Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Spread: Loyola Marymount Lions (-8.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3c462208c381ba0f882faeadc6b6c0a3c651917ce63280af939691dd3362d2fb
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Portland Pilotsof Loyola Marymount Lions, Portland Pilots
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $426,201
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $426,233
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $426,201 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 34 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4924…3782backed Portland Pilots | 53c | 416,546$220,668 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195,877.89 | 359 | 45.1%162 W · 197 L | -24.4wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…33eebacked Loyola Marymount Lions | 47c | 400,000$188,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188,000 | 217 | 54.8%119 W · 98 L | +15.3wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Loyola Marymount Lions | 48c | 4,878$2,361 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,360.91 | 4,848 | 52.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L | +139.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x30a4…8441backed Loyola Marymount Lions | 47c | 4,000$1,880 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,880 | 422 | 46.2%195 W · 227 L | -9.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Portland Pilots | 50c | 3,629$1,807 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,821.88 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb43…3c74backed Loyola Marymount Lions | 47c | 3,000$1,410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,410 | 285 | 39.6%113 W · 172 L | -14.4wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9870…b9d3backed Loyola Marymount Lions | 50c | 2,982$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 212 | 48.1%102 W · 110 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8738…222bbacked Loyola Marymount Lions | 51c | 1,961$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 255 | 56.1%143 W · 112 L | +12.4wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf5a7…63e7backed Loyola Marymount Lions | 50c | 800$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 557 | 49.2%274 W · 283 L | -7.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f3f…5878backed Portland Pilots | 49c | 449.99$222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$227.5 | 267 | 40.8%109 W · 158 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x664b…00b3backed Loyola Marymount Lions | 50c | 416.66$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208.33 | 111 | 59.5%66 W · 45 L | +10.7wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4d48…48e0backed Loyola Marymount Lions | 48c | 401.52$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.73 | 180 | 46.7%84 W · 96 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd51b…9606backed Loyola Marymount Lions | 50c | 400$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 138 | 51.4%71 W · 67 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3888…0755backed Loyola Marymount Lions | 51c | 393.49$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 51 | 47.1%24 W · 27 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x740b…1d47backed Loyola Marymount Lions | 49c | 325.13$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 40 | 45%18 W · 22 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Loyola Marymount Lions | 49c | 300$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147 | 352 | 43.2%152 W · 200 L | -11.1wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed Portland Pilots | 52c | 266.52$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.93 | 2,003 | 53.7%1,076 W · 927 L | +101.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Loyola Marymount Lions | 49c | 261.78$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.27 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf13b…9ef9backed Loyola Marymount Lions | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 196 | 57.1%112 W · 84 L | +14.9wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1db3…ada1backed Portland Pilots | 49c | 150.06$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.98 | 350 | 50.3%176 W · 174 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Portland Pilots | 52c | 135$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.9 | 3,684 | 42.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L | +32.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7858…eb9dbacked Loyola Marymount Lions | 51c | 105.88$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b46…944cbacked Loyola Marymount Lions | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 186 | 56.5%105 W · 81 L | +12.2wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2165…f598backed Portland Pilots | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 146 | 54.1%79 W · 67 L | +7.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9a9a…989abacked Loyola Marymount Lions | 51c | 98.04$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 35 | 42.9%15 W · 20 L | -2.8wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x79df…277ebacked Loyola Marymount Lions | 51c | 98.04$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 61 | 54.1%33 W · 28 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf861…1d14backed Loyola Marymount Lions | 49c | 81.63$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 67 | 55.2%37 W · 30 L | +3.6wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbda3…ef65backed Loyola Marymount Lions | 49c | 80$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.2 | 627 | 53%332 W · 295 L | +13.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc82…6421backed Loyola Marymount Lions | 50c | 80$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 111 | 47.7%53 W · 58 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe85d…95d8backed Loyola Marymount Lions | 50c | 80$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 47 | 55.3%26 W · 21 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x04f2…bc84backed Loyola Marymount Lions | 49c | 51.02$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 66 | 54.5%36 W · 30 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9d…3e29backed Loyola Marymount Lions | 50c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 283 | 54.1%153 W · 130 L | +9.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7dec…61b7backed Loyola Marymount Lions | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | -1.8wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x43d6…a56abacked Loyola Marymount Lions | 49c | 20.41$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -1.9wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Loyola Marymount Lions (-8.5)this page
- Portland Pilots vs. Loyola Marymount LionsPortland Pilots won
- Portland Pilots vs. Loyola Marymount Lions: O/U 147.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.