Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Portland Pilots vs. Loyola Marymount Lions
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x85a28b8a010eedbea1d023ef150ee3929f5b61382318351007357b76af5bae8d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Portland Pilotsof Portland Pilots, Loyola Marymount Lions
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $10,652
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $11,501
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,652 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 24 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x10d4…d953backed Loyola Marymount Lions | 35c | 1,500$525 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$524.99 | 108 | 46.3%50 W · 58 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcdb8…abbebacked Loyola Marymount Lions | 21c | 1,426$303 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$303.25 | 1,983 | 26.4%523 W · 1,460 L | -55.5wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Portland Pilots | 73c | 1,375$998 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$377.36 | 2,124 | 50.4%1,070 W · 1,054 L | +40.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x71a5…c3eabacked Loyola Marymount Lions | 78c | 923.33$724 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$723.86 | 11 | 81.8%9 W · 2 L | +1.7wins | +0.16per pick | 66cpaid | +30%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Portland Pilots | 65c | 777.29$505 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$272.05 | 4,382 | 40.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L | +23.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b85…e89abacked Loyola Marymount Lions | 69c | 726.09$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.36per pick | 61cpaid | -67.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Portland Pilots | 61c | 543.18$333 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210.38 | 3,905 | 58.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L | +165.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Portland Pilots | 71c | 524.25$374 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.17 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f3f…5878backed Portland Pilots | 22c | 460$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$358.8 | 267 | 40.8%109 W · 158 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Portland Pilots | 21c | 349.89$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$276.42 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Portland Pilots | 63c | 333.8$209 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.64 | 3,380 | 49.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L | +30.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed Loyola Marymount Lions | 21c | 332$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.72 | 2,003 | 53.7%1,076 W · 927 L | +101.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4f6b…075fbacked Loyola Marymount Lions | 75c | 200$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 141 | 51.1%72 W · 69 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc091…3d42backed Loyola Marymount Lions | 58c | 142$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.36 | 722 | 48.8%352 W · 370 L | -23.6wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Portland Pilots | 26c | 104.44$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.84 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe4d8…19c5backed Loyola Marymount Lions | 47c | 100$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.5 | 41 | 70.7%29 W · 12 L | +2.3wins | +0.06per pick | 65cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc54f…dce8backed Loyola Marymount Lions | 13c | 100$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 643 | 22.9%147 W · 496 L | -17.1wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7e80…f17abacked Loyola Marymount Lions | 18c | 100$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 160 | 8.1%13 W · 147 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 10cpaid | -42.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Loyola Marymount Lions | 17c | 95$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.11 | 3,684 | 42.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L | +32.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9de5…e8f5backed Loyola Marymount Lions | 47c | 72.34$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 83 | 62.7%52 W · 31 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 65cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe88b…fa5abacked Loyola Marymount Lions | 35c | 50$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.5 | 346 | 49.1%170 W · 176 L | +9.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Loyola Marymount Lions | 51c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.26 | 1,951 | 45.1%880 W · 1,071 L | -19.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9bdb…a90dbacked Portland Pilots | 55c | 25.11$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.3 | 149 | 25.5%38 W · 111 L | -4.8wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb9ad…44febacked Loyola Marymount Lions | 77c | 25$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.25 | 101 | 51.5%52 W · 49 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Portland Pilots vs. Loyola Marymount Lionsthis page
- Portland Pilots vs. Loyola Marymount Lions: O/U 147.5Under won
- Spread: Loyola Marymount Lions (-8.5)Portland Pilots won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.