TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Ncaa Basketball · resolved market

San Diego State Aztecs vs. Grand Canyon Antelopes: O/U 143.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$666,005
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$665,030

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $666,005 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 93 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x4924…3782backed Over56c584,887$324,945 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$324,944.8135945.1%162 W · 197 L-24.4wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-13.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x6a72…33eebacked Under45c150,000$67,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82,50021754.8%119 W · 98 L+15.3wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+15.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xe90b…5da2backed Under45c147,000$66,150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80,849.9769142.8%296 W · 395 L+4.8wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-4.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x20d6…3856backed Under44c140,168$61,839 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78,329.1121262.3%132 W · 80 L+34.7wins+0.16per pick46cpaid+37%equal weight66+0.15 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Under43c72,624$31,252 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41,371.7790645.4%411 W · 495 L+9.9wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x163e…dc5bbacked Under49c30,400$15,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15,399.7212754.3%69 W · 58 L+4.1wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe20a…e469backed Under44c24,809$10,916 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13,892.889860.2%59 W · 39 L+9.9wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+23%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Under44c17,998$7,945 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,053.2512,42249.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L+118.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Under46c16,178$7,394 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,784.425,94649.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L+163.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-0.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc49f…9e05backed Over55c13,300$7,315 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,31510441.3%43 W · 61 L-8.7wins-0.08per pick50cpaid-18.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x97e1…017bbacked Under45c11,229$5,053 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,175.7913154.2%71 W · 60 L+9.4wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+13.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x30a4…8441backed Under44c5,000$2,190 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,81042246.2%195 W · 227 L-9.5wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-5.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x19ed…6dc8backed Under48c5,000$2,396 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,603.848747.1%41 W · 46 L-2.0wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xabf5…cfebbacked Under45c4,000$1,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,20011555.7%64 W · 51 L+8.1wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+16.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x9870…b9d3backed Under47c3,191$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,691.4921248.1%102 W · 110 L-4.4wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x24d3…30abbacked Under45c3,000$1,350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,65016954.4%92 W · 77 L+8.7wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+11.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf1ef…8cd6backed Under45c3,000$1,350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,65017050.6%86 W · 84 L+4.9wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+6.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7b47…d615backed Over53c2,808$1,498 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,498.274051.5%381 W · 359 L+5.6wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x162f…585abacked Over55c1,995$1,097 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,097.256445.3%29 W · 35 L-4.5wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-12.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc5b5…7e80backed Under12c1,759$209 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,549.852,00353.7%1,076 W · 927 L+101.7wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+2.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x8738…222bbacked Under44c1,136$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$636.3625556.1%143 W · 112 L+12.4wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+8.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xadec…88fdbacked Over55c1,125$619 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$618.756144.3%27 W · 34 L-4.8wins-0.08per pick52cpaid-14.9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over51c1,011$518 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$517.751,91049.6%947 W · 963 L+30.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under43c887.03$385 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$501.912,89650%1,448 W · 1,448 L+71.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1f3f…5878backed Under44c850$371 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$479.526740.8%109 W · 158 L+4.9wins+0.02per pick39cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Under44c735$323 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$411.61,43647.5%682 W · 754 L-18.2wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd51b…9606backed Over49c558.15$276 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$275.6613851.4%71 W · 67 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+5.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6b3a…2841backed Under45c500$225 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27582048.2%395 W · 425 L+6.5wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe975…9d22backed Under51c434.78$220 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$214.785959.3%35 W · 24 L+3.0wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+12.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5e82…7670backed Over52c432.69$225 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22518650%93 W · 93 L+2.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd0ad…fb30backed Over55c424.09$233 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$233.251637.5%6 W · 10 L-2.4wins-0.15per pick53cpaid-27.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x6dbc…18a0backed Under49c408.16$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$208.164656.5%26 W · 20 L+3.8wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+21.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x1400…007fbacked Under45c404.44$182 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$222.441100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.55per pick45cpaid+122.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5773…ac11backed Under46c400$184 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2167038.6%27 W · 43 L-4.5wins-0.06per pick45cpaid-13.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x5995…3385backed Under40c390.86$155 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$235.645151%26 W · 25 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x46b4…57ffbacked Over55c389.02$215 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$215.33941%16 W · 23 L-4.5wins-0.12per pick53cpaid-21.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x8bb6…735cbacked Over55c299.24$165 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$164.584344.2%19 W · 24 L-3.2wins-0.08per pick52cpaid-15.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x4338…648ebacked Over55c272.73$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1501428.6%4 W · 10 L-4.1wins-0.30per pick58cpaid-51.9%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x79fd…78cebacked Over69c228.08$158 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$157.81933.3%3 W · 6 L-2.9wins-0.33per pick66cpaid-39.4%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Under62c218.63$135 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.713,68442.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L+32.6wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-5.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xed2c…9597backed Under44c206.25$91 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$115.539744.8%178 W · 219 L+9.4wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+1.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb7cf…058dbacked Under46c202.02$92 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$109.691520%3 W · 12 L-4.6wins-0.30per pick50cpaid-58.5%equal weight37-0.11 edge/pick
0x7386…b6b0backed Over56c201.79$113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11310%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.56per pick56cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcfca…68fcbacked Under45c200$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11038645.9%177 W · 209 L+11.4wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+3.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe864…ce58backed Over30c200$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6018048.9%88 W · 92 L+3.6wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+7.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xaa05…69e3backed Under26c199.97$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$146.981346.2%6 W · 7 L+0.9wins+0.07per pick39cpaid+7.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x664b…00b3backed Under47c182.45$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.711159.5%66 W · 45 L+10.7wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+18.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x70b2…1950backed Over55c175.43$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.497450%37 W · 37 L-2.8wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-6.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd730…1948backed Under46c154.53$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.8619653.1%104 W · 92 L+6.7wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+6.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x53cd…f23ebacked Under49c150$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.58750.6%44 W · 43 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdc86…7e77backed Under55c149.99$82 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.519848%95 W · 103 L-4.8wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-6.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf13b…9ef9backed Under47c143.62$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.1219657.1%112 W · 84 L+14.9wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+15.8%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x71b1…ac2cbacked Under29c137.24$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.14942.9%21 W · 28 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-10.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8155…eb2cbacked Over55c115.91$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.753348.5%16 W · 17 L-1.4wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-7.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3f0f…68f6backed Over55c115.51$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.531233.3%4 W · 8 L-2.5wins-0.21per pick54cpaid-36.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x1b46…944cbacked Under47c106.38$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.3818656.5%105 W · 81 L+12.2wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+13.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x1db9…a43bbacked Over50c100$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501361.5%8 W · 5 L+1.6wins+0.13per pick49cpaid+29.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x92bf…0f9bbacked Over55c99.75$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.864146.3%19 W · 22 L-2.5wins-0.06per pick53cpaid-11.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x79df…277ebacked Under44c90.91$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.916154.1%33 W · 28 L+2.4wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+6.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa33c…1b33backed Over53c90.9$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.185444.4%24 W · 30 L-3.9wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-13.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over63c81.94$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.335,55347.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L+26.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-3.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xc8b4…f05dbacked Over53c76.28$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.437237.5%27 W · 45 L-6.8wins-0.09per pick47cpaid-26%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xef0f…34c7backed Over72c69.16$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.810%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.72per pick72cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa63c…b262backed Under44c68.18$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.18366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.17per pick50cpaid+37.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa973…ed68backed Over75c66.4$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.8560%3 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.17per pick77cpaid-22.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2b15…fa73backed Under38c66$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.9238351.7%198 W · 185 L+0.9wins0.00per pick51cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xed85…bfacbacked Under48c65.86$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.247846.2%36 W · 42 L-2.6wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-7.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0bdf…7f09backed Under47c55.45$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.3911858.5%69 W · 49 L+9.9wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+16.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x0157…340fbacked Over55c54.55$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$303246.9%15 W · 17 L-2.0wins-0.06per pick53cpaid-9.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x187b…f545backed Under45c54.54$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3010049%49 W · 51 L+2.3wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-2.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x78d9…70f6backed Over55c54.54$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$304746.8%22 W · 25 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-8.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x65b3…7fc9backed Under45c53.4$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.3712341.5%51 W · 72 L-7.5wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-16.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x6680…c738backed Under28c53.16$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.28475%3 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.17per pick58cpaid+67.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc54f…dce8backed Under25c50$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.564322.9%147 W · 496 L-17.1wins-0.03per pick26cpaid-27.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x38bb…49f0backed Under32c50$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$341100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.68per pick32cpaid+212.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2e19…9bdfbacked Under45c47.24$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.98862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.8wins+0.09per pick53cpaid+25.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x50a3…0a78backed Under46c44.85$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.2312054.2%65 W · 55 L+4.7wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+8.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xbda3…ef65backed Under46c40$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.662753%332 W · 295 L+13.4wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd8ea…3b34backed Under50c40$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$201100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed Over50c40$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202,01250%1,006 W · 1,006 L+22.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x785f…e3d9backed Over54c38.17$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.6897447.9%467 W · 507 L-2.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x239b…f8bfbacked Under46c33$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.8731666.1%209 W · 107 L+24.8wins+0.08per pick58cpaid+12.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x865a…901bbacked Under45c30$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.512560%75 W · 50 L+12.0wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+18.9%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x5ef0…7adebacked Under51c29.41$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.417361.6%45 W · 28 L+4.3wins+0.06per pick56cpaid+7.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5084…40a4backed Over55c29.39$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.162748.1%13 W · 14 L-1.4wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-9.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked Over75c29$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.751,95145.1%880 W · 1,071 L-19.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-16.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1182…3751backed Under46c28.82$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.55549.1%27 W · 28 L-0.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfdd5…9138backed Under43c25$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.25366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.20per pick47cpaid+45.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x051b…09d4backed Over57c24.56$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1420051.5%103 W · 97 L-0.4wins0.00per pick52cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9cf8…11b2backed Over55c19.95$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.971145.5%5 W · 6 L-0.9wins-0.08per pick54cpaid-13.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0a8e…05a4backed Over55c19.95$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.97650%3 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-1.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x6e92…18c4backed Over55c19.95$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.972626.9%7 W · 19 L-6.7wins-0.26per pick53cpaid-49.2%equal weight35-0.13 edge/pick
0x727d…1589backed Over60c16.71$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.038140.7%33 W · 48 L-5.8wins-0.07per pick48cpaid-28.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.