Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
UT Arlington Mavericks vs. Utah Valley Wolverines: O/U 143.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x68274208459a921db5793fccf1beec23c278ced65def6f4d7fc020590b278526
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $393,889
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $394,408
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $393,889 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 44 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4924…3782backed Over | 53c | 374,380$196,685 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177,694.54 | 359 | 45.1%162 W · 197 L | -24.4wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…33eebacked Under | 47c | 200,000$94,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94,000 | 217 | 54.8%119 W · 98 L | +15.3wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed Under | 48c | 144,535$69,377 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69,376.59 | 691 | 42.8%296 W · 395 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97e1…017bbacked Under | 48c | 12,222$5,867 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,866.56 | 131 | 54.2%71 W · 60 L | +9.4wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe248…f293backed Under | 50c | 4,143$2,072 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,071.5 | 781 | 55.6%434 W · 347 L | +38.2wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x24d3…30abbacked Under | 49c | 4,000$1,960 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,960 | 169 | 54.4%92 W · 77 L | +8.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x19ed…6dc8backed Under | 52c | 3,097$1,610 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,610.26 | 87 | 47.1%41 W · 46 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Under | 47c | 2,076$976 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$975.86 | 4,848 | 52.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L | +139.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x30a4…8441backed Under | 48c | 2,000$960 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$960 | 422 | 46.2%195 W · 227 L | -9.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8738…222bbacked Under | 51c | 1,951$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 255 | 56.1%143 W · 112 L | +12.4wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5e5b…5950backed Under | 49c | 1,198$587 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$587.22 | 57 | 59.6%34 W · 23 L | +5.2wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Over | 48c | 1,097$527 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$570.51 | 1,633 | 47.3%773 W · 860 L | +25.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 49c | 1,053$520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$532.74 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Over | 52c | 687.44$356 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$331.47 | 3,684 | 42.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L | +32.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d48…48e0backed Under | 48c | 557.39$268 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$267.54 | 180 | 46.7%84 W · 96 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d0f…f3e6backed Under | 52c | 480.77$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 119 | 46.2%55 W · 64 L | -3.9wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Over | 50c | 461$228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$232.72 | 141 | 51.1%72 W · 69 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4fb0…3182backed Under | 48c | 400$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192 | 413 | 54%223 W · 190 L | +13.3wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x664b…00b3backed Under | 51c | 208.33$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.25 | 111 | 59.5%66 W · 45 L | +10.7wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x49a9…ea7ebacked Under | 48c | 206.25$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -2.6wins | -0.13per pick | 48cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf4a5…398fbacked Under | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf13b…9ef9backed Under | 51c | 184.31$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94 | 196 | 57.1%112 W · 84 L | +14.9wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe7ea…066ebacked Under | 51c | 100$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 79 | 57%45 W · 34 L | +5.6wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1b46…944cbacked Under | 51c | 98.04$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 186 | 56.5%105 W · 81 L | +12.2wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4d85…2560backed Under | 48c | 96.83$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.48 | 186 | 46.2%86 W · 100 L | -5.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7669…f58cbacked Over | 52c | 92$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.16 | 153 | 56.2%86 W · 67 L | +14.9wins | +0.10per pick | 46cpaid | +27.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Over | 53c | 89.47$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.05 | 4,552 | 50.1%2,279 W · 2,273 L | -36.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9aea…5590backed Under | 48c | 82$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.36 | 158 | 44.3%70 W · 88 L | -6.5wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x04b4…8d0bbacked Under | 50c | 80$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 90 | 45.6%41 W · 49 L | -4.3wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xed85…bfacbacked Under | 51c | 53.37$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.22 | 78 | 46.2%36 W · 42 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2905…18a9backed Over | 51c | 52.98$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.96 | 49 | 55.1%27 W · 22 L | +2.3wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc54f…dce8backed Over | 49c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.5 | 643 | 22.9%147 W · 496 L | -17.1wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2816…6ad7backed Under | 48c | 44.69$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.45 | 92 | 57.6%53 W · 39 L | +8.1wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd05a…bf53backed Under | 51c | 40.92$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.02 | 33 | 39.4%13 W · 20 L | -3.4wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf861…1d14backed Under | 49c | 40.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 67 | 55.2%37 W · 30 L | +3.6wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc119…7d4dbacked Under | 52c | 40$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.8 | 84 | 52.4%44 W · 40 L | +3.3wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x49bb…4d4cbacked Under | 52c | 38.46$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -14%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x591a…aec2backed Under | 52c | 38$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.76 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x865a…901bbacked Under | 50c | 37.58$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.79 | 125 | 60%75 W · 50 L | +12.0wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x50a3…0a78backed Under | 49c | 31.25$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.31 | 120 | 54.2%65 W · 55 L | +4.7wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x08b6…7db6backed Under | 50c | 30.9$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.45 | 122 | 45.9%56 W · 66 L | -6.3wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7dec…61b7backed Under | 52c | 28.85$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | -1.8wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0bdf…7f09backed Under | 51c | 28.59$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.58 | 118 | 58.5%69 W · 49 L | +9.9wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x191e…b6bebacked Under | 50c | 22.14$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.07 | 26 | 69.2%18 W · 8 L | +4.7wins | +0.18per pick | 51cpaid | +36.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- UT Arlington Mavericks vs. Utah Valley Wolverines: O/U 143.5this page
- UT Arlington Mavericks vs. Utah Valley WolverinesUtah Valley Wolverines won
- UT Arlington Mavericks vs. Utah Valley Wolverines: O/U 142.5Over won
- UT Arlington Mavericks vs. Utah Valley Wolverines: O/U 144.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.