TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Ncaa Basketball · resolved market

Spread: Delaware State Hornets (-3.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Morgan State Bearsof Delaware State Hornets, Morgan State Bears
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$638,355
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$639,614

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $638,355 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 83 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x4924…3782backed Morgan State Bears51c454,950$230,761 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$224,188.5435945.1%162 W · 197 L-24.4wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-13.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x006c…16eabacked Delaware State Hornets49c200,182$98,089 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98,089.379652.1%50 W · 46 L+3.9wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+7.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6a72…33eebacked Morgan State Bears52c158,971$83,291 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75,679.3821754.8%119 W · 98 L+15.3wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+15.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xe90b…5da2backed Delaware State Hornets50c143,692$71,846 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71,845.8869142.8%296 W · 395 L+4.8wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-4.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9267…0f9abacked Delaware State Hornets48c100,000$47,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47,50013649.3%67 W · 69 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Delaware State Hornets49c67,500$32,750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32,75090645.4%411 W · 495 L+9.9wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc350…3669backed Delaware State Hornets48c30,000$14,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14,4004050%20 W · 20 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+4.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4337…8882backed Delaware State Hornets48c18,888$9,066 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,066.2410045%45 W · 55 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-4.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x97e1…017bbacked Delaware State Hornets49c12,222$5,989 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,988.7813154.2%71 W · 60 L+9.4wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+13.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x20d6…3856backed Delaware State Hornets48c11,603$5,557 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,557.2921262.3%132 W · 80 L+34.7wins+0.16per pick46cpaid+37%equal weight66+0.15 edge/pick
0xcb43…3c74backed Delaware State Hornets50c8,666$4,304 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,304.4528539.6%113 W · 172 L-14.4wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-11.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Delaware State Hornets49c6,866$3,343 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,343.195,94649.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L+163.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-0.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Delaware State Hornets47c6,050$2,869 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,868.814,84852.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L+139.2wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Delaware State Hornets47c4,255$1,992 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,992.0412,42249.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L+118.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x30a4…8441backed Delaware State Hornets48c4,000$1,920 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,92042246.2%195 W · 227 L-9.5wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-5.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5e5b…5950backed Morgan State Bears54c3,747$2,035 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,711.835759.6%34 W · 23 L+5.2wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+18.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Delaware State Hornets48c2,888$1,391 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,391.331,63347.3%773 W · 860 L+25.5wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x24d3…30abbacked Morgan State Bears53c2,468$1,299 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,169.3816954.4%92 W · 77 L+8.7wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+11.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8738…222bbacked Morgan State Bears56c1,798$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$798.0525556.1%143 W · 112 L+12.4wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+8.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf588…2b81backed Delaware State Hornets49c1,382$670 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$670.452,12450.4%1,070 W · 1,054 L+40.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+0.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa965…3565backed Delaware State Hornets45c1,000$450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45049746.5%231 W · 266 L+0.2wins0.00per pick46cpaid+2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Delaware State Hornets44c715$315 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$314.62,89650%1,448 W · 1,448 L+71.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2e00…eb46backed Delaware State Hornets48c596.52$286 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$286.333627.8%10 W · 26 L-6.6wins-0.18per pick46cpaid-37.5%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0xea81…eeaebacked Delaware State Hornets47c500$235 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2351,22727.8%341 W · 886 L-0.9wins0.00per pick28cpaid-10.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd1a8…1b66backed Delaware State Hornets50c398$199 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19921050%105 W · 105 L+0.8wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd51b…9606backed Morgan State Bears54c369.99$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$170.213851.4%71 W · 67 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+5.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9870…b9d3backed Delaware State Hornets50c310.05$155 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$155.0221248.1%102 W · 110 L-4.4wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed Delaware State Hornets50c288.81$144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$144.411,29645.1%584 W · 712 L-23.9wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Delaware State Hornets37c259$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.542,25442.2%951 W · 1,303 L+3.4wins0.00per pick42cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb9fc…da76backed Delaware State Hornets47c249.99$117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$117.540147.6%191 W · 210 L+7.6wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+2.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x187b…f545backed Morgan State Bears53c215.25$113 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.8510049%49 W · 51 L+2.3wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-2.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9c76…c926backed Delaware State Hornets48c205$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.9589146.2%412 W · 479 L+9.8wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbfd6…ab3dbacked Delaware State Hornets50c200$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001,48743%639 W · 848 L+50.8wins+0.03per pick40cpaid+11.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x664b…00b3backed Morgan State Bears53c192.31$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90.3911159.5%66 W · 45 L+10.7wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+18.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x49a9…ea7ebacked Morgan State Bears52c185.41$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$892035%7 W · 13 L-2.6wins-0.13per pick48cpaid-29.5%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x9f3e…380cbacked Morgan State Bears56c178.57$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.573554.3%19 W · 16 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf13b…9ef9backed Morgan State Bears53c157.15$83 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.8619657.1%112 W · 84 L+14.9wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+15.8%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x0f18…c9fdbacked Delaware State Hornets50c146$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$735743.9%25 W · 32 L-2.1wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-8.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7e18…e68bbacked Delaware State Hornets48c145.56$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.871442.9%6 W · 8 L-0.8wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-13%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Delaware State Hornets48c121.82$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.473,68442.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L+32.6wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-5.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa966…208bbacked Morgan State Bears54c111.11$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.1115156.3%85 W · 66 L+8.6wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+9.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x4d48…48e0backed Morgan State Bears53c102.18$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.0318046.7%84 W · 96 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-5.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4f91…8065backed Delaware State Hornets52c100.48$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.23161.3%19 W · 12 L+4.0wins+0.13per pick48cpaid+22.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x1db9…a43bbacked Morgan State Bears50c100$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$501361.5%8 W · 5 L+1.6wins+0.13per pick49cpaid+29.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe88b…fa5abacked Delaware State Hornets47c99.9$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.9534649.1%170 W · 176 L+9.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1b46…944cbacked Morgan State Bears53c94.34$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.3418656.5%105 W · 81 L+12.2wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+13.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xb0a0…d84fbacked Delaware State Hornets50c82.7$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.356144.3%27 W · 34 L-4.1wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-13.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xc27f…12a9backed Delaware State Hornets49c80$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.87252.8%38 W · 34 L+2.4wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+7.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x04b4…8d0bbacked Morgan State Bears51c78.43$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.439045.6%41 W · 49 L-4.3wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-12.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9aea…5590backed Morgan State Bears53c76.84$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.1115844.3%70 W · 88 L-6.5wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-10.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd7e7…fef1backed Delaware State Hornets50c73.02$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.516238.7%24 W · 38 L-7.4wins-0.12per pick51cpaid-23.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x3a51…b2b6backed Morgan State Bears56c70$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.817258.7%101 W · 71 L+14.3wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+14.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x755a…6da6backed Delaware State Hornets47c63.83$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3053635.6%191 W · 345 L+10.0wins+0.02per pick34cpaid+8.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x985e…6894backed Delaware State Hornets48c62.4$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.953161.3%19 W · 12 L+3.9wins+0.12per pick49cpaid+23.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xbda3…ef65backed Morgan State Bears53c60$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.262753%332 W · 295 L+13.4wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa26f…4b98backed Morgan State Bears51c58.82$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.822759.3%16 W · 11 L+2.0wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+13.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2905…18a9backed Morgan State Bears51c52.98$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.964955.1%27 W · 22 L+2.3wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+6.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xed85…bfacbacked Delaware State Hornets53c50.43$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.737846.2%36 W · 42 L-2.6wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-7.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1c8c…237dbacked Morgan State Bears49c48$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.4817546.3%81 W · 94 L-2.8wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-9.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x7ba0…a6afbacked Morgan State Bears53c47.17$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.173100%3 W · 0 L+1.3wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+73.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7fff…665bbacked Delaware State Hornets48c45.83$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$221729.4%5 W · 12 L-4.1wins-0.24per pick53cpaid-44.5%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x7dec…61b7backed Delaware State Hornets46c43.48$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203145.2%14 W · 17 L-1.8wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-10.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xbab6…f845backed Morgan State Bears52c41.65$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.993554.3%19 W · 16 L+1.1wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+4.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfa15…95e3backed Delaware State Hornets49c40.78$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.985339.6%21 W · 32 L-5.8wins-0.11per pick51cpaid-24.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x2db9…846cbacked Delaware State Hornets50c40$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$205549.1%27 W · 28 L-3.3wins-0.06per pick55cpaid-14.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf861…1d14backed Morgan State Bears52c38.46$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.466755.2%37 W · 30 L+3.6wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+10.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4d85…2560backed Delaware State Hornets51c37.96$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.3618646.2%86 W · 100 L-5.4wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4ea3…9439backed Morgan State Bears53c36.42$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.121546.7%7 W · 8 L-0.8wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-10.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Delaware State Hornets48c30.73$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.754,38240.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L+23.7wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-6.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x08b6…7db6backed Delaware State Hornets53c30.04$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.9212245.9%56 W · 66 L-6.3wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-9.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x865a…901bbacked Morgan State Bears56c29.73$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.0812560%75 W · 50 L+12.0wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+18.9%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x6e92…18c4backed Delaware State Hornets51c29.23$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$152626.9%7 W · 19 L-6.7wins-0.26per pick53cpaid-49.2%equal weight35-0.13 edge/pick
0xe33c…6006backed Delaware State Hornets52c28.25$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.695648.2%27 W · 29 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-5.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x96d9…05d5backed Delaware State Hornets48c27.08$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1310058%58 W · 42 L+10.9wins+0.11per pick47cpaid+19%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xadca…58debacked Delaware State Hornets48c26.92$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.92944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.4wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-11.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0bdf…7f09backed Morgan State Bears53c26.4$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.4111858.5%69 W · 49 L+9.9wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+16.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Delaware State Hornets47c26.06$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.251,66736.4%607 W · 1,060 L-4.0wins0.00per pick37cpaid-7.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe4b7…793dbacked Morgan State Bears53c25$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.752850%14 W · 14 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd05a…bf53backed Morgan State Bears53c25$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.753339.4%13 W · 20 L-3.4wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-22.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xf389…e45dbacked Morgan State Bears52c24$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.525549.1%27 W · 28 L+0.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid+2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4ba2…8f7cbacked Delaware State Hornets48c21.7$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.427844.9%35 W · 43 L-3.1wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-8.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9e35…0dd5backed Delaware State Hornets52c19.41$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.042250%11 W · 11 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-7.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4f1a…26c0backed Morgan State Bears53c19.08$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.974645.7%21 W · 25 L-2.3wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-14.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.