Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Spread: South Florida Bulls (-19.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x297705834d69bcd0bffad5ef710e779a186ec82dbaf359d41f6fa868931db8a0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- East Carolina Piratesof South Florida Bulls, East Carolina Pirates
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $669,344
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $669,358
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $669,344 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 22 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4924…3782backed South Florida Bulls | 51c | 666,568$340,548 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$340,548.11 | 359 | 45.1%162 W · 197 L | -24.4wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x006c…16eabacked East Carolina Pirates | 48c | 450,003$216,002 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234,001.65 | 96 | 52.1%50 W · 46 L | +3.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb45a…192cbacked East Carolina Pirates | 51c | 200,000$102,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98,000 | 896 | 45.9%411 W · 485 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x97e1…017bbacked East Carolina Pirates | 48c | 10,098$4,847 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,251.07 | 131 | 54.2%71 W · 60 L | +9.4wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked East Carolina Pirates | 49c | 4,033$1,973 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,059.36 | 4,848 | 52.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L | +139.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed East Carolina Pirates | 54c | 1,341$724 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$616.86 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea81…eeaebacked East Carolina Pirates | 50c | 600$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300 | 1,227 | 27.8%341 W · 886 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8289…2b2ebacked South Florida Bulls | 50c | 500$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 70 | 58.6%41 W · 29 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x740b…1d47backed East Carolina Pirates | 54c | 333.33$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.33 | 40 | 45%18 W · 22 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe025…102fbacked East Carolina Pirates | 50c | 199.62$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.62 | 195 | 55.4%108 W · 87 L | +14.4wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed East Carolina Pirates | 51c | 194.5$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.56 | 1,633 | 47.3%773 W · 860 L | +25.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked South Florida Bulls | 46c | 145.52$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.97 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8046…a845backed East Carolina Pirates | 49c | 100$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51 | 100 | 47%47 W · 53 L | +8.7wins | +0.09per pick | 38cpaid | +24%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x70b1…73b2backed East Carolina Pirates | 54c | 90.19$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.49 | 91 | 51.6%47 W · 44 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0fd…e1f5backed East Carolina Pirates | 54c | 50$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23 | 1,162 | 55.2%641 W · 521 L | +25.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xed2c…9597backed East Carolina Pirates | 52c | 43.5$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.88 | 397 | 44.8%178 W · 219 L | +9.4wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd902…d076backed South Florida Bulls | 48c | 43.5$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.88 | 56 | 57.1%32 W · 24 L | +4.5wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe33c…6006backed East Carolina Pirates | 54c | 37.04$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.04 | 56 | 48.2%27 W · 29 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb0a0…d84fbacked East Carolina Pirates | 54c | 34.69$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.96 | 61 | 44.3%27 W · 34 L | -4.1wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdca6…9a97backed East Carolina Pirates | 51c | 29.23$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.23 | 36 | 63.9%23 W · 13 L | +5.6wins | +0.16per pick | 48cpaid | +33.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f5…1caabacked South Florida Bulls | 49c | 21$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.29 | 1,124 | 46.4%521 W · 603 L | -25.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b89…99e2backed East Carolina Pirates | 54c | 20.09$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.24 | 213 | 42.3%90 W · 123 L | -6.8wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: South Florida Bulls (-19.5)this page
- East Carolina Pirates vs. South Florida BullsSouth Florida Bulls won
- East Carolina Pirates vs. South Florida Bulls: O/U 156.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.