Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Morgan State Bears vs. Delaware State Hornets
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x658c866522a0e310803bae1681b15e60f8852507fa13bfc0f524569f219bed80
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Morgan State Bearsof Morgan State Bears, Delaware State Hornets
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $14,460
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $15,812
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $14,460 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 40 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Delaware State Hornets | 10c | 1,668$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.27 | 1,074 | 43.3%465 W · 609 L | +20.0wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb9fc…da76backed Delaware State Hornets | 59c | 1,570$926 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$926.3 | 401 | 47.6%191 W · 210 L | +7.6wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…1e15backed Morgan State Bears | 41c | 1,348$553 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$795.38 | 1,231 | 47%578 W · 653 L | -17.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Delaware State Hornets | 29c | 1,115$325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$325.03 | 2,254 | 42.2%951 W · 1,303 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Delaware State Hornets | 20c | 635.15$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.45 | 2,124 | 50.4%1,070 W · 1,054 L | +40.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Morgan State Bears | 62c | 519.95$324 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196.43 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0e89…2379backed Morgan State Bears | 79c | 504.75$397 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +79.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Delaware State Hornets | 18c | 374.6$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.26 | 4,382 | 40.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L | +23.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x55ac…9955backed Delaware State Hornets | 9c | 353.14$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.43 | 54 | 38.9%21 W · 33 L | +15.0wins | +0.28per pick | 11cpaid | +213.8%equal weight | 71+0.19 edge/pick |
| 0x40e2…b0a7backed Morgan State Bears | 71c | 313.36$222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.82 | 79 | 65.8%52 W · 27 L | +8.9wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 59+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4aef…08f5backed Delaware State Hornets | 4c | 300$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 21 | 14.3%3 W · 18 L | +1.7wins | +0.08per pick | 6cpaid | +95.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf971…0a57backed Delaware State Hornets | 20c | 300$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.15 | 69 | 40.6%28 W · 41 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7e80…f17abacked Delaware State Hornets | 5c | 300$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 160 | 8.1%13 W · 147 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 10cpaid | -42.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6479…5e64backed Morgan State Bears | 70c | 293.08$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.61 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.8wins | +0.16per pick | 47cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x79cb…331ebacked Delaware State Hornets | 5c | 285.97$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.45 | 399 | 3.3%13 W · 386 L | -21.0wins | -0.05per pick | 9cpaid | -89.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Morgan State Bears | 41c | 280.04$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.7 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Delaware State Hornets | 55c | 278.23$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.62 | 3,380 | 49.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L | +30.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3eb6…2abbbacked Delaware State Hornets | 9c | 219.91$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.8 | 70 | 17.1%12 W · 58 L | +5.7wins | +0.08per pick | 9cpaid | +32.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf5b3…7c36backed Delaware State Hornets | 15c | 200$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 60 | 16.7%10 W · 50 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 12cpaid | +44.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4116…555abacked Delaware State Hornets | 22c | 180.51$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -1.1wins | -0.06per pick | 34cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1c8c…237dbacked Delaware State Hornets | 21c | 175$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.25 | 175 | 46.3%81 W · 94 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc6e7…caa8backed Delaware State Hornets | 7c | 150$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 147 | 8.8%13 W · 134 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 7cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Morgan State Bears | 77c | 147.35$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.63 | 1,985 | 64.1%1,273 W · 712 L | +144.2wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbb2e…53ccbacked Morgan State Bears | 69c | 144.93$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.93 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 68cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Delaware State Hornets | 38c | 142.86$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.01 | 3,684 | 42.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L | +32.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Morgan State Bears | 40c | 101.14$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.68 | 1,633 | 47.3%773 W · 860 L | +25.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcdb8…abbebacked Delaware State Hornets | 23c | 101$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.21 | 1,983 | 26.4%523 W · 1,460 L | -55.5wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Morgan State Bears | 40c | 100$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 891 | 46.2%412 W · 479 L | +9.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3cf3…50d9backed Delaware State Hornets | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 40 | 42.5%17 W · 23 L | +2.9wins | +0.07per pick | 35cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3a8e…b505backed Delaware State Hornets | 57c | 82.56$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.38 | 480 | 51%245 W · 235 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Delaware State Hornets | 55c | 79.31$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.27 | 4,848 | 52.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L | +139.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8d84…6df0backed Morgan State Bears | 40c | 73.7$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.22 | 536 | 46.5%249 W · 287 L | -24.3wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcb43…3c74backed Morgan State Bears | 44c | 69.36$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.84 | 285 | 39.6%113 W · 172 L | -14.4wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Morgan State Bears | 37c | 67$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.06 | 2,579 | 47.3%1,221 W · 1,358 L | -42.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Morgan State Bears | 37c | 50$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.5 | 2,194 | 33.4%733 W · 1,461 L | +19.2wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed Morgan State Bears | 36c | 43.22$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.79 | 2,003 | 53.7%1,076 W · 927 L | +101.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed Delaware State Hornets | 26c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 1,003 | 55.3%555 W · 448 L | +46.5wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd13e…ca33backed Delaware State Hornets | 35c | 39.86$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.75 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8339…caa9backed Morgan State Bears | 78c | 25.64$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.64 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab37…2074backed Morgan State Bears | 69c | 19.13$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.93 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.23per pick | 73cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Morgan State Bears vs. Delaware State Hornetsthis page
- Spread: Delaware State Hornets (-3.5)Morgan State Bears won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.