TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Ncaa Basketball · resolved market

East Carolina Pirates vs. South Florida Bulls: O/U 156.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$883,343
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$886,455

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $883,343 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 100 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x4924…3782backed Over57c631,417$359,761 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$359,761.135945.1%162 W · 197 L-24.4wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-13.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x006c…16eabacked Under43c329,212$141,561 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$187,650.99652.1%50 W · 46 L+3.9wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+7.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6a72…33eebacked Under43c250,000$107,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$142,50021754.8%119 W · 98 L+15.3wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+15.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xb45a…192cbacked Over57c200,000$113,999 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$113,998.5989645.9%411 W · 485 L-0.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe90b…5da2backed Under43c191,002$82,131 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108,871.1569142.8%296 W · 395 L+4.8wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-4.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Under43c20,000$8,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,40090645.4%411 W · 495 L+9.9wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5e5b…5950backed Under46c11,531$5,321 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,209.615759.6%34 W · 23 L+5.2wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+18.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x7b47…d615backed Over52c9,648$4,982 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,982.1374051.5%381 W · 359 L+5.6wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdcfe…44b5backed Under43c6,425$2,763 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,662.023154.8%17 W · 14 L+1.4wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+7.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9870…b9d3backed Under45c5,556$2,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,055.5621248.1%102 W · 110 L-4.4wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xed2c…9597backed Under46c5,000$2,300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,70039744.8%178 W · 219 L+9.4wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+1.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4366…c73ebacked Under44c4,000$1,760 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,2407353.4%39 W · 34 L+3.6wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+10.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xabf5…cfebbacked Under43c3,000$1,290 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,71011555.7%64 W · 51 L+8.1wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+16.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xb2a4…cf8abacked Under45c2,641$1,188 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,452.345759.6%34 W · 23 L+4.7wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+22.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x30a4…8441backed Under43c2,000$860 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,14042246.2%195 W · 227 L-9.5wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-5.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x07bc…393abacked Under43c2,000$860 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,1408351.8%43 W · 40 L+3.1wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+7.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under48c1,678$797 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$880.952,89650%1,448 W · 1,448 L+71.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x033f…618ebacked Over59c1,347$800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$800.0927955.2%154 W · 125 L+22.0wins+0.08per pick47cpaid+22.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x9569…27fdbacked Under40c1,200$480 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7201782.4%14 W · 3 L+5.1wins+0.30per pick53cpaid+63.2%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0x19ed…6dc8backed Under45c1,047$471 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$575.598747.1%41 W · 46 L-2.0wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Under48c1,004$487 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$516.815,94649.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L+163.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-0.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2953…5344backed Under47c950$447 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$503.5683.3%5 W · 1 L+2.1wins+0.34per pick49cpaid+70.2%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xf5a7…63e7backed Under48c833.54$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$433.5455749.2%274 W · 283 L-7.4wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8738…222bbacked Under47c638.3$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$338.325556.1%143 W · 112 L+12.4wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+8.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4fb0…3182backed Under44c499.9$220 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$279.9441354%223 W · 190 L+13.3wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+6.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x38fc…33e2backed Under45c444.44$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$244.441471.4%10 W · 4 L+3.0wins+0.21per pick50cpaid+44.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x3759…6b3bbacked Under48c389.14$187 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$202.3510652.8%56 W · 50 L+5.4wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+2.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4d48…48e0backed Under44c387$170 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$216.7218046.7%84 W · 96 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-5.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Under45c336.83$153 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$184.2912,42249.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L+118.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7c1b…e0e5backed Under47c319.15$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$169.151163.6%7 W · 4 L+1.1wins+0.10per pick54cpaid+16.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3888…0755backed Under50c300$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1505147.1%24 W · 27 L+0.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid-5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x740b…1d47backed Under48c291.87$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$151.874045%18 W · 22 L-1.1wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-13.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x664b…00b3backed Under46c270.31$123 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$147.0111159.5%66 W · 45 L+10.7wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+18.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x4786…ff95backed Under47c257.21$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$137.219947.5%47 W · 52 L-5.4wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-8.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc8d9…df36backed Over57c246.76$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14014553.1%77 W · 68 L+9.2wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+14.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf13b…9ef9backed Under46c232.24$107 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$124.7519657.1%112 W · 84 L+14.9wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+15.8%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xe00f…c254backed Under46c232.24$107 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$124.759056.7%51 W · 39 L+6.4wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+13.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x3fbc…9cf6backed Under46c217.39$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.3950546.9%237 W · 268 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd51b…9606backed Under47c210$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$111.313851.4%71 W · 67 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+5.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7b28…66f0backed Under48c208.33$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.336346%29 W · 34 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+3.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed Under46c200$92 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10835243.2%152 W · 200 L-11.1wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-9.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under48c186$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.545,55347.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L+26.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-3.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xd4da…3175backed Over57c181$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103.1789850%449 W · 449 L+7.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid0%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xda75…bbf9backed Under45c155.56$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.5623754.9%130 W · 107 L+4.7wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+4.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Over55c153$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.183,68442.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L+32.6wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-5.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6fe0…323bbacked Under49c129.23$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.626450%32 W · 32 L+4.0wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+13%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Over52c126.7$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.894,84852.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L+139.2wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe008…8ff5backed Under44c126$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.884055%22 W · 18 L+3.8wins+0.09per pick46cpaid+13.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x08cf…f0ccbacked Under46c124.79$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.894360.5%26 W · 17 L+4.3wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+16.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x1b46…944cbacked Under46c119.81$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.8118656.5%105 W · 81 L+12.2wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+13.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xe5ea…52dbbacked Under47c113.9$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.893053.3%16 W · 14 L+1.3wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+5.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9a9a…989abacked Under48c104.17$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.173542.9%15 W · 20 L-2.8wins-0.08per pick51cpaid-15.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xed85…bfacbacked Under45c102.27$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.257846.2%36 W · 42 L-2.6wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-7.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9aea…5590backed Under44c101.12$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.6315844.3%70 W · 88 L-6.5wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-10.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3a51…b2b6backed Under48c100$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5217258.7%101 W · 71 L+14.3wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+14.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xf11e…eb4fbacked Under48c100$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$522343.5%10 W · 13 L-0.9wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-10.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8046…a845backed Under47c100$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5310047%47 W · 53 L+8.7wins+0.09per pick38cpaid+24%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x6d58…8accbacked Under47c99.99$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$534353.5%23 W · 20 L+1.6wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+7.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4d85…2560backed Under44c97.23$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.4518646.2%86 W · 100 L-5.4wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf861…1d14backed Under45c93.17$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.376755.2%37 W · 30 L+3.6wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+10.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1c3d…1321backed Under46c93.13$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.63650%3 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe7ea…066ebacked Under45c90$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.57957%45 W · 34 L+5.6wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+13.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe33c…6006backed Under45c88.89$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.895648.2%27 W · 29 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-5.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbc82…6421backed Under48c80$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.711147.7%53 W · 58 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-3.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x38da…bf9bbacked Under45c77.78$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.78475%3 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.23per pick52cpaid+46.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Under42c72.52$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.344,38240.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L+23.7wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-6.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xef34…86b2backed Under48c62.71$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.714047.5%19 W · 21 L+0.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid-4.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7216…0d67backed Over53c60$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.918241.2%75 W · 107 L-6.5wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-15.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x785f…e3d9backed Over57c52.41$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.0797447.9%467 W · 507 L-2.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x65b6…2108backed Under48c52.08$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.085650%28 W · 28 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfdc6…b20dbacked Under48c51.08$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.4734952.1%182 W · 167 L+9.4wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+5.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd13e…ca33backed Under48c50$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$262030%6 W · 14 L+0.9wins+0.05per pick25cpaid-12.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb0fd…e1f5backed Over55c50$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.51,16255.2%641 W · 521 L+25.2wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+4.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcfca…68fcbacked Under45c50$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.538645.9%177 W · 209 L+11.4wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+3.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfc8f…3782backed Over53c49.99$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.4966831.4%210 W · 458 L-43.1wins-0.06per pick38cpaid-23%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x2816…6ad7backed Under44c47.91$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.839257.6%53 W · 39 L+8.1wins+0.09per pick49cpaid+20.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x0bdf…7f09backed Under47c47.44$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.1111858.5%69 W · 49 L+9.9wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+16.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x6ae4…7c46backed Under43c46.04$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.2413350.4%67 W · 66 L+3.3wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa8f5…1caabacked Under46c46$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.871,12446.4%521 W · 603 L-25.0wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x865a…901bbacked Under47c45.65$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.1612560%75 W · 50 L+12.0wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+18.9%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xf429…969ebacked Under45c44.44$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.445731.6%18 W · 39 L-7.8wins-0.14per pick45cpaid-44%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xcefc…e5e8backed Under45c43.8$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.09742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-13.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x4f91…8065backed Under46c43.46$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.473161.3%19 W · 12 L+4.0wins+0.13per pick48cpaid+22.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x343b…d892backed Under47c42.55$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.55633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.11per pick44cpaid-29.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe85d…95d8backed Under47c42.14$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.144755.3%26 W · 21 L+1.3wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+6.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x756d…04a9backed Under47c42.11$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.521656.3%9 W · 7 L+1.2wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+22.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb545…6e0abacked Under50c40.18$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.091973.7%14 W · 5 L+5.4wins+0.28per pick46cpaid+56.7%equal weight64+0.12 edge/pick
0xbda3…ef65backed Under44c40$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.462753%332 W · 295 L+13.4wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb7e9…0f30backed Under46c40$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.6742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.10per pick53cpaid-13.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd902…d076backed Over54c38$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.335657.1%32 W · 24 L+4.5wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+13.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x6e92…18c4backed Under45c33.33$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.332626.9%7 W · 19 L-6.7wins-0.26per pick53cpaid-49.2%equal weight35-0.13 edge/pick
0x82d1…663fbacked Under46c32.4$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.41172.7%8 W · 3 L+2.6wins+0.23per pick49cpaid+50.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xc119…7d4dbacked Under47c31.91$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.918452.4%44 W · 40 L+3.3wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+6.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x57d5…0bbdbacked Over53c30.51$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.3257335.6%204 W · 369 L-27.3wins-0.05per pick40cpaid-20.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa966…208bbacked Under47c30$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.915156.3%85 W · 66 L+8.6wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+9.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x0e71…e9cbbacked Over56c27.42$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.36875%6 W · 2 L+2.0wins+0.25per pick50cpaid+51.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x6385…e191backed Under43c26.78$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.261533.3%5 W · 10 L-1.3wins-0.09per pick42cpaid-40.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x56d2…7afcbacked Under45c26.02$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.312948.3%14 W · 15 L-0.1wins0.00per pick48cpaid-5.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9c1e…302fbacked Under45c24.44$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.44580%4 W · 1 L+1.6wins+0.32per pick48cpaid+73.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xdfdc…0133backed Under48c22.2$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.62650%13 W · 13 L+0.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.