Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Richmond Spiders vs. Saint Louis Billikens
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf6216d2b823b7a8ad327de89b02e35e3560bcb151a0581b7227cb2201368fb22
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Saint Louis Billikensof Richmond Spiders, Saint Louis Billikens
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $15,145
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $16,819
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $15,145 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 12 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x783c…6900backed Richmond Spiders | 9c | 1,500$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135 | 137 | 35%48 W · 89 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3010…a27cbacked Richmond Spiders | 6c | 1,300$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78 | 140 | 21.4%30 W · 110 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd7e…f17dbacked Richmond Spiders | 1c | 1,099$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.99 | 43 | 16.3%7 W · 36 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 18cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea81…eeaebacked Richmond Spiders | 8c | 1,000$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.03 | 1,227 | 27.8%341 W · 886 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7723…86b5backed Richmond Spiders | 3c | 703.6$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Richmond Spiders | 8c | 288.13$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.61 | 3,380 | 49.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L | +30.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56d2…7afcbacked Richmond Spiders | 9c | 244.44$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc4…0c92backed Richmond Spiders | 8c | 210.31$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.82 | 990 | 45.6%451 W · 539 L | +9.6wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf33f…085cbacked Richmond Spiders | 8c | 200$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 181 | 29.3%53 W · 128 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3ec…e987backed Richmond Spiders | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 192 | 38.5%74 W · 118 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f68…cb30backed Richmond Spiders | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 14 | 14.3%2 W · 12 L | -1.6wins | -0.11per pick | 26cpaid | -64.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x958e…e9dfbacked Richmond Spiders | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.25per pick | 9cpaid | +233.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Richmond Spiders vs. Saint Louis Billikensthis page
- Spread: Saint Louis Billikens (-15.5)Saint Louis Billikens won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.