Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Wofford Terriers vs. Furman Paladins
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2229bf4d7b0edd0100277c102adbec813d2b8061daa52799ddc93c0ef9ac90c2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Wofford Terriersof Wofford Terriers, Furman Paladins
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $12,412
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $11,163
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $12,412 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 29 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Furman Paladins | 35c | 2,556$906 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$905.76 | 1,074 | 43.3%465 W · 609 L | +20.0wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdccf…a980backed Wofford Terriers | 13c | 889.5$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$774.68 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.8wins | +0.61per pick | 39cpaid | +333.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2b16…e8b8backed Wofford Terriers | 13c | 769.23$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$669.23 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | +3.9wins | +0.19per pick | 29cpaid | +53.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Furman Paladins | 66c | 753.32$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500.13 | 1,887 | 45.2%853 W · 1,034 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Wofford Terriers | 26c | 747.83$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$553.67 | 2,555 | 41.6%1,062 W · 1,493 L | -15.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcdb8…abbebacked Wofford Terriers | 31c | 457.06$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$317.27 | 1,983 | 26.4%523 W · 1,460 L | -55.5wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Wofford Terriers | 62c | 446.82$277 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.45 | 4,848 | 52.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L | +139.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Furman Paladins | 32c | 397$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.04 | 2,012 | 50%1,006 W · 1,006 L | +22.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Wofford Terriers | 18c | 267$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$219.89 | 3,684 | 42.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L | +32.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x755a…6da6backed Wofford Terriers | 11c | 251.18$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$223.55 | 536 | 35.6%191 W · 345 L | +10.0wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec6c…23c7backed Wofford Terriers | 19c | 249$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201.14 | 383 | 43.6%167 W · 216 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe88b…fa5abacked Furman Paladins | 45c | 220$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99 | 346 | 49.1%170 W · 176 L | +9.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x89f9…6f5bbacked Furman Paladins | 80c | 200$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -2.3wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Wofford Terriers | 29c | 187.76$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.56 | 2,048 | 32.7%670 W · 1,378 L | -16.2wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4116…555abacked Wofford Terriers | 17c | 180.26$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.26 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -1.1wins | -0.06per pick | 34cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a5…e95dbacked Furman Paladins | 68c | 147.06$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 402 | 52.7%212 W · 190 L | -9.1wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Wofford Terriers | 32c | 100$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68 | 891 | 46.2%412 W · 479 L | +9.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0343…5475backed Wofford Terriers | 21c | 88$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.52 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8013…5b52backed Wofford Terriers | 15c | 87$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.7 | 154 | 53.9%83 W · 71 L | +16.8wins | +0.11per pick | 43cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8d84…6df0backed Wofford Terriers | 34c | 86.82$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.3 | 536 | 46.5%249 W · 287 L | -24.3wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x35af…45bfbacked Furman Paladins | 69c | 86.46$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -2.9wins | -0.41per pick | 69cpaid | -60.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Furman Paladins | 23c | 55.41$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.73 | 2,124 | 50.4%1,070 W · 1,054 L | +40.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3880…ab7dbacked Furman Paladins | 28c | 54.41$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 235 | 44.7%105 W · 130 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc4bc…963cbacked Wofford Terriers | 21c | 52$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.26 | 58 | 69%40 W · 18 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 71cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3cf3…50d9backed Furman Paladins | 22c | 50.52$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.36 | 40 | 42.5%17 W · 23 L | +2.9wins | +0.07per pick | 35cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Wofford Terriers | 32c | 50$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Furman Paladins | 31c | 49.6$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.34 | 4,382 | 40.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L | +23.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf81…601dbacked Wofford Terriers | 76c | 26.32$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.32 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 73cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a8e…b505backed Furman Paladins | 62c | 24.32$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.19 | 480 | 51%245 W · 235 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Wofford Terriers vs. Furman Paladinsthis page
- Wofford Terriers vs. Furman Paladins: O/U 149.5Under won
- Wofford Terriers vs. Furman Paladins: O/U 150.5Under won
- Wofford Terriers vs. Furman Paladins: O/U 151.5Under won
- Wofford Terriers vs. Furman Paladins: O/U 152.5Under won
- Wofford Terriers vs. Furman Paladins: O/U 153.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.