Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Cincinnati Bearcats vs. Arizona Wildcats
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2cef879f8746c4129ee423e0b0a4d72a2f2cec7f58b3cdf7bf1a5a44858cd0e3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Arizona Wildcatsof Cincinnati Bearcats, Arizona Wildcats
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $56,413
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $60,967
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $56,413 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 28 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Cincinnati Bearcats | 9c | 11,939$1,074 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,074.47 | 1,511 | 47.8%722 W · 789 L | -35.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Cincinnati Bearcats | 10c | 4,634$444 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$443.74 | 2,555 | 41.6%1,062 W · 1,493 L | -15.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Cincinnati Bearcats | 9c | 1,666$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.93 | 2,579 | 47.3%1,221 W · 1,358 L | -42.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xed2c…9597backed Cincinnati Bearcats | 9c | 1,075$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.72 | 397 | 44.8%178 W · 219 L | +9.4wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8046…a845backed Cincinnati Bearcats | 9c | 1,000$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.9 | 100 | 47%47 W · 53 L | +8.7wins | +0.09per pick | 38cpaid | +24%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xea81…eeaebacked Cincinnati Bearcats | 8c | 996.05$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.68 | 1,227 | 27.8%341 W · 886 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Cincinnati Bearcats | 10c | 830$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83 | 1,887 | 45.2%853 W · 1,034 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8f13…daaebacked Cincinnati Bearcats | 8c | 824.63$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.14 | 138 | 42.8%59 W · 79 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Cincinnati Bearcats | 8c | 755.5$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.44 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51ad…5e56backed Cincinnati Bearcats | 10c | 600$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 101 | 26.7%27 W · 74 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f19…ec51backed Cincinnati Bearcats | 14c | 595$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.01 | 220 | 50.5%111 W · 109 L | +5.8wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc44a…81febacked Cincinnati Bearcats | 7c | 569.37$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.5 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Cincinnati Bearcats | 8c | 549.17$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.69 | 3,380 | 49.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L | +30.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Cincinnati Bearcats | 10c | 438.26$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.27 | 2,048 | 32.7%670 W · 1,378 L | -16.2wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Cincinnati Bearcats | 10c | 379.24$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.23 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee28…8266backed Cincinnati Bearcats | 10c | 350$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 164 | 36%59 W · 105 L | +4.4wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Cincinnati Bearcats | 12c | 330.22$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.93 | 1,540 | 41.3%636 W · 904 L | +4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6f4…0566backed Cincinnati Bearcats | 10c | 301.01$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.83 | 244 | 44.7%109 W · 135 L | -6.9wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Cincinnati Bearcats | 13c | 298$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.57 | 1,951 | 45.1%880 W · 1,071 L | -19.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3ec…e987backed Cincinnati Bearcats | 10c | 200$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 192 | 38.5%74 W · 118 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Cincinnati Bearcats | 10c | 196.29$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.63 | 1,910 | 49.6%947 W · 963 L | +30.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe0cb…d140backed Cincinnati Bearcats | 10c | 180$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.2 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.23per pick | 10cpaid | +286.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x70dd…a4e3backed Cincinnati Bearcats | 13c | 153.85$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Cincinnati Bearcats | 9c | 116.88$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.47 | 4,382 | 40.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L | +23.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6512…87e5backed Cincinnati Bearcats | 10c | 105.26$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.53 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +1.5wins | +0.24per pick | 9cpaid | +251.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaed4…4cc9backed Cincinnati Bearcats | 12c | 101.28$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.68 | 33 | 36.4%12 W · 21 L | -3.5wins | -0.11per pick | 47cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Cincinnati Bearcats | 15c | 100$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1,531 | 50.1%767 W · 764 L | +34.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x12fe…38cfbacked Cincinnati Bearcats | 13c | 100$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 1,260 | 43.3%545 W · 715 L | +34.8wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Cincinnati Bearcats vs. Arizona Wildcatsthis page
- Cincinnati Bearcats vs. Arizona Wildcats: O/U 153.5Under won
- Spread: Arizona Wildcats (-13.5)Arizona Wildcats won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.