Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Bellarmine Knights vs. Eastern Kentucky Colonels: O/U 157.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x262d0c1e1f037bba4ec77367c60074965f73d0fff7c6cf7d4086593d10af266b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $834,771
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $834,920
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $834,771 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 69 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4924…3782backed Under | 53c | 571,601$301,903 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$301,902.7 | 359 | 45.1%162 W · 197 L | -24.4wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x006c…16eabacked Over | 47c | 500,000$235,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265,000 | 96 | 52.1%50 W · 46 L | +3.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…33eebacked Under | 53c | 239,998$127,199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127,198.92 | 217 | 54.8%119 W · 98 L | +15.3wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb45a…192cbacked Over | 47c | 200,000$94,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106,000 | 896 | 45.9%411 W · 485 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c16…09cbbacked Over | 48c | 100,000$48,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52,000 | 90 | 50%45 W · 45 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xccdb…ffa9backed Over | 46c | 9,147$4,198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,948.71 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb2a4…cf8abacked Over | 45c | 5,684$2,562 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,122.02 | 57 | 59.6%34 W · 23 L | +4.7wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Over | 47c | 5,000$2,350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,650 | 906 | 45.4%411 W · 495 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24d3…30abbacked Under | 54c | 4,800$2,592 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,591.99 | 169 | 54.4%92 W · 77 L | +8.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ef…8cd6backed Under | 54c | 3,000$1,620 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,620 | 170 | 50.6%86 W · 84 L | +4.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb43…3c74backed Under | 55c | 3,000$1,650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,650 | 285 | 39.6%113 W · 172 L | -14.4wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 45c | 2,500$1,130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,369.56 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30a4…8441backed Over | 47c | 2,000$940 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,060 | 422 | 46.2%195 W · 227 L | -9.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Over | 45c | 1,966$890 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,076.16 | 4,848 | 52.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L | +139.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e5b…5950backed Under | 54c | 1,638$891 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$890.93 | 57 | 59.6%34 W · 23 L | +5.2wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8738…222bbacked Under | 58c | 860.32$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 255 | 56.1%143 W · 112 L | +12.4wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xadec…88fdbacked Over | 47c | 784.99$368 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$417.45 | 61 | 44.3%27 W · 34 L | -4.8wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4fb0…3182backed Under | 53c | 479.95$254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$254.37 | 413 | 54%223 W · 190 L | +13.3wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xabf5…cfebbacked Under | 53c | 460.29$244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$243.95 | 115 | 55.7%64 W · 51 L | +8.1wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9d0f…f3e6backed Under | 57c | 440.42$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 119 | 46.2%55 W · 64 L | -3.9wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd1a8…1b66backed Over | 46c | 432.61$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$233.61 | 210 | 50%105 W · 105 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4d48…48e0backed Under | 54c | 382.56$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206.58 | 180 | 46.7%84 W · 96 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd51b…9606backed Under | 55c | 360$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198 | 138 | 51.4%71 W · 67 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd8b6…c7dbbacked Under | 56c | 357.14$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 55 | 60%33 W · 22 L | +4.5wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +15%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xef2e…8d89backed Over | 47c | 320.43$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.43 | 498 | 49.6%247 W · 251 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc0f…bbfebacked Under | 71c | 310.34$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$219.81 | 66 | 53%35 W · 31 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd6…ab3dbacked Over | 47c | 300$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160 | 1,487 | 43%639 W · 848 L | +50.8wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Over | 31c | 280$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.5 | 4,382 | 40.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L | +23.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Under | 51c | 269.66$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.53 | 141 | 51.1%72 W · 69 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Over | 47c | 234.13$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.09 | 1,296 | 45.1%584 W · 712 L | -23.9wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3fbc…9cf6backed Over | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.33 | 505 | 46.9%237 W · 268 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x664b…00b3backed Under | 54c | 192.31$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.85 | 111 | 59.5%66 W · 45 L | +10.7wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf13b…9ef9backed Under | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 196 | 57.1%112 W · 84 L | +14.9wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x49a9…ea7ebacked Under | 54c | 183.31$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.99 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -2.6wins | -0.13per pick | 48cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa966…208bbacked Under | 57c | 140.35$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 151 | 56.3%85 W · 66 L | +8.6wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb0a0…d84fbacked Over | 48c | 131.65$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.46 | 61 | 44.3%27 W · 34 L | -4.1wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe88b…fa5abacked Over | 45c | 120$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66 | 346 | 49.1%170 W · 176 L | +9.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e18…e68bbacked Over | 47c | 119.28$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.42 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -13%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe7ea…066ebacked Under | 54c | 115$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.1 | 79 | 57%45 W · 34 L | +5.6wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd7e7…fef1backed Over | 48c | 114.94$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.77 | 62 | 38.7%24 W · 38 L | -7.4wins | -0.12per pick | 51cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x79df…277ebacked Under | 57c | 105.26$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 61 | 54.1%33 W · 28 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcfca…68fcbacked Over | 45c | 100$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55 | 386 | 45.9%177 W · 209 L | +11.4wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1b46…944cbacked Under | 55c | 90.94$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 186 | 56.5%105 W · 81 L | +12.2wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa60d…2204backed Under | 57c | 87.72$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | -4.3wins | -0.19per pick | 54cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Over | 45c | 75$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.5 | 891 | 46.2%412 W · 479 L | +9.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe33c…6006backed Over | 48c | 73.34$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.1 | 56 | 48.2%27 W · 29 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc82…6421backed Under | 56c | 69.83$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.33 | 111 | 47.7%53 W · 58 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ec5…65ecbacked Over | 49c | 66.07$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.7 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | -2.9wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa60e…5e78backed Under | 57c | 52.63$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe998…dc05backed Over | 46c | 47.22$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.5 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc56b…fe0abacked Over | 47c | 46.59$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.48 | 95 | 43.2%41 W · 54 L | -3.9wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3e49…bd4bbacked Under | 56c | 46.5$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.04 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x892b…d315backed Under | 56c | 44.64$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x92e5…efeebacked Under | 54c | 44.06$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.79 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.9wins | -0.19per pick | 49cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfa15…95e3backed Over | 47c | 42.59$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.58 | 53 | 39.6%21 W · 32 L | -5.8wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbda3…ef65backed Under | 55c | 40$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 627 | 53%332 W · 295 L | +13.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc82b…e65abacked Under | 54c | 37.03$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +10%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3603…9975backed Under | 56c | 35.71$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -1.2wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba07…70bdbacked Over | 48c | 34.95$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.19 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf389…e45dbacked Under | 53c | 34$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.02 | 55 | 49.1%27 W · 28 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Over | 44c | 33$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.48 | 3,684 | 42.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L | +32.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0bdf…7f09backed Under | 53c | 31.36$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.62 | 118 | 58.5%69 W · 49 L | +9.9wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbc3a…e1f0backed Under | 55c | 30$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.5 | 268 | 48.1%129 W · 139 L | -5.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd730…1948backed Over | 49c | 28.49$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.53 | 196 | 53.1%104 W · 92 L | +6.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Over | 50c | 27.18$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.59 | 4,552 | 50.1%2,279 W · 2,273 L | -36.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9d…3e29backed Under | 57c | 26.32$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 283 | 54.1%153 W · 130 L | +9.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdfdc…0133backed Under | 54c | 23.66$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.78 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x191e…b6bebacked Under | 56c | 22.02$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.33 | 26 | 69.2%18 W · 8 L | +4.7wins | +0.18per pick | 51cpaid | +36.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4f1a…26c0backed Under | 54c | 18.86$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.09 | 46 | 45.7%21 W · 25 L | -2.3wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Bellarmine Knights vs. Eastern Kentucky Colonels: O/U 157.5this page
- Bellarmine Knights vs. Eastern Kentucky ColonelsEastern Kentucky Colonels won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.