TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Ncaa Basketball · resolved market

Maryland Terrapins vs. Illinois Fighting Illini: O/U 149.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$1,044,656
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$1,045,630

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,044,656 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 106 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x4924…3782backed Over52c632,830$331,777 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$301,052.7435945.1%162 W · 197 L-24.4wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-13.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xe20a…e469backed Under48c302,829$144,301 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$144,301.229860.2%59 W · 39 L+9.9wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+23%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xe90b…5da2backed Under48c250,000$119,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$119,50069142.8%296 W · 395 L+4.8wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-4.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x006c…16eabacked Under47c158,522$74,505 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74,505.249652.1%50 W · 46 L+3.9wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+7.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x03e8…1697backed Over52c155,544$81,573 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73,971.291421.4%3 W · 11 L-3.5wins-0.25per pick46cpaid-60.7%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x9c16…09cbbacked Under48c100,000$48,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47,999.959050%45 W · 45 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x9267…0f9abacked Under47c80,000$37,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37,20013649.3%67 W · 69 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc65c…ea39backed Over52c73,000$37,960 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35,0404047.5%19 W · 21 L-1.9wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-6.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2c33…0563backed Over52c60,000$31,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28,8004454.5%24 W · 20 L+1.9wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+9.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Under48c60,000$28,900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28,90090645.4%411 W · 495 L+9.9wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7b47…d615backed Over54c29,000$15,660 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13,34074051.5%381 W · 359 L+5.6wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xea2b…1fc6backed Over52c18,242$9,484 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,758.74339.5%17 W · 26 L-4.0wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-22.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xf5e1…5ad0backed Under47c15,000$7,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,1008946.1%41 W · 48 L-4.8wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-6.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc49f…9e05backed Over52c14,121$7,325 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,796.3610441.3%43 W · 61 L-8.7wins-0.08per pick50cpaid-18.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x97e1…017bbacked Under48c11,111$5,333 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,333.2813154.2%71 W · 60 L+9.4wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+13.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x30a4…8441backed Under49c5,050$2,473 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,473.2942246.2%195 W · 227 L-9.5wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-5.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x201c…58bfbacked Under45c5,000$2,250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,2505843.1%25 W · 33 L-3.6wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-16.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1867…92cabacked Over52c5,000$2,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,4005160.8%31 W · 20 L+6.9wins+0.14per pick47cpaid+32.5%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Over54c4,937$2,661 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,275.6912,42249.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L+118.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf1ef…8cd6backed Under48c4,000$1,920 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,92017050.6%86 W · 84 L+4.9wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+6.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9870…b9d3backed Under49c3,083$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,50021248.1%102 W · 110 L-4.4wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Under48c2,448$1,174 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,174.165,94649.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L+163.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-0.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x162f…585abacked Over52c2,022$1,057 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$965.316445.3%29 W · 35 L-4.5wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-12.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x7234…1d85backed Under46c2,000$920 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$919.9112358.5%72 W · 51 L+10.3wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+16.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x7deb…2682backed Over54c1,853$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$852.646544.6%29 W · 36 L-5.3wins-0.08per pick53cpaid-16.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x8738…222bbacked Under49c1,543$750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75025556.1%143 W · 112 L+12.4wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+8.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xadec…88fdbacked Under49c1,265$620 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$619.856144.3%27 W · 34 L-4.8wins-0.08per pick52cpaid-14.9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xbce5…02f1backed Under48c1,000$480 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4802850%14 W · 14 L-0.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid-5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xda12…38d6backed Over52c989.69$517 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$472.972948.3%14 W · 15 L-1.2wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-7.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5e82…7670backed Under51c870.83$443 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44318650%93 W · 93 L+2.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf5a7…63e7backed Under48c800$384 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38455749.2%274 W · 283 L-7.4wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Under49c586$287 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$287.141,43647.5%682 W · 754 L-18.2wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Over52c579.96$302 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$278.381,63347.3%773 W · 860 L+25.5wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over55c431$236 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$194.855,55347.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L+26.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-3.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x40da…0b85backed Under48c414.59$199 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19913444%59 W · 75 L-2.7wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-5.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under47c404.89$192 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$191.892,89650%1,448 W · 1,448 L+71.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf09f…8049backed Under45c400$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$180520%1 W · 4 L-1.4wins-0.27per pick47cpaid-54.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x15f9…607ebacked Under47c394$185 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$185.1832146.7%150 W · 171 L-10.8wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-6.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x46b4…57ffbacked Over52c381.1$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$181.483941%16 W · 23 L-4.5wins-0.12per pick53cpaid-21.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x5e57…2bf6backed Under49c371.8$182 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$182.18837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.8wins-0.10per pick47cpaid-23.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Under47c368$173 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$172.653,90558.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L+165.3wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+4.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1db3…ada1backed Under46c363$168 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$168.0835050.3%176 W · 174 L+0.9wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7ec5…65ecbacked Under48c357.72$172 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$171.712839.3%11 W · 17 L-2.9wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-21.5%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xd0ad…fb30backed Over52c344.03$180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$164.251637.5%6 W · 10 L-2.4wins-0.15per pick53cpaid-27.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x6f0f…956fbacked Under48c298.24$144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$144.1690%0 W · 9 L-4.6wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight35-0.14 edge/pick
0x8bb6…735cbacked Over52c296.97$155 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$141.924344.2%19 W · 24 L-3.2wins-0.08per pick52cpaid-15.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xb0a0…d84fbacked Under49c287.49$141 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$140.626144.3%27 W · 34 L-4.1wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-13.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd7e7…fef1backed Under49c285.43$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$139.596238.7%24 W · 38 L-7.4wins-0.12per pick51cpaid-23.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xf2d9…0092backed Over52c277.05$145 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$132.299440.4%38 W · 56 L-9.7wins-0.10per pick51cpaid-20.7%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x8f19…b0cabacked Over56c249.11$139 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$109.611464.3%9 W · 5 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick61cpaid+6.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd4e2…0f82backed Over49c239.18$117 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$121.986149.2%30 W · 31 L+6.4wins+0.11per pick39cpaid+26.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xef2e…8d89backed Over55c236.36$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.3649849.6%247 W · 251 L-3.9wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9277…2aedbacked Under48c211.99$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.761450%7 W · 7 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa33c…1b33backed Over52c204.82$106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.425444.4%24 W · 30 L-3.9wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-13.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x3fbc…9cf6backed Under49c204.08$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10050546.9%237 W · 268 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x10b0…8525backed Under47c200$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9414151.1%72 W · 69 L+3.5wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+6.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdc86…7e77backed Under49c200$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9819848%95 W · 103 L-4.8wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-6.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x70b2…1950backed Over52c191.99$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.737450%37 W · 37 L-2.8wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-6.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0157…340fbacked Over52c157.49$83 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.983246.9%15 W · 17 L-2.0wins-0.06per pick53cpaid-9.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x04b7…7491backed Over53c157$83 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.792450%12 W · 12 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5084…40a4backed Over53c143.1$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.842748.1%13 W · 14 L-1.4wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-9.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7e18…e68bbacked Under48c136.8$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.661442.9%6 W · 8 L-0.8wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-13%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4d81…20c3backed Over56c133.93$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.931668.8%11 W · 5 L+2.9wins+0.18per pick50cpaid+32.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xd730…1948backed Under50c132.49$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.0319653.1%104 W · 92 L+6.7wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+6.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3dcf…4eb4backed Under48c130.39$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.699945.5%45 W · 54 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3951…c5b2backed Under49c128.18$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.813240.6%13 W · 19 L-2.9wins-0.09per pick50cpaid-17.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x6299…dd7dbacked Over52c121.45$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.143043.3%13 W · 17 L-3.0wins-0.10per pick53cpaid-18.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x0f31…e308backed Under46c108.7$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502075%15 W · 5 L+5.0wins+0.25per pick50cpaid+51.3%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x92bf…0f9bbacked Over52c106.52$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.884146.3%19 W · 22 L-2.5wins-0.06per pick53cpaid-11.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8123…268cbacked Under48c104.17$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501250%6 W · 6 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-8.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5976…b3d4backed Under49c102.05$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$509051.1%46 W · 44 L+4.9wins+0.05per pick46cpaid+14.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8b17…a150backed Over53c101.51$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.171384.6%11 W · 2 L+4.1wins+0.32per pick53cpaid+60.1%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x65b3…7fc9backed Under48c100.39$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.1712341.5%51 W · 72 L-7.5wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-16.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xfb95…a5ccbacked Under45c99.99$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$456159%36 W · 25 L+5.9wins+0.10per pick49cpaid+20.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x05f9…f351backed Over52c95$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.298547.1%40 W · 45 L-4.6wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-9.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8155…eb2cbacked Over52c89.05$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.73348.5%16 W · 17 L-1.4wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-7.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xda75…bbf9backed Under48c83.33$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4023754.9%130 W · 107 L+4.7wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+4.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6008…a80bbacked Over48c83.33$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.334,55250.1%2,279 W · 2,273 L-36.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf710…edc9backed Under49c75$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.751560%9 W · 6 L+1.8wins+0.12per pick48cpaid+75.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xed85…bfacbacked Under50c66.25$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$337846.2%36 W · 42 L-2.6wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-7.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x455b…2d47backed Over52c66.02$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.691952.6%10 W · 9 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+5.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9cf8…11b2backed Over53c64.49$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.61145.5%5 W · 6 L-0.9wins-0.08per pick54cpaid-13.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xec71…70ebbacked Over53c62.26$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.261957.9%11 W · 8 L+1.1wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+8.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdc0f…bbfebacked Under46c60$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.66653%35 W · 31 L+0.2wins0.00per pick53cpaid+2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x90bb…1bdbbacked Over52c57.12$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.42450%2 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.10per pick40cpaid+79.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xee2e…819fbacked Under48c55.7$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.830%0 W · 3 L-1.6wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xb5a8…8a9dbacked Over52c55.61$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.697251.4%37 W · 35 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8214…ef72backed Under46c54.94$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.2719446.4%90 W · 104 L-3.6wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-9.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc079…8881backed Under48c50.49$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.246349.2%31 W · 32 L+1.9wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+9.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9c76…c926backed Under46c50$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2389146.2%412 W · 479 L+9.8wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc27f…12a9backed Under49c49$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.817252.8%38 W · 34 L+2.4wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+7.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x785f…e3d9backed Under49c47.14$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.8697447.9%467 W · 507 L-2.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x78f8…3fa1backed Under48c39.09$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.76633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.4wins-0.24per pick57cpaid-43.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa578…6702backed Over54c37$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.0278052.2%407 W · 373 L+19.1wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xbaf1…47a4backed Over57c35.09$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.09425%1 W · 3 L-1.2wins-0.30per pick55cpaid-56.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xaab3…35f3backed Under45c35$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.753860.5%23 W · 15 L+4.4wins+0.12per pick49cpaid+22.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x4008…2942backed Over51c34.94$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.122755.6%15 W · 12 L+1.3wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+8.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc0c2…b14dbacked Over53c33.45$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.851471.4%10 W · 4 L+2.6wins+0.18per pick53cpaid+36.3%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x50a3…0a78backed Under48c31.25$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1512054.2%65 W · 55 L+4.7wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+8.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7832…a994backed Under45c30$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.54868.8%33 W · 15 L+8.6wins+0.18per pick51cpaid+34%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.