South American Leagues · resolved market
Will CA River Plate win on 2026-05-13?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4058718d0639b4ba21a4485ec005c3138c8ff504034814dc38c10946f2e7e5cb
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $32,633
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $32,760
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $32,633 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 55 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf5f9…87b0backed Yes | 62c | 10,769$6,677 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,092.28 | 183 | 52.5%96 W · 87 L | +10.8wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9a54…7191backed No | 38c | 10,544$4,007 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,006.63 | 55 | 43.6%24 W · 31 L | -2.6wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 23c | 3,869$892 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$892 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Yes | 75c | 2,342$1,759 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$583.49 | 752 | 40.8%307 W · 445 L | -17.0wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 4c | 1,674$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.57 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x973f…dc4ebacked Yes | 56c | 1,166$653 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$513.07 | 56 | 46.4%26 W · 30 L | -4.2wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x75bd…0288backed No | 1c | 1,097$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.12 | 286 | 51.7%148 W · 138 L | +14.5wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked No | 37c | 926.58$343 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$342.83 | 1,668 | 51.7%863 W · 805 L | +18.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x49b2…4aeebacked No | 36c | 769$277 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$276.84 | 97 | 52.6%51 W · 46 L | +5.4wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked No | 2c | 768$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.55 | 74 | 37.8%28 W · 46 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -42.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed No | 37c | 751.58$278 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$278.08 | 422 | 50.2%212 W · 210 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Yes | 63c | 747.57$471 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$276.6 | 2,281 | 34.3%782 W · 1,499 L | -30.5wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Yes | 64c | 661.04$423 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$237.97 | 1,944 | 51.3%998 W · 946 L | +40.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x71ca…762bbacked No | 3c | 494.75$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.7 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 36c | 399.98$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.99 | 1,231 | 53.9%663 W · 568 L | +12.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 36c | 368.21$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.56 | 1,282 | 53.7%689 W · 593 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 24c | 344.8$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.11 | 1,362 | 44.9%611 W · 751 L | -22.0wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa76c…dc83backed Yes | 64c | 312.5$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.5 | 67 | 35.8%24 W · 43 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7c75…78adbacked Yes | 64c | 268$172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.48 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.07per pick | 65cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed No | 25c | 209.77$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.52 | 538 | 36.8%198 W · 340 L | -24.0wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3a72…c2a0backed No | 22c | 203.92$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 302 | 31.1%94 W · 208 L | +10.5wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed No | 37c | 180.56$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.81 | 278 | 55.4%154 W · 124 L | +5.6wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa178…11a2backed Yes | 56c | 178.57$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.57 | 769 | 51.5%396 W · 373 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 18c | 161.32$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.98 | 2,388 | 51.8%1,237 W · 1,151 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb2d9…58f5backed No | 38c | 149.92$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.97 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.7wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2e75…0143backed No | 17c | 147.05$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 52 | 40.4%21 W · 31 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf3c9…2551backed No | 29c | 107.75$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ed5…2aa3backed Yes | 63c | 100.17$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.17 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | +2.6wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +23.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed No | 37c | 91.56$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.91 | 636 | 57.5%366 W · 270 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x191e…b6bebacked No | 20c | 88.19$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.31 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x06a9…1a49backed Yes | 63c | 79.37$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.37 | 402 | 42%169 W · 233 L | -13.3wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x870c…b899backed Yes | 63c | 79.06$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.25 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d1e…6b94backed Yes | 64c | 78.13$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.13 | 111 | 40.5%45 W · 66 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 36c | 77.28$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.55 | 2,335 | 51.5%1,202 W · 1,133 L | +2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8a1f…b12cbacked Yes | 63c | 68.94$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.51 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7296…69f5backed No | 38c | 65.79$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x099f…c1e1backed No | 39c | 60$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.4 | 156 | 51.9%81 W · 75 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 37c | 50.5$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.69 | 1,487 | 48.7%724 W · 763 L | -17.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked No | 25c | 50$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.67 | 411 | 45.5%187 W · 224 L | -9.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 64c | 46.84$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.86 | 1,439 | 37.5%540 W · 899 L | +4.1wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3add…5e9fbacked Yes | 65c | 45.92$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.07 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d19…bf25backed Yes | 57c | 43.86$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.86 | 118 | 49.2%58 W · 60 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc363…8845backed Yes | 63c | 31.75$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.75 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +2.6wins | +0.14per pick | 49cpaid | +40%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Yes | 63c | 31.55$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.7 | 1,651 | 50.6%836 W · 815 L | -4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x303e…96ffbacked Yes | 56c | 30.36$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.36 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | -2.1wins | -0.10per pick | 39cpaid | -37.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Yes | 79c | 27.48$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.77 | 235 | 51.5%121 W · 114 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b0b…12ffbacked Yes | 64c | 27.23$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.8 | 56 | 50%28 W · 28 L | +5.6wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +38%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Yes | 69c | 27$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.37 | 898 | 46.1%414 W · 484 L | -11.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Yes | 76c | 25.3$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.95 | 1,253 | 56.2%704 W · 549 L | +73.3wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xde78…1cf6backed Yes | 57c | 24.25$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.43 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.15per pick | 51cpaid | +17%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4cca…7cb3backed Yes | 63c | 23$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.51 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4547…ac9bbacked Yes | 63c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.4 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Yes | 68c | 19$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.08 | 1,038 | 49.4%513 W · 525 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f40…7afbbacked Yes | 64c | 15.63$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.63 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe10f…e8bbbacked Yes | 64c | 15.63$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.63 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 70cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will CA River Plate win on 2026-05-13?this page
- Will CA River Plate vs. Gimnasia y Esgrima de La Plata end in a draw?No won
- Will Gimnasia y Esgrima de La Plata win on 2026-05-13?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.