Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Portland Pilots vs. Loyola Marymount Lions: O/U 147.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xedd02edca6fd4d450d36d197548a29586f1de89e6094b5de81bcc5adac437534
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $607,805
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $608,676
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $607,805 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 40 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4924…3782backed Over | 54c | 596,463$322,010 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$322,009.67 | 359 | 45.1%162 W · 197 L | -24.4wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…33eebacked Under | 46c | 400,000$184,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216,000 | 217 | 54.8%119 W · 98 L | +15.3wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed Under | 46c | 180,005$82,802 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97,202.7 | 691 | 42.8%296 W · 395 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xabf5…cfebbacked Under | 46c | 4,000$1,840 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,160 | 115 | 55.7%64 W · 51 L | +8.1wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Under | 46c | 3,633$1,671 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,961.82 | 4,848 | 52.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L | +139.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9870…b9d3backed Under | 49c | 3,051$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,550.74 | 212 | 48.1%102 W · 110 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8738…222bbacked Under | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,000 | 255 | 56.1%143 W · 112 L | +12.4wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x71a5…c3eabacked Under | 50c | 1,190$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$589.8 | 11 | 81.8%9 W · 2 L | +1.7wins | +0.16per pick | 66cpaid | +30%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 51c | 1,099$556 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$556.14 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5a7…63e7backed Under | 49c | 809.22$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$409.22 | 557 | 49.2%274 W · 283 L | -7.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4fb0…3182backed Under | 46c | 800$368 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$432 | 413 | 54%223 W · 190 L | +13.3wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Over | 50c | 728.5$364 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$364.25 | 2,124 | 50.4%1,070 W · 1,054 L | +40.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd51b…9606backed Under | 48c | 416.67$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.67 | 138 | 51.4%71 W · 67 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3888…0755backed Under | 50c | 400$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 51 | 47.1%24 W · 27 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x740b…1d47backed Under | 49c | 326.53$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.53 | 40 | 45%18 W · 22 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x664b…00b3backed Under | 48c | 217.39$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.04 | 111 | 59.5%66 W · 45 L | +10.7wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf13b…9ef9backed Under | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.33 | 196 | 57.1%112 W · 84 L | +14.9wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1f3f…5878backed Over | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 267 | 40.8%109 W · 158 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x79df…277ebacked Under | 50c | 162.08$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.08 | 61 | 54.1%33 W · 28 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc0f…bbfebacked Under | 50c | 160$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80 | 66 | 53%35 W · 31 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa966…208bbacked Under | 48c | 125$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65 | 151 | 56.3%85 W · 66 L | +8.6wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1b46…944cbacked Under | 48c | 104.17$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.17 | 186 | 56.5%105 W · 81 L | +12.2wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6d58…8accbacked Under | 48c | 100$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52 | 43 | 53.5%23 W · 20 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9a9a…989abacked Under | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 35 | 42.9%15 W · 20 L | -2.8wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7858…eb9dbacked Under | 50c | 88$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe85d…95d8backed Under | 49c | 81.63$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.63 | 47 | 55.3%26 W · 21 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Over | 52c | 80$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.6 | 1,074 | 47%505 W · 569 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbda3…ef65backed Under | 48c | 80$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.6 | 627 | 53%332 W · 295 L | +13.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc82…6421backed Under | 50c | 80$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 111 | 47.7%53 W · 58 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 52c | 77$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.99 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xed85…bfacbacked Under | 48c | 62.5$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.5 | 78 | 46.2%36 W · 42 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa26f…4b98backed Under | 48c | 62.5$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.5 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | +2.0wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x04f2…bc84backed Under | 50c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 66 | 54.5%36 W · 30 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7dec…61b7backed Under | 51c | 49.02$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.02 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | -1.8wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc82b…e65abacked Under | 47c | 42.55$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.55 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +10%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x08b6…7db6backed Under | 48c | 40.75$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.19 | 122 | 45.9%56 W · 66 L | -6.3wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9d…3e29backed Under | 50c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 283 | 54.1%153 W · 130 L | +9.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x72ea…d4f2backed Under | 50c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 217 | 46.1%100 W · 117 L | -6.6wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x191e…b6bebacked Under | 48c | 28.42$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.78 | 26 | 69.2%18 W · 8 L | +4.7wins | +0.18per pick | 51cpaid | +36.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2816…6ad7backed Under | 47c | 21.3$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.29 | 92 | 57.6%53 W · 39 L | +8.1wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Portland Pilots vs. Loyola Marymount Lions: O/U 147.5this page
- Portland Pilots vs. Loyola Marymount LionsPortland Pilots won
- Spread: Loyola Marymount Lions (-8.5)Portland Pilots won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.