Arizona Wildcats: O/U 153.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$714,623
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$719,532

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $714,623 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 87 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x4924…3782backed Over52c584,200$301,240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301,239.6835945.1%162 W · 197 L-24.4wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-13.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x6a72…33eebacked Under48c450,000$216,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$234,00021754.8%119 W · 98 L+15.3wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+15.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x03e8…1697backed Over50c99,415$49,708 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49,707.611421.4%3 W · 11 L-3.5wins-0.25per pick46cpaid-60.7%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x163e…dc5bbacked Under50c60,000$30,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30,00012754.3%69 W · 58 L+4.1wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x20d6…3856backed Under50c58,000$28,960 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29,04021262.3%132 W · 80 L+34.7wins+0.16per pick46cpaid+37%equal weight66+0.15 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Under50c30,000$15,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15,00090645.4%411 W · 495 L+9.9wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Under50c28,781$14,467 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14,314.1312,42249.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L+118.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe73e…74febacked Under50c20,000$10,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,0004252.4%22 W · 20 L+1.1wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+2.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6551…e043backed Over51c11,130$5,676 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,676.3366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.15per pick52cpaid+28.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xba81…dc35backed Under50c11,000$5,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,5001330.8%4 W · 9 L-0.9wins-0.07per pick38cpaid-3.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Under49c7,157$3,482 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,675.35,94649.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L+163.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-0.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe90b…5da2backed Under49c6,032$2,956 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,076.3369142.8%296 W · 395 L+4.8wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-4.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x498c…42bfbacked Under49c6,000$2,940 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,06012054.2%65 W · 55 L+5.0wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+9.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7da6…4ff3backed Under49c3,800$1,862 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,9389856.1%55 W · 43 L+7.9wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+52.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x9870…b9d3backed Under50c3,000$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,50021248.1%102 W · 110 L-4.4wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x84f7…ade1backed Under49c2,940$1,451 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,488.641,07447%505 W · 569 L+1.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x24d3…30abbacked Under49c2,933$1,437 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,495.9216954.4%92 W · 77 L+8.7wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+11.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8738…222bbacked Under49c2,041$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,040.8225556.1%143 W · 112 L+12.4wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+8.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7234…1d85backed Under49c2,000$980 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,02012358.5%72 W · 51 L+10.3wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+16.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xc949…fa93backed Under50c2,000$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,00018548.6%90 W · 95 L-4.6wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc49f…9e05backed Over50c1,621$810 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$809.9310441.3%43 W · 61 L-8.7wins-0.08per pick50cpaid-18.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xe975…9d22backed Under53c1,236$660 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$575.735959.3%35 W · 24 L+3.0wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+12.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf6a6…a6d3backed Under59c1,022$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$421.792871.4%20 W · 8 L+2.9wins+0.10per pick61cpaid+15.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xc5b5…7e80backed Over48c620.57$297 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$296.882,00353.7%1,076 W · 927 L+101.7wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+2.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x811e…8733backed Under50c500$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2503053.3%16 W · 14 L+2.4wins+0.08per pick45cpaid+11.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9d0f…f3e6backed Under48c450$216 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23411946.2%55 W · 64 L-3.9wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-7.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6b3a…2841backed Under49c400$196 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20482048.2%395 W · 425 L+6.5wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6dbc…18a0backed Under50c400$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2004656.5%26 W · 20 L+3.8wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+21.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over38c393.68$151 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150.571,91049.6%947 W · 963 L+30.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x187b…f545backed Under49c380$186 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$193.810049%49 W · 51 L+2.3wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-2.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Under49c284.55$139 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$145.833,90558.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L+165.3wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+4.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb9fc…da76backed Under48c250$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13040147.6%191 W · 210 L+7.6wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+2.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1db3…ada1backed Under47c231$109 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$121.6635050.3%176 W · 174 L+0.9wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf13b…9ef9backed Under49c224.47$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$114.4819657.1%112 W · 84 L+14.9wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+15.8%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x5976…b3d4backed Under50c220$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1109051.1%46 W · 44 L+4.9wins+0.05per pick46cpaid+14.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe635…f33bbacked Under49c204.08$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.083100%3 W · 0 L+1.6wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+109.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x53cd…f23ebacked Under50c202.02$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.018750.6%44 W · 43 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x131e…3343backed Under50c200$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1003158.1%18 W · 13 L+1.2wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+9.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa966…208bbacked Under50c200$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10015156.3%85 W · 66 L+8.6wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+9.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under52c162$84 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.762,89650%1,448 W · 1,448 L+71.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe7ea…066ebacked Under50c160$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$807957%45 W · 34 L+5.6wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+13.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x9c76…c926backed Under49c150$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.589146.2%412 W · 479 L+9.8wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8d6d…aeb9backed Under49c150$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.55642.9%24 W · 32 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x646e…294dbacked Under50c150$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$753666.7%24 W · 12 L+5.7wins+0.16per pick51cpaid+32.6%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xf861…1d14backed Under49c141.06$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.946755.2%37 W · 30 L+3.6wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+10.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x03b0…482cbacked Under50c130$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$654860.4%29 W · 19 L+1.5wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+2.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x785f…e3d9backed Under51c121.49$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.6897447.9%467 W · 507 L-2.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2e19…9bdfbacked Under50c117.22$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.61862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.8wins+0.09per pick53cpaid+25.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1b46…944cbacked Under49c112.22$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.2318656.5%105 W · 81 L+12.2wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+13.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xb3d8…2a94backed Under49c111$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.613745.9%17 W · 20 L-1.2wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-8.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa61f…7993backed Under48c100$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52683.3%5 W · 1 L+2.4wins+0.41per pick43cpaid+88.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xba0d…9a6ebacked Under49c100$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$511952.6%10 W · 9 L+0.8wins+0.04per pick48cpaid-5.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbfd6…ab3dbacked Under47c100$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$531,48743%639 W · 848 L+50.8wins+0.03per pick40cpaid+11.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2ba5…26febacked Under49c100$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$515950.8%30 W · 29 L+0.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x52df…2b8bbacked Under50c100$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50450%2 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcfca…68fcbacked Under47c100$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5338645.9%177 W · 209 L+11.4wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+3.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x79df…277ebacked Under59c84.75$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.756154.1%33 W · 28 L+2.4wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+6.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6c8e…22c3backed Under50c84$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$426648.5%32 W · 34 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc62e…5bc9backed Under58c82.12$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.12580%4 W · 1 L+1.6wins+0.32per pick48cpaid+57.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xbc82…6421backed Under50c80$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4011147.7%53 W · 58 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-3.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb6a1…7066backed Under50c80$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$401136.4%4 W · 7 L-1.4wins-0.13per pick49cpaid-26.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x05f9…f351backed Over51c77$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.278547.1%40 W · 45 L-4.6wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-9.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6008…a80bbacked Under55c73.39$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.034,55250.1%2,279 W · 2,273 L-36.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd730…1948backed Under51c66.25$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.4619653.1%104 W · 92 L+6.7wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+6.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3e0e…2d99backed Under49c64$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.641216.7%2 W · 10 L-3.4wins-0.28per pick45cpaid-66%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x0bdf…7f09backed Under49c60.24$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.7211858.5%69 W · 49 L+9.9wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+16.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x1182…3751backed Under49c55.69$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.335549.1%27 W · 28 L-0.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8fbb…a77bbacked Under49c52.08$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.565356.6%30 W · 23 L+4.4wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+13.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x70b1…73b2backed Under49c51.06$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.049151.6%47 W · 44 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-4.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2816…6ad7backed Under49c50.96$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.999257.6%53 W · 39 L+8.1wins+0.09per pick49cpaid+20.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x6fe0…323bbacked Under49c50$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.56450%32 W · 32 L+4.0wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+13%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xb0fd…e1f5backed Under54c50$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$231,16255.2%641 W · 521 L+25.2wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+4.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4c9d…3e29backed Under49c40.82$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.8228354.1%153 W · 130 L+9.1wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+9.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc29d…3352backed Under50c40$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$204372.1%31 W · 12 L+6.6wins+0.15per pick57cpaid+29.3%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xc7f7…06c5backed Over47c37.71$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.5742751.8%221 W · 206 L+0.9wins0.00per pick52cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Over46c35$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.11,63347.3%773 W · 860 L+25.5wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf2d9…0092backed Over51c31.78$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.219440.4%38 W · 56 L-9.7wins-0.10per pick51cpaid-20.7%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xd562…b6d1backed Under49c31.25$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.945763.2%36 W · 21 L+8.4wins+0.15per pick48cpaid+28.8%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x191e…b6bebacked Under49c26.31$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.422669.2%18 W · 8 L+4.7wins+0.18per pick51cpaid+36.7%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x9ff7…9ab6backed Under51c25.86$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.738556.5%48 W · 37 L+3.3wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+8.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3e49…bd4bbacked Under49c22.88$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.672240.9%9 W · 13 L-0.8wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-9.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x865a…901bbacked Under49c22.04$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.2412560%75 W · 50 L+12.0wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+18.9%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x239b…f8bfbacked Under49c21$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.7831666.1%209 W · 107 L+24.8wins+0.08per pick58cpaid+12.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x45b9…5822backed Under50c20$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101752.9%9 W · 8 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick54cpaid+6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbedb…89c0backed Under50c20$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+94.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x38ad…0b0dbacked Under50c20$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x85fb…462fbacked Under72c14.24$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.022147.6%10 W · 11 L-1.7wins-0.08per pick56cpaid-18.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.