Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Maryland Terrapins vs. Illinois Fighting Illini: O/U 149.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x67251570323c69a165b7b39865145ee81bb42df268f8d22efc1339ef5924b3a6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,044,656
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,045,630
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,044,656 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 106 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4924…3782backed Over | 52c | 632,830$331,777 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$301,052.74 | 359 | 45.1%162 W · 197 L | -24.4wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Under | 48c | 302,829$144,301 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144,301.22 | 98 | 60.2%59 W · 39 L | +9.9wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +23%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed Under | 48c | 250,000$119,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119,500 | 691 | 42.8%296 W · 395 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x006c…16eabacked Under | 47c | 158,522$74,505 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74,505.24 | 96 | 52.1%50 W · 46 L | +3.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x03e8…1697backed Over | 52c | 155,544$81,573 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73,971.29 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -3.5wins | -0.25per pick | 46cpaid | -60.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9c16…09cbbacked Under | 48c | 100,000$48,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47,999.95 | 90 | 50%45 W · 45 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9267…0f9abacked Under | 47c | 80,000$37,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37,200 | 136 | 49.3%67 W · 69 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc65c…ea39backed Over | 52c | 73,000$37,960 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35,040 | 40 | 47.5%19 W · 21 L | -1.9wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed Over | 52c | 60,000$31,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28,800 | 44 | 54.5%24 W · 20 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Under | 48c | 60,000$28,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28,900 | 906 | 45.4%411 W · 495 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b47…d615backed Over | 54c | 29,000$15,660 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,340 | 740 | 51.5%381 W · 359 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea2b…1fc6backed Over | 52c | 18,242$9,484 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,758.7 | 43 | 39.5%17 W · 26 L | -4.0wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf5e1…5ad0backed Under | 47c | 15,000$7,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,100 | 89 | 46.1%41 W · 48 L | -4.8wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc49f…9e05backed Over | 52c | 14,121$7,325 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,796.36 | 104 | 41.3%43 W · 61 L | -8.7wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x97e1…017bbacked Under | 48c | 11,111$5,333 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,333.28 | 131 | 54.2%71 W · 60 L | +9.4wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x30a4…8441backed Under | 49c | 5,050$2,473 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,473.29 | 422 | 46.2%195 W · 227 L | -9.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x201c…58bfbacked Under | 45c | 5,000$2,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,250 | 58 | 43.1%25 W · 33 L | -3.6wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1867…92cabacked Over | 52c | 5,000$2,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,400 | 51 | 60.8%31 W · 20 L | +6.9wins | +0.14per pick | 47cpaid | +32.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 54c | 4,937$2,661 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,275.69 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ef…8cd6backed Under | 48c | 4,000$1,920 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,920 | 170 | 50.6%86 W · 84 L | +4.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9870…b9d3backed Under | 49c | 3,083$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 212 | 48.1%102 W · 110 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 48c | 2,448$1,174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,174.16 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x162f…585abacked Over | 52c | 2,022$1,057 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$965.31 | 64 | 45.3%29 W · 35 L | -4.5wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7234…1d85backed Under | 46c | 2,000$920 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$919.91 | 123 | 58.5%72 W · 51 L | +10.3wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7deb…2682backed Over | 54c | 1,853$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$852.64 | 65 | 44.6%29 W · 36 L | -5.3wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8738…222bbacked Under | 49c | 1,543$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$750 | 255 | 56.1%143 W · 112 L | +12.4wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xadec…88fdbacked Under | 49c | 1,265$620 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$619.85 | 61 | 44.3%27 W · 34 L | -4.8wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbce5…02f1backed Under | 48c | 1,000$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda12…38d6backed Over | 52c | 989.69$517 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$472.97 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e82…7670backed Under | 51c | 870.83$443 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$443 | 186 | 50%93 W · 93 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5a7…63e7backed Under | 48c | 800$384 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$384 | 557 | 49.2%274 W · 283 L | -7.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Under | 49c | 586$287 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$287.14 | 1,436 | 47.5%682 W · 754 L | -18.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Over | 52c | 579.96$302 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$278.38 | 1,633 | 47.3%773 W · 860 L | +25.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 55c | 431$236 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.85 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x40da…0b85backed Under | 48c | 414.59$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199 | 134 | 44%59 W · 75 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under | 47c | 404.89$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.89 | 2,896 | 50%1,448 W · 1,448 L | +71.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf09f…8049backed Under | 45c | 400$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.27per pick | 47cpaid | -54.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x15f9…607ebacked Under | 47c | 394$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185.18 | 321 | 46.7%150 W · 171 L | -10.8wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x46b4…57ffbacked Over | 52c | 381.1$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$181.48 | 39 | 41%16 W · 23 L | -4.5wins | -0.12per pick | 53cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5e57…2bf6backed Under | 49c | 371.8$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.18 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Under | 47c | 368$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.65 | 3,905 | 58.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L | +165.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1db3…ada1backed Under | 46c | 363$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.08 | 350 | 50.3%176 W · 174 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ec5…65ecbacked Under | 48c | 357.72$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.71 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | -2.9wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd0ad…fb30backed Over | 52c | 344.03$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.25 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -2.4wins | -0.15per pick | 53cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6f0f…956fbacked Under | 48c | 298.24$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.16 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -4.6wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 35-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x8bb6…735cbacked Over | 52c | 296.97$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.92 | 43 | 44.2%19 W · 24 L | -3.2wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb0a0…d84fbacked Under | 49c | 287.49$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.62 | 61 | 44.3%27 W · 34 L | -4.1wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd7e7…fef1backed Under | 49c | 285.43$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.59 | 62 | 38.7%24 W · 38 L | -7.4wins | -0.12per pick | 51cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf2d9…0092backed Over | 52c | 277.05$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.29 | 94 | 40.4%38 W · 56 L | -9.7wins | -0.10per pick | 51cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8f19…b0cabacked Over | 56c | 249.11$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.61 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd4e2…0f82backed Over | 49c | 239.18$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.98 | 61 | 49.2%30 W · 31 L | +6.4wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +26.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xef2e…8d89backed Over | 55c | 236.36$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.36 | 498 | 49.6%247 W · 251 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9277…2aedbacked Under | 48c | 211.99$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.76 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa33c…1b33backed Over | 52c | 204.82$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.42 | 54 | 44.4%24 W · 30 L | -3.9wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3fbc…9cf6backed Under | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 505 | 46.9%237 W · 268 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Under | 47c | 200$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94 | 141 | 51.1%72 W · 69 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc86…7e77backed Under | 49c | 200$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 198 | 48%95 W · 103 L | -4.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x70b2…1950backed Over | 52c | 191.99$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.73 | 74 | 50%37 W · 37 L | -2.8wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0157…340fbacked Over | 52c | 157.49$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.98 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | -2.0wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x04b7…7491backed Over | 53c | 157$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.79 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5084…40a4backed Over | 53c | 143.1$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.84 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7e18…e68bbacked Under | 48c | 136.8$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.66 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -13%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d81…20c3backed Over | 56c | 133.93$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.93 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +2.9wins | +0.18per pick | 50cpaid | +32.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd730…1948backed Under | 50c | 132.49$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.03 | 196 | 53.1%104 W · 92 L | +6.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3dcf…4eb4backed Under | 48c | 130.39$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.69 | 99 | 45.5%45 W · 54 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3951…c5b2backed Under | 49c | 128.18$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.81 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | -2.9wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6299…dd7dbacked Over | 52c | 121.45$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.14 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | -3.0wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0f31…e308backed Under | 46c | 108.7$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 20 | 75%15 W · 5 L | +5.0wins | +0.25per pick | 50cpaid | +51.3%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x92bf…0f9bbacked Over | 52c | 106.52$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.88 | 41 | 46.3%19 W · 22 L | -2.5wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8123…268cbacked Under | 48c | 104.17$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5976…b3d4backed Under | 49c | 102.05$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 90 | 51.1%46 W · 44 L | +4.9wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8b17…a150backed Over | 53c | 101.51$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.17 | 13 | 84.6%11 W · 2 L | +4.1wins | +0.32per pick | 53cpaid | +60.1%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x65b3…7fc9backed Under | 48c | 100.39$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.17 | 123 | 41.5%51 W · 72 L | -7.5wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfb95…a5ccbacked Under | 45c | 99.99$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 61 | 59%36 W · 25 L | +5.9wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x05f9…f351backed Over | 52c | 95$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.29 | 85 | 47.1%40 W · 45 L | -4.6wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8155…eb2cbacked Over | 52c | 89.05$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.7 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda75…bbf9backed Under | 48c | 83.33$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 237 | 54.9%130 W · 107 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Over | 48c | 83.33$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.33 | 4,552 | 50.1%2,279 W · 2,273 L | -36.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf710…edc9backed Under | 49c | 75$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.75 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +1.8wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +75.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xed85…bfacbacked Under | 50c | 66.25$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 78 | 46.2%36 W · 42 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x455b…2d47backed Over | 52c | 66.02$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.69 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cf8…11b2backed Over | 53c | 64.49$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.6 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec71…70ebbacked Over | 53c | 62.26$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.26 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +1.1wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc0f…bbfebacked Under | 46c | 60$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.6 | 66 | 53%35 W · 31 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x90bb…1bdbbacked Over | 52c | 57.12$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.42 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +79.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee2e…819fbacked Under | 48c | 55.7$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.8 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.6wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb5a8…8a9dbacked Over | 52c | 55.61$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.69 | 72 | 51.4%37 W · 35 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8214…ef72backed Under | 46c | 54.94$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.27 | 194 | 46.4%90 W · 104 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc079…8881backed Under | 48c | 50.49$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.24 | 63 | 49.2%31 W · 32 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Under | 46c | 50$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 891 | 46.2%412 W · 479 L | +9.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc27f…12a9backed Under | 49c | 49$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.81 | 72 | 52.8%38 W · 34 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x785f…e3d9backed Under | 49c | 47.14$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.86 | 974 | 47.9%467 W · 507 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x78f8…3fa1backed Under | 48c | 39.09$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.76 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.24per pick | 57cpaid | -43.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Over | 54c | 37$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.02 | 780 | 52.2%407 W · 373 L | +19.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbaf1…47a4backed Over | 57c | 35.09$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.09 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.30per pick | 55cpaid | -56.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaab3…35f3backed Under | 45c | 35$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.75 | 38 | 60.5%23 W · 15 L | +4.4wins | +0.12per pick | 49cpaid | +22.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4008…2942backed Over | 51c | 34.94$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.12 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc0c2…b14dbacked Over | 53c | 33.45$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.85 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +2.6wins | +0.18per pick | 53cpaid | +36.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x50a3…0a78backed Under | 48c | 31.25$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 120 | 54.2%65 W · 55 L | +4.7wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7832…a994backed Under | 45c | 30$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 48 | 68.8%33 W · 15 L | +8.6wins | +0.18per pick | 51cpaid | +34%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Maryland Terrapins vs. Illinois Fighting Illini: O/U 149.5this page
- Maryland Terrapins vs. Illinois Fighting IlliniIllinois Fighting Illini won
- Maryland Terrapins vs. Illinois Fighting Illini: O/U 148.5Over won
- Spread: Illinois Fighting Illini (-18.5)Illinois Fighting Illini won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.