Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Rhode Island Rams vs. Richmond Spiders: O/U 142.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8ebb28c43dccb1095ef9503b58150a9b1b2bcf2c857a77ac981f3f526cd249b6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $594,182
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $599,775
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $594,182 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 71 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4924…3782backed Under | 53c | 471,210$249,504 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$221,706.79 | 359 | 45.1%162 W · 197 L | -24.4wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Over | 47c | 250,060$117,530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117,530.2 | 98 | 60.2%59 W · 39 L | +9.9wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +23%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb45a…192cbacked Over | 47c | 200,037$94,017 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94,016.95 | 896 | 45.9%411 W · 485 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7caf…058bbacked Under | 53c | 74,000$39,220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34,780 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x37e4…c991backed Over | 47c | 72,117$33,895 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33,895.18 | 82 | 46.3%38 W · 44 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5e1…5ad0backed Over | 48c | 15,000$7,150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,150 | 89 | 46.1%41 W · 48 L | -4.8wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc49f…9e05backed Under | 53c | 13,700$7,261 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,439 | 104 | 41.3%43 W · 61 L | -8.7wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x97e1…017bbacked Over | 47c | 11,111$5,222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,222.17 | 131 | 54.2%71 W · 60 L | +9.4wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7b47…d615backed Over | 49c | 8,090$3,992 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,992.18 | 740 | 51.5%381 W · 359 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Over | 48c | 5,274$2,546 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,546 | 1,633 | 47.3%773 W · 860 L | +25.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x30a4…8441backed Over | 47c | 4,000$1,880 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,880 | 422 | 46.2%195 W · 227 L | -9.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ef…8cd6backed Over | 47c | 3,000$1,410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,410 | 170 | 50.6%86 W · 84 L | +4.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea2b…1fc6backed Under | 52c | 2,075$1,079 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$995.8 | 43 | 39.5%17 W · 26 L | -4.0wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x162f…585abacked Under | 53c | 2,055$1,089 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$965.84 | 64 | 45.3%29 W · 35 L | -4.5wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under | 49c | 1,619$789 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$829.83 | 2,896 | 50%1,448 W · 1,448 L | +71.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 48c | 1,519$733 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$732.57 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadec…88fdbacked Under | 53c | 1,420$753 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$667.4 | 61 | 44.3%27 W · 34 L | -4.8wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf6a6…a6d3backed Under | 55c | 1,409$775 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$634.09 | 28 | 71.4%20 W · 8 L | +2.9wins | +0.10per pick | 61cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xda12…38d6backed Under | 53c | 1,027$545 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$482.92 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaea1…9569backed Under | 51c | 981.96$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$481.96 | 59 | 45.8%27 W · 32 L | -3.2wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb1aa…16cfbacked Under | 53c | 943.4$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$443.4 | 76 | 61.8%47 W · 29 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf5a7…63e7backed Over | 48c | 834.13$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 557 | 49.2%274 W · 283 L | -7.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57a8…6933backed Over | 47c | 756$355 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$355.32 | 746 | 49.2%367 W · 379 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Over | 46c | 723.73$334 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$333.67 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…1e15backed Over | 48c | 625$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 1,231 | 47%578 W · 653 L | -17.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40da…0b85backed Over | 48c | 414.59$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199 | 134 | 44%59 W · 75 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x46b4…57ffbacked Under | 52c | 386.5$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186.5 | 39 | 41%16 W · 23 L | -4.5wins | -0.12per pick | 53cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd0ad…fb30backed Under | 53c | 364.66$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171.39 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -2.4wins | -0.15per pick | 53cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8bb6…735cbacked Under | 53c | 308.23$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.87 | 43 | 44.2%19 W · 24 L | -3.2wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa6cc…535abacked Under | 53c | 303.03$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.42 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -1.4wins | -0.09per pick | 53cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf2d9…0092backed Under | 53c | 254.12$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.44 | 94 | 40.4%38 W · 56 L | -9.7wins | -0.10per pick | 51cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2fa0…aa66backed Over | 54c | 248.56$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.1 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -3.3wins | -0.41per pick | 66cpaid | -64.7%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x3fbc…9cf6backed Over | 47c | 212.77$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 505 | 46.9%237 W · 268 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5976…b3d4backed Over | 47c | 212.76$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 90 | 51.1%46 W · 44 L | +4.9wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x70b2…1950backed Under | 53c | 198.02$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.07 | 74 | 50%37 W · 37 L | -2.8wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1db3…ada1backed Under | 51c | 198$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.68 | 350 | 50.3%176 W · 174 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2694…415abacked Under | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.68 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -1.1wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd77d…b01cbacked Over | 54c | 185.19$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 188 | 51.6%97 W · 91 L | +6.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x04b7…7491backed Under | 52c | 157.97$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.3 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x15f9…607ebacked Under | 48c | 150$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.4 | 321 | 46.7%150 W · 171 L | -10.8wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a64…6769backed Over | 54c | 138.89$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 179 | 50.8%91 W · 88 L | +5.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x53cd…f23ebacked Over | 48c | 138.54$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.5 | 87 | 50.6%44 W · 43 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa33c…1b33backed Under | 53c | 137$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.39 | 54 | 44.4%24 W · 30 L | -3.9wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6299…dd7dbacked Under | 53c | 137$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.39 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | -3.0wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3951…c5b2backed Over | 48c | 128.52$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.69 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | -2.9wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3f0f…68f6backed Under | 53c | 118.98$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.92 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -2.5wins | -0.21per pick | 54cpaid | -36.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfed9…3cdebacked Over | 47c | 106.38$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 65 | 56.9%37 W · 28 L | +5.3wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xadc5…e2afbacked Over | 47c | 106.06$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.85 | 72 | 34.7%25 W · 47 L | -9.7wins | -0.14per pick | 48cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x0157…340fbacked Under | 53c | 104.58$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.15 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | -2.0wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x92bf…0f9bbacked Under | 53c | 102.72$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.28 | 41 | 46.3%19 W · 22 L | -2.5wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd6…ab3dbacked Over | 48c | 100$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 1,487 | 43%639 W · 848 L | +50.8wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca5…85edbacked Under | 52c | 100$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8155…eb2cbacked Under | 53c | 95.58$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.92 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Over | 49c | 81.63$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 4,552 | 50.1%2,279 W · 2,273 L | -36.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Over | 48c | 74.99$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.75 | 3,905 | 58.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L | +165.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc7eb…28a9backed Over | 48c | 70$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.6 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -2.9wins | -0.37per pick | 49cpaid | -74.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x05f9…f351backed Under | 53c | 57$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.79 | 85 | 47.1%40 W · 45 L | -4.6wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd236…a65ebacked Under | 53c | 56.6$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.6 | 176 | 61.4%108 W · 68 L | +17.3wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x44d8…111ebacked Under | 53c | 56.6$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.6 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -2.4wins | -0.17per pick | 53cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4786…ff95backed Over | 48c | 41.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 99 | 47.5%47 W · 52 L | -5.4wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfb95…a5ccbacked Over | 53c | 40$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.2 | 61 | 59%36 W · 25 L | +5.9wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xce89…2b5ebacked Under | 53c | 37.74$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.74 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +32.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad25…d571backed Under | 54c | 37.04$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.04 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe03…bd7cbacked Under | 53c | 36.36$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.09 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.12per pick | 54cpaid | +26.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50a3…0a78backed Over | 47c | 31.91$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 120 | 54.2%65 W · 55 L | +4.7wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x785f…e3d9backed Under | 51c | 30.94$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.2 | 974 | 47.9%467 W · 507 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5084…40a4backed Under | 53c | 30.24$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.21 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x455b…2d47backed Under | 53c | 25.92$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.18 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cf8…11b2backed Under | 53c | 20.53$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.65 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6e92…18c4backed Under | 53c | 20.53$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.65 | 26 | 26.9%7 W · 19 L | -6.7wins | -0.26per pick | 53cpaid | -49.2%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xc0c2…b14dbacked Under | 53c | 19.89$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.35 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +2.6wins | +0.18per pick | 53cpaid | +36.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Rhode Island Rams vs. Richmond Spiders: O/U 142.5this page
- Rhode Island Rams vs. Richmond SpidersRhode Island Rams won
- Rhode Island Rams vs. Richmond Spiders: O/U 141.5Under won
- Spread: Richmond Spiders (-2.5)Rhode Island Rams won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.