Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Spread: Saint Louis Billikens (-15.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7c4fc2c22196c99ade938dc76f022c91b9ece956775644467d158822ce40c3bf
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Saint Louis Billikensof Saint Louis Billikens, Richmond Spiders
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $606,748
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $608,367
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $606,748 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 72 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4924…3782backed Saint Louis Billikens | 50c | 585,955$292,779 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$293,175.38 | 359 | 45.1%162 W · 197 L | -24.4wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…33eebacked Richmond Spiders | 50c | 200,000$100,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100,000 | 217 | 54.8%119 W · 98 L | +15.3wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x006c…16eabacked Richmond Spiders | 50c | 145,018$72,509 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72,509.22 | 96 | 52.1%50 W · 46 L | +3.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed Richmond Spiders | 50c | 100,000$50,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50,000 | 691 | 42.8%296 W · 395 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c16…09cbbacked Richmond Spiders | 50c | 80,000$40,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40,000 | 90 | 50%45 W · 45 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Richmond Spiders | 50c | 22,500$11,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,250 | 906 | 45.4%411 W · 495 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97e1…017bbacked Richmond Spiders | 50c | 12,222$6,111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,111 | 131 | 54.2%71 W · 60 L | +9.4wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x24d3…30abbacked Richmond Spiders | 52c | 4,000$2,080 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,080 | 169 | 54.4%92 W · 77 L | +8.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Richmond Spiders | 51c | 3,847$1,943 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,943.04 | 4,848 | 52.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L | +139.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Richmond Spiders | 53c | 3,238$1,716 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,716.14 | 1,155 | 50.4%582 W · 573 L | -34.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb43…3c74backed Richmond Spiders | 51c | 3,000$1,530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,530 | 285 | 39.6%113 W · 172 L | -14.4wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Richmond Spiders | 51c | 2,964$1,511 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,511.19 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9870…b9d3backed Richmond Spiders | 53c | 2,833$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 212 | 48.1%102 W · 110 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8738…222bbacked Richmond Spiders | 52c | 1,923$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 255 | 56.1%143 W · 112 L | +12.4wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Richmond Spiders | 47c | 683.83$319 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$318.52 | 2,124 | 50.4%1,070 W · 1,054 L | +40.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Richmond Spiders | 27c | 588.36$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.58 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4d48…48e0backed Richmond Spiders | 51c | 525.95$268 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$268.23 | 180 | 46.7%84 W · 96 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Richmond Spiders | 50c | 500$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x07bc…393abacked Richmond Spiders | 50c | 500$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 83 | 51.8%43 W · 40 L | +3.1wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc8f9…fee2backed Richmond Spiders | 53c | 471.7$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -3.5wins | -0.32per pick | 50cpaid | -66.9%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xf819…d410backed Richmond Spiders | 53c | 469.17$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 65 | 50.8%33 W · 32 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…1e15backed Saint Louis Billikens | 48c | 416.67$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.67 | 1,231 | 47%578 W · 653 L | -17.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Saint Louis Billikens | 48c | 400$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208 | 820 | 48.2%395 W · 425 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd51b…9606backed Richmond Spiders | 53c | 400$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212 | 138 | 51.4%71 W · 67 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Saint Louis Billikens | 48c | 399.99$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$209.99 | 141 | 51.1%72 W · 69 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ef…8cd6backed Richmond Spiders | 51c | 399.16$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203.57 | 170 | 50.6%86 W · 84 L | +4.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d0f…f3e6backed Richmond Spiders | 54c | 370.37$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 119 | 46.2%55 W · 64 L | -3.9wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1c8c…237dbacked Saint Louis Billikens | 49c | 358$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182.68 | 175 | 46.3%81 W · 94 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c1a…42d8backed Richmond Spiders | 5c | 250.12$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.66 | 66 | 36.4%24 W · 42 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb9fc…da76backed Saint Louis Billikens | 47c | 249.99$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.5 | 401 | 47.6%191 W · 210 L | +7.6wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1db3…ada1backed Saint Louis Billikens | 47c | 209$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.22 | 350 | 50.3%176 W · 174 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x664b…00b3backed Richmond Spiders | 53c | 196.08$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.92 | 111 | 59.5%66 W · 45 L | +10.7wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x49a9…ea7ebacked Richmond Spiders | 51c | 194.11$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -2.6wins | -0.13per pick | 48cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf13b…9ef9backed Richmond Spiders | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 196 | 57.1%112 W · 84 L | +14.9wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4863…805bbacked Richmond Spiders | 53c | 169.81$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.5wins | -0.14per pick | 50cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Richmond Spiders | 11c | 134.23$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.33 | 2,254 | 42.2%951 W · 1,303 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbda3…ef65backed Richmond Spiders | 52c | 120$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62 | 627 | 53%332 W · 295 L | +13.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Richmond Spiders | 51c | 111.18$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.97 | 1,296 | 45.1%584 W · 712 L | -23.9wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d85…2560backed Richmond Spiders | 51c | 105.43$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.77 | 186 | 46.2%86 W · 100 L | -5.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1db9…a43bbacked Richmond Spiders | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.6wins | +0.13per pick | 49cpaid | +29.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe7ea…066ebacked Richmond Spiders | 53c | 100$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53 | 79 | 57%45 W · 34 L | +5.6wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6fe0…323bbacked Richmond Spiders | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 64 | 50%32 W · 32 L | +4.0wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +13%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3a51…b2b6backed Richmond Spiders | 47c | 100$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 172 | 58.7%101 W · 71 L | +14.3wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1b46…944cbacked Richmond Spiders | 53c | 94.34$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 186 | 56.5%105 W · 81 L | +12.2wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0343…5475backed Richmond Spiders | 54c | 86.37$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.64 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed Saint Louis Billikens | 50c | 86.12$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.43 | 2,003 | 53.7%1,076 W · 927 L | +101.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9aea…5590backed Richmond Spiders | 49c | 82.12$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.27 | 158 | 44.3%70 W · 88 L | -6.5wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Saint Louis Billikens | 48c | 81.03$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.14 | 1,633 | 47.3%773 W · 860 L | +25.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd05a…bf53backed Richmond Spiders | 33c | 80$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.4 | 33 | 39.4%13 W · 20 L | -3.4wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x04f2…bc84backed Richmond Spiders | 52c | 76.92$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 66 | 54.5%36 W · 30 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa966…208bbacked Richmond Spiders | 52c | 76.92$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 151 | 56.3%85 W · 66 L | +8.6wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xed85…bfacbacked Richmond Spiders | 52c | 57.69$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 78 | 46.2%36 W · 42 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb0a0…d84fbacked Richmond Spiders | 52c | 57.17$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.73 | 61 | 44.3%27 W · 34 L | -4.1wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd7e7…fef1backed Richmond Spiders | 52c | 50.62$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.32 | 62 | 38.7%24 W · 38 L | -7.4wins | -0.12per pick | 51cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Richmond Spiders | 50c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 891 | 46.2%412 W · 479 L | +9.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe88b…fa5abacked Saint Louis Billikens | 53c | 50$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.5 | 346 | 49.1%170 W · 176 L | +9.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x50a3…0a78backed Richmond Spiders | 52c | 48.99$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.46 | 120 | 54.2%65 W · 55 L | +4.7wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc119…7d4dbacked Richmond Spiders | 52c | 48.08$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 84 | 52.4%44 W · 40 L | +3.3wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2816…6ad7backed Richmond Spiders | 51c | 44.91$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.9 | 92 | 57.6%53 W · 39 L | +8.1wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf4a5…398fbacked Saint Louis Billikens | 48c | 41.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.67 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x78d9…70f6backed Richmond Spiders | 50c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 47 | 46.8%22 W · 25 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x591a…aec2backed Richmond Spiders | 53c | 38$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.14 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7dec…61b7backed Richmond Spiders | 53c | 37.74$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | -1.8wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3603…9975backed Richmond Spiders | 53c | 37.74$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -1.2wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x865a…901bbacked Richmond Spiders | 54c | 37.04$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 125 | 60%75 W · 50 L | +12.0wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbc3a…e1f0backed Richmond Spiders | 52c | 30$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.6 | 268 | 48.1%129 W · 139 L | -5.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb0f6…a31cbacked Richmond Spiders | 53c | 30$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.9 | 32 | 68.8%22 W · 10 L | +6.2wins | +0.20per pick | 49cpaid | +39.6%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x0bdf…7f09backed Richmond Spiders | 53c | 29.26$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.51 | 118 | 58.5%69 W · 49 L | +9.9wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdfdc…0133backed Richmond Spiders | 53c | 26.74$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.17 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x08b6…7db6backed Richmond Spiders | 53c | 24.53$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 122 | 45.9%56 W · 66 L | -6.3wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x191e…b6bebacked Richmond Spiders | 54c | 21.57$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.65 | 26 | 69.2%18 W · 8 L | +4.7wins | +0.18per pick | 51cpaid | +36.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8fbb…a77bbacked Richmond Spiders | 53c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.6 | 53 | 56.6%30 W · 23 L | +4.4wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Saint Louis Billikens (-15.5)this page
- Richmond Spiders vs. Saint Louis BillikensSaint Louis Billikens won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.