Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Wofford Terriers vs. Furman Paladins: O/U 151.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xcf6b10e611bd5d6ef11fed71e7b45359fdfd70ce21d2de868e78c76fdd974046
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $602,981
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $607,151
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $602,981 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 55 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4924…3782backed Over | 51c | 581,002$298,496 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$298,496.28 | 359 | 45.1%162 W · 197 L | -24.4wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…33eebacked Under | 48c | 420,025$203,612 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216,413 | 217 | 54.8%119 W · 98 L | +15.3wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed Under | 49c | 150,900$73,941 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76,959 | 691 | 42.8%296 W · 395 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 48c | 4,381$2,124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,124.26 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24d3…30abbacked Under | 51c | 4,022$2,051 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,970.75 | 169 | 54.4%92 W · 77 L | +8.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7516…8bebbacked Under | 52c | 3,920$2,039 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,881.83 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Over | 48c | 2,953$1,418 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,417.88 | 1,436 | 47.5%682 W · 754 L | -18.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9870…b9d3backed Under | 52c | 2,885$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,384.71 | 212 | 48.1%102 W · 110 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e5b…5950backed Under | 50c | 2,377$1,193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,184.12 | 57 | 59.6%34 W · 23 L | +5.2wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8738…222bbacked Under | 52c | 1,923$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$923.08 | 255 | 56.1%143 W · 112 L | +12.4wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Over | 47c | 1,547$730 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$730.09 | 4,848 | 52.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L | +139.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4fb0…3182backed Under | 50c | 400$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 413 | 54%223 W · 190 L | +13.3wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4d48…48e0backed Under | 50c | 399.02$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199.51 | 180 | 46.7%84 W · 96 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f3e…380cbacked Under | 52c | 383.73$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.73 | 35 | 54.3%19 W · 16 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd51b…9606backed Under | 53c | 380$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178.6 | 138 | 51.4%71 W · 67 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x664b…00b3backed Under | 51c | 200$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98 | 111 | 59.5%66 W · 45 L | +10.7wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3a51…b2b6backed Under | 53c | 200$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94 | 172 | 58.7%101 W · 71 L | +14.3wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x49a9…ea7ebacked Under | 50c | 198$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -2.6wins | -0.13per pick | 48cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf13b…9ef9backed Under | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.08 | 196 | 57.1%112 W · 84 L | +14.9wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1db3…ada1backed Over | 47c | 153.99$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.78 | 350 | 50.3%176 W · 174 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbab6…f845backed Under | 51c | 127.27$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.94 | 35 | 54.3%19 W · 16 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfcfe…d420backed Under | 53c | 124.53$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.53 | 47 | 48.9%23 W · 24 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd7dd…bfd8backed Under | 51c | 113.9$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.65 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +95.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Over | 49c | 111$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.39 | 141 | 51.1%72 W · 69 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd6…ab3dbacked Under | 49c | 100$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51 | 1,487 | 43%639 W · 848 L | +50.8wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1b46…944cbacked Under | 51c | 98.04$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.04 | 186 | 56.5%105 W · 81 L | +12.2wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa60d…2204backed Under | 53c | 94.34$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.34 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | -4.3wins | -0.19per pick | 54cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf4a5…398fbacked Under | 53c | 94.34$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.34 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d85…2560backed Under | 50c | 87.32$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.66 | 186 | 46.2%86 W · 100 L | -5.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4863…805bbacked Under | 52c | 76.92$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.92 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.5wins | -0.14per pick | 50cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x865a…901bbacked Under | 52c | 75.34$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.54 | 125 | 60%75 W · 50 L | +12.0wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0bdf…7f09backed Under | 51c | 67.9$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.27 | 118 | 58.5%69 W · 49 L | +9.9wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x04f2…bc84backed Under | 52c | 67.31$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.31 | 66 | 54.5%36 W · 30 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe7ea…066ebacked Under | 48c | 60.83$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.63 | 79 | 57%45 W · 34 L | +5.6wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd05a…bf53backed Under | 52c | 60$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.8 | 33 | 39.4%13 W · 20 L | -3.4wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xed85…bfacbacked Under | 51c | 58.82$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.82 | 78 | 46.2%36 W · 42 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2816…6ad7backed Under | 50c | 57.41$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.71 | 92 | 57.6%53 W · 39 L | +8.1wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa581…45b2backed Over | 49c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe88b…fa5abacked Over | 52c | 50$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 346 | 49.1%170 W · 176 L | +9.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x191e…b6bebacked Under | 51c | 46.13$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.39 | 26 | 69.2%18 W · 8 L | +4.7wins | +0.18per pick | 51cpaid | +36.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xcecc…affebacked Under | 53c | 43.4$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.4 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9d…3e29backed Under | 52c | 38.46$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.46 | 283 | 54.1%153 W · 130 L | +9.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x50a3…0a78backed Under | 52c | 38$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.24 | 120 | 54.2%65 W · 55 L | +4.7wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdf30…8cb4backed Under | 52c | 37.19$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.85 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.12per pick | 56cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x08b6…7db6backed Under | 50c | 35.56$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.78 | 122 | 45.9%56 W · 66 L | -6.3wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3e49…bd4bbacked Under | 52c | 32.37$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.7 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x49bb…4d4cbacked Under | 53c | 32.08$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.08 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -14%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc3a…e1f0backed Under | 51c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.7 | 268 | 48.1%129 W · 139 L | -5.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a67…c830backed Under | 51c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.7 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2aee…51a8backed Under | 53c | 28.3$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.3 | 35 | 54.3%19 W · 16 L | +1.8wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc54f…dce8backed Over | 49c | 26.62$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.95 | 643 | 22.9%147 W · 496 L | -17.1wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4f1a…26c0backed Under | 50c | 20.41$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.21 | 46 | 45.7%21 W · 25 L | -2.3wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8fbb…a77bbacked Under | 51c | 20.4$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 53 | 56.6%30 W · 23 L | +4.4wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc82b…e65abacked Under | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +10%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8123…268cbacked Under | 53c | 19$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.93 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Wofford Terriers vs. Furman Paladins: O/U 151.5this page
- Wofford Terriers vs. Furman PaladinsWofford Terriers won
- Wofford Terriers vs. Furman Paladins: O/U 149.5Under won
- Wofford Terriers vs. Furman Paladins: O/U 150.5Under won
- Wofford Terriers vs. Furman Paladins: O/U 152.5Under won
- Wofford Terriers vs. Furman Paladins: O/U 153.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.