South American Leagues · resolved market
Will Gimnasia y Esgrima de La Plata win on 2026-05-13?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x934a395d3fa6bd4e5973f71d2aa52aa147fb845d4a1942664d690b9ed5cc2bae
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $15,176
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $16,137
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $15,176 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 19 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1e98…110bbacked Yes | 13c | 3,052$397 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$396.8 | 191 | 44.5%85 W · 106 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3555…ba40backed Yes | 13c | 1,149$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.32 | 35 | 60%21 W · 14 L | +3.1wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +29.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes | 8c | 1,095$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.04 | 2,514 | 39%980 W · 1,534 L | -32.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Yes | 13c | 1,041$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.19 | 2,281 | 34.3%782 W · 1,499 L | -30.5wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72dd…4ef0backed Yes | 3c | 513.16$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 19 | 21.1%4 W · 15 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 25cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed Yes | 13c | 436.15$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.7 | 51 | 68.6%35 W · 16 L | +4.9wins | +0.10per pick | 59cpaid | +36.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 12c | 398.54$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.71 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x37d5…728fbacked Yes | 13c | 384.62$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90a0…40afbacked Yes | 13c | 384.62$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 22cpaid | +23.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6915…25ecbacked Yes | 13c | 384.62$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a72…c2a0backed Yes | 12c | 329.92$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.59 | 302 | 31.1%94 W · 208 L | +10.5wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1ced…9753backed Yes | 9c | 263.39$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.29 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -42.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd0fd…e954backed Yes | 14c | 206.79$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.95 | 25 | 32%8 W · 17 L | +1.7wins | +0.07per pick | 25cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf133…4811backed Yes | 13c | 150.65$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.26 | 84 | 39.3%33 W · 51 L | +5.8wins | +0.07per pick | 32cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Yes | 10c | 144.29$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.44 | 1,362 | 44.9%611 W · 751 L | -22.0wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa820…2dcebacked Yes | 14c | 142.86$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yes | 10c | 102.22$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.56 | 2,388 | 51.8%1,237 W · 1,151 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8c65…c8a2backed Yes | 13c | 79.69$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.36 | 14 | 7.1%1 W · 13 L | -3.5wins | -0.25per pick | 32cpaid | -80.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xcbf3…80abbacked Yes | 13c | 78.45$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 101 | 46.5%47 W · 54 L | +9.5wins | +0.09per pick | 37cpaid | +20%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Gimnasia y Esgrima de La Plata win on 2026-05-13?this page
- Will CA River Plate vs. Gimnasia y Esgrima de La Plata end in a draw?No won
- Will CA River Plate win on 2026-05-13?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.